17387 Greeley St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$42,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY. . TWO BEDROOMS HOME . . IN HIGHLAND PARK - RIGHT OFF I-75.. INFORMATION DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT ASSURED. .
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1916
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (30 x 125)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.57%
- DSCR
- 3.43
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $45,459
- List price
- $42,500
- Delta
- -6.51%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17867 Mackay St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 771 (+0%) | 6mo | $30,000 | $39 | 67 |
| 17869 Lumpkin St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 786 (+2%) | 13mo | $46,900 | $60 | 66 |
| 18149 Riopelle St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-2%) | 20mo | $25,000 | $33 | 60 |
| 18064 Greeley St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 680 (-11%) | 12mo | $24,000 | $35 | 55 |
| 18042 Russell St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 851 (+11%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $53 | 55 |
| 17419 Wanda St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 777 (+1%) | 24mo | $52,500 | $68 | 53 |
| 18828 Hawthorne St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 684 (-11%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $73 | 50 |
| 18036 Mackay St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 716 (-7%) | 19mo | $13,000 | $18 | 43 |
| 974 E Hildale Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (+8%) | 21mo | $33,000 | $40 | 42 |
| 17171 Goddard St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 859 (+12%) | 20mo | $54,000 | $63 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $27,611
- Equity at exit
- $6,337
- IRR
- 58.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.76×
- Total profit
- $68,553
- Equity at exit
- $3,675
Cash invested: $11,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48203
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,089 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$223
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $940/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $541
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $565 | -5% $553 | +0% $541 | +5% $529 | +10% $517 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $455 | -5% $498 | +0% $541 | +5% $584 | +10% $627 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $563 | -0.5pp $552 | base $541 | +0.5pp $530 | +1.0pp $519 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,625
- Closing costs
- $1,275
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 790 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 10 Ferris St Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $725 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 10 Ferris St Unit 208/209 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $725 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 27 Pasadena St Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 730 Whitmore Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 45d | 3 | 1.32mi |
| 19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 19360 Revere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 885 Covington Dr Unit 102 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,050 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 885 Covington Dr Unit 412 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,045 | $1.74 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 885 Covington Dr Unit 312 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,045 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 885 Covington Dr Unit 304 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,010 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 941 Merton Rd Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 931 Covington Dr Unit 205 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,070 | $1.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 931 Covington Dr Unit 204 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,100 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 931 Covington Dr Unit 216 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,125 | $2.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 931 Covington Dr Unit 202 Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 550 | $1,400 | $2.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 931 Covington Dr Unit 214 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $930 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 931 Covington Dr Unit 201 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,110 | $2.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 931 Covington Dr Unit 206 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,095 | $1.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 931 Covington Dr Unit 106 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 931 Covington Dr Unit 210 Highland Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,090 | $1.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 13 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,010 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,015 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 17449 Manderson Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-11$42,500 Active 128-char remark
-
2026-05-11$42,500 Active 128-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $940 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $940 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,381
- − Property taxes
- −$940
- − Insurance
- −$212
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,045
- − Management
- −$1,045
- − Depreciation
- −$1,236
- Taxable income
- $6,204
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,489
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,005/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,049
- Household income
- $38,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1192.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.13%
- Current HPI
- 297.0176
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $42,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $42,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $940 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…