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25 W South St
C Composite 58.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

25 W South St · Hartford, MI 49057
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,363 sqft · SingleFamily · 183 Days on market
Built 1930 0.35 ac lot Est $206k · 42% under ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors and DIY enthusiasts! This expansive 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home, nestled on a corner lot in Hartford, presents a fantastic opportunity for renovation and customization. With 2,363 sq ft of living space, a 2-stall garage and a full basement, there's plenty of room to expand and enhance. The unique layout offers a main level with 2 bedrooms and a full bath, kitchen, large dining and living room. The upper level with a separate entrance offers a full kitchen, bath, bedroom and a walk in attic, providing flexible living options. Sold ''as is, '' bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential! Conveniently located less than 2 blocks from downtown, .6 miles to the High School and less than 1 mile to 94. Call today for your private showing!

Key facts

  • Separate entrance
  • Full basement
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTFULL BASEMENTSEPARATE ENTRANCEFLEXIBLE LIVING OPTIONSLESS THAN 1 MILE TO 94

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Traditional single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1930; Aluminum siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Corner lot with sidewalk; Paved road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (main); Second kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#451 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hartford Public Schools (town): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #469 of 540 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Van Buren County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.50%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,581
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 W Shepard St 0.06mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,285 (-3%) 1mo $205,000 $90 83
315 E Linden St 0.31mi 3/2.0 2,256 (-4%) 8mo $135,000 $60 71
227 N Edwin St 0.55mi 3/1.0 2,316 (-2%) 6mo $67,000 $29 62
123 Bennett Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 2,528 (+7%) 14mo $280,000 $111 50
120 Paras Hill Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 2,696 (+14%) 15mo $235,000 $87 29
129 Paras Hill Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,647 (+12%) 17mo $190,000 $72 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-7,835
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$8,121
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49057

Home prices YoY
-28.2%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,525/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,020
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $250 -5% $216 +0% $182 +5% $148 +10% $114
Rent -10% $83 -5% $133 +0% $182 +5% $231 +10% $281
Rate -1.0pp $242 -0.5pp $212 base $182 +0.5pp $151 +1.0pp $119

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $119,900 Pending 183 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active - Backup Offers Accepted 182 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active - Backup Offers Accepted 181 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active - Backup Offers Accepted 180 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active - Backup Offers Accepted 179 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active - Backup Offers Accepted 178 DOM
  7. 2026-01-12
    historical Active Under Contract 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Calling all investors and DIY enthusiasts! This expansive 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home, nestled on a corner lot in Hartford, presents a fantastic opportunity for renovation and customization. With 2,363 sq ft of living space, a 2-stall garage and a full basement, there's plenty of room to expand and enhance. The unique layout offers a main level with 2 bedrooms and a full bath, kitchen, large dining and living room. The upper level with a separate entrance offers a full kitchen, bath, bedroom and a walk in attic, providing flexible living options. Sold ''as is, '' bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential! Conveniently located less than 2 blocks from downtown, .6 miles to the High School and less than 1 mile to 94. Call today for your private showing!

  8. 2026-01-12
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Calling all investors and DIY enthusiasts! This expansive 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home, nestled on a corner lot in Hartford, presents a fantastic opportunity for renovation and customization. With 2,363 sq ft of living space, a 2-stall garage and a full basement, there's plenty of room to expand and enhance. The unique layout offers a main level with 2 bedrooms and a full bath, kitchen, large dining and living room. The upper level with a separate entrance offers a full kitchen, bath, bedroom and a walk in attic, providing flexible living options. Sold ''as is, '' bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential! Conveniently located less than 2 blocks from downtown, .6 miles to the High School and less than 1 mile to 94. Call today for your private showing!

  9. 2026-01-12
    historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Calling all investors and DIY enthusiasts! This expansive 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home, nestled on a corner lot in Hartford, presents a fantastic opportunity for renovation and customization. With 2,363 sq ft of living space, a 2-stall garage and a full basement, there's plenty of room to expand and enhance. The unique layout offers a main level with 2 bedrooms and a full bath, kitchen, large dining and living room. The upper level with a separate entrance offers a full kitchen, bath, bedroom and a walk in attic, providing flexible living options. Sold ''as is, '' bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential! Conveniently located less than 2 blocks from downtown, .6 miles to the High School and less than 1 mile to 94. Call today for your private showing!

  10. 2025-12-03
    listed $119,900 Active 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Calling all investors and DIY enthusiasts! This expansive 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home, nestled on a corner lot in Hartford, presents a fantastic opportunity for renovation and customization. With 2,363 sq ft of living space, a 2-stall garage and a full basement, there's plenty of room to expand and enhance. The unique layout offers a main level with 2 bedrooms and a full bath, kitchen, large dining and living room. The upper level with a separate entrance offers a full kitchen, bath, bedroom and a walk in attic, providing flexible living options. Sold ''as is, '' bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential! Conveniently located less than 2 blocks from downtown, .6 miles to the High School and less than 1 mile to 94. Call today for your private showing!

  11. 2025-12-03
    listed $119,900 Active 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Calling all investors and DIY enthusiasts! This expansive 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home, nestled on a corner lot in Hartford, presents a fantastic opportunity for renovation and customization. With 2,363 sq ft of living space, a 2-stall garage and a full basement, there's plenty of room to expand and enhance. The unique layout offers a main level with 2 bedrooms and a full bath, kitchen, large dining and living room. The upper level with a separate entrance offers a full kitchen, bath, bedroom and a walk in attic, providing flexible living options. Sold ''as is, '' bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential! Conveniently located less than 2 blocks from downtown, .6 miles to the High School and less than 1 mile to 94. Call today for your private showing!

  12. 2025-12-03
    listed $119,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Calling all investors and DIY enthusiasts! This expansive 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home, nestled on a corner lot in Hartford, presents a fantastic opportunity for renovation and customization. With 2,363 sq ft of living space, a 2-stall garage and a full basement, there's plenty of room to expand and enhance. The unique layout offers a main level with 2 bedrooms and a full bath, kitchen, large dining and living room. The upper level with a separate entrance offers a full kitchen, bath, bedroom and a walk in attic, providing flexible living options. Sold ''as is, '' bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential! Conveniently located less than 2 blocks from downtown, .6 miles to the High School and less than 1 mile to 94. Call today for your private showing!

  13. 2025-09-11
    status Active
  14. 2025-09-11
    historical
  15. 2025-09-10
    historical
  16. 2025-09-10
    historical
  17. 2025-08-15
    price $119,900
  18. 2025-08-14
    price $119,900
  19. 2025-08-14
    price $119,900
  20. 2025-03-10
    listed $149,988 Active
  21. 2025-03-10
    listed $149,988 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,525 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,686 · $140/mo
Expected delta
+$161/yr (+$13/mo · 10.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,004
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,525
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$275
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$66
After-tax cash flow
$2,118/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hartford Public Schools
NCES district ID
2617880
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,924
Composite
16.81/100
National rank
#9154
State rank
#469 of 540 in MI

Livability — Hartford

Score
65/100
State rank
#451
US rank
#12656

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hartford, MI
Population (ZIP)
6,405

Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,479 people
By 2030
68,693 · -3.9%
By 2040
62,093 · -13.1%
By 2050
55,232 · -22.7%
By 2075
40,786 · -42.9%
By 2100
27,785 · -61.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 16% Native American 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 33%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 28%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren

2024 margin
R (+15.1) · D 41.7% · R 56.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: -15.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.1 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+13.9 2012: D+0.5 2008: D+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.22%
Current HPI
183.7019
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.1% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-12 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-12 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $119,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-11 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-15 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $119,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-03-10 Listed $149,988 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-10 Listed $149,988 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,525 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…