🏷️ Likely Rental
3629 Evanston Ave · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The property is tenant occupied. Current tenant is month to month and pays $1200 plus all utilities. The home is part of a portfolio that can be sold separate or together. Roof, HVAC, electric and plumbing updated in last 5 years.
Key facts
- 4,095 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1896
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; Two levels; Entry level: 1st floor
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Other foundation; Second floor area approximately 580
- Exterior features: Vinyl windows
Interior
- Kitchen: Dining room on the 1st level
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the 2nd level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Other cooling; Gas water heating
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,015/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 422% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.26%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $332,024
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3743 Spencer Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,750 (+3%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $206 | 80 |
| 3732 Elsmere Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,634 (-4%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $199 | 78 |
| 2497 Downing Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,711 (+1%) | 1mo | $505,000 | $295 | 68 |
| 4009 Forest Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,647 (-3%) | 2mo | $329,500 | $200 | 64 |
| 3419 Trimble Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,561 (-8%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $183 | 62 |
| 3314 Wabash Ave | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,614 (-5%) | 1mo | $168,000 | $104 | 61 |
| 1606 Brewster Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-6%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 3635 Barberry Ave | 0.40mi | 3/3.0 | 1,866 (+10%) | 3mo | $365,000 | $196 | 56 |
| 1608 Brewster Ave | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,576 (-7%) | 2mo | $147,500 | $94 | 52 |
| 3423 Algona Pl | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,613 (-5%) | 0mo | $336,000 | $208 | 49 |
| 3600 Tamarack Ave | 0.49mi | 3/3.0 | 1,940 (+14%) | 1mo | $356,400 | $184 | 46 |
| 3923 S Madison Ave | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,901 (+12%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $189 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $914
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $37,457
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45207
- Home prices YoY
- -34.6%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,015 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $446
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $543 | -5% $494 | +0% $446 | +5% $398 | +10% $350 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $287 | -5% $367 | +0% $446 | +5% $526 | +10% $606 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $532 | -0.5pp $490 | base $446 | +0.5pp $402 | +1.0pp $358 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1725 Cleneay Ave Norwood, OH | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–5.0 | 1060 | $2,147 | $2.02 | 2d | 46 | 0.38mi |
| 3901 Elsmere Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,995 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3915 Lindley Ave Unit 2 Norwood, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3921 Spencer Ave Apt 2 Norwood, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1636 | $2,400 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3550 Woodburn Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1308 | $2,000 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1931 Delaware Ave Unit 2 Norwood, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,810 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3326 Fairfield Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $1,600 | $1.02 | 11d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2123 Cameron Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2165 | $4,500 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2365 Madison Rd Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4133 Huston Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $1,725 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4133 Huston Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $1,725 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2584 Madison Rd Unit 1056073P Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1431 | $4,609 | $3.22 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4303 Allison St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,495 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1512 Blair Ave Apt B Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3578 Burch Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,595 | $2.08 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1524 Ruth Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1971 | $1,595 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3538 Burch Ave #2 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1485 | $2,250 | $1.52 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2101 Grandin Rd Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $2,099 | $2.01 | 2d | 12 | 0.92mi |
| 3209 Gilbert Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $1,395 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3116 Woodburn Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2110 | $3,500 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3131 Harvard Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1264 | $1,645 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3113 Harvard Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1895 | $2,700 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 961 Avondale Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4539 Montgomery Rd Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 11d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4539 Montgomery Rd Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1607 Asmann Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1069 | $1,428 | $1.34 | 13d | 6 | 1.08mi |
| 979 Burton Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1725 | $1,595 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1709 Sherman Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2733 Willard Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $3,000 | $2.42 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3139 Gaff Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1711 | $1,795 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2320 Kenilworth Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1660 | $2,300 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3001-A Woodburn Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 947 | $2,252 | $2.38 | 2d | 12 | 1.22mi |
| 870 Rockdale Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1749 | $1,800 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2607 Robertson Ave Unit 2 ROBERTSON 2607 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1399 | $1,895 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2705 Hackberry St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 835 Hutchins Ave #3 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $950 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3640 Reading Rd Unit 3640-1 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 800 N Fred Shuttlesworth Cir Apt 3 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 811 Lexington Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1674 | $1,250 | $0.75 | 5d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $169,900
-
2026-02-12$199,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,200 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,425 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- +$225/yr (+$19/mo · 10.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,175
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$2,200
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,934
- − Management
- −$1,934
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $2,798
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$671
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,685/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,983
- Household income
- $49,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 422.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.98%
- Current HPI
- 273.9444
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
-15.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $169,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $199,900 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+17.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,200 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…