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1265 Adria Rd
D+ Composite 49.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0

$119,900

1265 Adria Rd · Tazewell, VA 24630
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 313 Days on market
Built 1946 $147/sqft · 32% above area Est $138k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming Cape Cod located on a private lot and not a crowed neighborhood. Home features nice kitchen with wood cabinets, separate dining room, cozy living room, 2 bedrooms on main floor plus 1 bedroom upstairs. There is a full updated bath on main level. Enjoy the double thermal windows and solid wood floors throughout the home. A partial unfinished basement is a great laundry room and extra storage space. Enjoy your private yard plus a 2-car detached garage. Home is located off of Rt 16 approx. 5 miles from all amenities. Call listing agent for more information.

Key facts

  • Private lot
  • Separate dining room
  • Solid wood floors

Tags

PRIVATE LOTSEPARATE DINING ROOMFULL UPDATED BATHDOUBLE THERMAL WINDOWSSOLID WOOD FLOORSPARTIAL UNFINISHED BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-480/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (5.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (28.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.7% in Tazewell — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#458 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Tazewell County Public School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #21 of 131 in VA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
  • Tazewell County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 313 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $85,200 (28.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 313 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.43%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,297
List price
$119,900
Delta
-13.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1578 Mundytown Rd 0.69mi 2/1.0 720 (-12%) 9mo $18,000 $25 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-838
Equity at exit
$40,425
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$17,688
Equity at exit
$53,332

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24630

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$852 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $412/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$179
Net cashflow
$-40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $903
Max offer price $112,840
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,900 Active 313 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 312 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 311 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 310 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 309 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 307 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 306 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 303 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 302 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 301 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 297 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 296 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 295 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 294 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 293 DOM
  16. 2026-02-20
    status Active 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Charming Cape Cod located on a private lot and not a crowed neighborhood. Home features nice kitchen with wood cabinets, separate dining room, cozy living room, 2 bedrooms on main floor plus 1 bedroom upstairs. There is a full updated bath on main level. Enjoy the double thermal windows and solid wood floors throughout the home. A partial unfinished basement is a great laundry room and extra storage space. Enjoy your private yard plus a 2-car detached garage. Home is located off of Rt 16 approx. 5 miles from all amenities. Call listing agent for more information.

  17. 2026-01-20
    historical Active Under Contract 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Charming Cape Cod located on a private lot and not a crowed neighborhood. Home features nice kitchen with wood cabinets, separate dining room, cozy living room, 2 bedrooms on main floor plus 1 bedroom upstairs. There is a full updated bath on main level. Enjoy the double thermal windows and solid wood floors throughout the home. A partial unfinished basement is a great laundry room and extra storage space. Enjoy your private yard plus a 2-car detached garage. Home is located off of Rt 16 approx. 5 miles from all amenities. Call listing agent for more information.

  18. 2026-01-20
    status Active 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Charming Cape Cod located on a private lot and not a crowed neighborhood. Home features nice kitchen with wood cabinets, separate dining room, cozy living room, 2 bedrooms on main floor plus 1 bedroom upstairs. There is a full updated bath on main level. Enjoy the double thermal windows and solid wood floors throughout the home. A partial unfinished basement is a great laundry room and extra storage space. Enjoy your private yard plus a 2-car detached garage. Home is located off of Rt 16 approx. 5 miles from all amenities. Call listing agent for more information.

  19. 2025-07-02
    listed $119,900 Active 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Charming Cape Cod located on a private lot and not a crowed neighborhood. Home features nice kitchen with wood cabinets, separate dining room, cozy living room, 2 bedrooms on main floor plus 1 bedroom upstairs. There is a full updated bath on main level. Enjoy the double thermal windows and solid wood floors throughout the home. A partial unfinished basement is a great laundry room and extra storage space. Enjoy your private yard plus a 2-car detached garage. Home is located off of Rt 16 approx. 5 miles from all amenities. Call listing agent for more information.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$412 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$983 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$571/yr (+$48/mo · 138.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,224
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$412
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$818
− Management
−$818
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$2,627
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$631
After-tax cash flow
$151/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tazewell County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103810
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,003
Composite
60.16/100
National rank
#865
State rank
#21 of 131 in VA

Livability — Tazewell

Score
60/100
State rank
#458
US rank
#19535

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,920

Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,275 people
By 2030
35,719 · -6.7%
By 2040
30,875 · -19.3%
By 2050
26,798 · -30.0%
By 2075
19,286 · -49.6%
By 2100
13,631 · -64.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Subsaharan African 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -68.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.2 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.92%
Current HPI
151.7146
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted MTCBOR
  • 2026-01-20 Contingent MTCBOR
  • 2026-01-20 Relisted MTCBOR
  • 2025-07-02 Listed $119,900 MTCBOR

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $412 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…