10320 Calimesa Blvd Sp 10 · Calimesa, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 40 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$152,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the desirable Rancho Calimesa 55+ community, this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers comfortable living in a welcoming neighborhood setting. Built in 2015 and approximately 1,152 square feet, the home features an open and functional floor plan with abundant natural light, central heating and air, and a spacious living area that flows easily into the dining space and kitchen. The kitchen offers generous cabinet storage, ample counter space, and a convenient breakfast bar for casual dining. The primary suite includes a private bath, while the second bedroom and bath provide flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. An indoor laundry area adds everyd
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Indoor laundry area
- Private bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manager approval required
- Financial info: Land lease of $600 per month (land lease applies)
- HOA & community: Senior community; Suburban neighborhood
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Carport; Community park: Rancho Calimesa
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (Creekside Manor model); Mobile home remains on site; Entry on the side
- Construction: Mobile home width 12 ft and length 48 ft; Total of 1 story; Year built source: Other
- Exterior features: In-ground community pool; Lot is level/flat
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating
- Interior features: One-level layout; Side entry
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $152k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $953 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 6.7% in Calimesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#865 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment B; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Beaumont Unified (suburban): math 32% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #168 of 517 in CA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.86%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $154,512
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10320 Calimesa Blvd #98 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,394 (+0%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $111 | 76 |
| 10320 Calimesa Blvd #362 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-3%) | 18mo | $97,000 | $72 | 68 |
| 10320 Calimesa #257 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $64 | 68 |
| 10320 Calimesa Blvd #260 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $90 | 64 |
| 10320 Calimesa Blvd #53 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 12mo | $138,000 | $111 | 62 |
| 10320 Calimesa Blvd, SPC 267 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 18mo | $127,500 | $89 | 60 |
| 10320 Calimesa Blvd #274 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 18mo | $138,500 | $96 | 60 |
| 10320 Calimesa Blvd #58 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,225 (-12%) | 18mo | $193,500 | $158 | 58 |
| 9597 Rosedale | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 5mo | $290,000 | $201 | 55 |
| 9699 Crestknoll Dr | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-3%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $145 | 52 |
| 9518 Crestknoll Dr | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 18mo | $334,000 | $232 | 41 |
| 9610 Rosedale Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,272 (-9%) | 21mo | $180,500 | $142 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $36,032
- Equity at exit
- $22,664
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $109,453
- Equity at exit
- $13,142
Cash invested: $42,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92320
- Home prices YoY
- -22.2%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,433 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$797
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,311/yr
- Insurance
- −$63
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$511
- Net cashflow
- $953
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,000
- Closing costs
- $4,560
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $152,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $152,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $152,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $152,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $152,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $152,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $152,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $152,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$152,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,311 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,311 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,514
- − Property taxes
- −$1,311
- − Insurance
- −$760
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,336
- − Management
- −$2,336
- − Depreciation
- −$4,422
- Taxable income
- $9,521
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,285
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,147/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in a desirable community offers a good investment opportunity with minor repairs and maintenance needed.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen countertops — Worn appearance
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Signs of wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale Replace carpet in living areas — Fresh carpet improves comfort and appearance
- Both Inspect and replace HVAC system — Fresh HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen countertops · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Signs of wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace carpet in living areas — Fresh carpet improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both Inspect and replace HVAC system — Fresh HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaumont Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0604290
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,635
- Composite
- 40.37/100
- National rank
- #3736
- State rank
- #168 of 517 in CA
Livability — Calimesa
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #865
- US rank
- #23579
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calimesa, CA
- City population
- 10,680
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,680
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.13%
- Current HPI
- 364.3627
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $152,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,311 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…