🔨 Auction
1205 Egg And Butter Rd · Columbiana, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 45.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.5/30.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a fixer upper. Needs a new roof, rotted fascias, etc. Sits on 1.12 acres. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS” without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding. Redemption period expires 3/24/2026.
Key facts
- 1.12 acre lot
- Listed 132 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-357 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($792 rent vs $24k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.5% in Columbiana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#176 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Shelby County (suburban): math 30% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #16 of 129 in AL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 45% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.48% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.23%
- DSCR
- 0.59
- GRM
- 17.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,559
- List price
- $24,500
- Delta
- -85.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.07×
- Total profit
- $-49,624
- Equity at exit
- $24,685
- IRR
- -39.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.57×
- Total profit
- $-72,808
- Equity at exit
- $14,315
Cash invested: $46,357 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35051
- Home prices YoY
- -19.4%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $792 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$868
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $543/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$166
- Net cashflow
- $-357
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-263 | -5% $-310 | +0% $-357 | +5% $-403 | +10% $-450 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-419 | -5% $-388 | +0% $-357 | +5% $-325 | +10% $-294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-273 | -0.5pp $-314 | base $-357 | +0.5pp $-399 | +1.0pp $-443 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,390
- Closing costs
- $4,967
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 373 Mooney Rd Unit 6 Columbiana, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $775 | $0.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 100 Egg and Butter Rd Unit 24 Columbiana, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $825 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4 Pitts Dr Unit 12 Columbiana, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $775 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-15status $24,500 Pending 132 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $24,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $24,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $24,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $24,500 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $24,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $24,500 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $24,500 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $24,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $24,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $24,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $24,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $24,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $24,500 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a fixer upper. Needs a new roof, rotted fascias, etc. Sits on 1.12 acres. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS” without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding. Redemption period expires 3/24/2026.
-
2026-03-31status Active 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a fixer upper. Needs a new roof, rotted fascias, etc. Sits on 1.12 acres. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS” without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding. Redemption period expires 3/24/2026.
-
2026-03-31price $32,400 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a fixer upper. Needs a new roof, rotted fascias, etc. Sits on 1.12 acres. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS” without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding. Redemption period expires 3/24/2026.
-
2026-03-02status Pending 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a fixer upper. Needs a new roof, rotted fascias, etc. Sits on 1.12 acres. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS” without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding. Redemption period expires 3/24/2026.
-
2026-02-12price $34,200 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a fixer upper. Needs a new roof, rotted fascias, etc. Sits on 1.12 acres. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS” without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding. Redemption period expires 3/24/2026.
-
2026-01-05$36,000 Active 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a fixer upper. Needs a new roof, rotted fascias, etc. Sits on 1.12 acres. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS” without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding. Redemption period expires 3/24/2026.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $543 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $543 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 45% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,274
- − Property taxes
- −$543
- − Insurance
- −$828
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$761
- − Management
- −$761
- − Depreciation
- −$4,816
- Taxable loss
- −$7,475
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,794
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,485/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shelby County
- NCES district ID
- 0103030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,672
- Composite
- 39.29/100
- National rank
- #3995
- State rank
- #16 of 129 in AL
Livability — Columbiana
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #176
- US rank
- #15028
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbiana, AL
- City population
- 10,101
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,101
Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 237,024 people
- By 2030
- 249,868 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 272,778 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 326,049 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 335,870 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 16% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Shelby
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.36%
- Current HPI
- 209.5375
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-31.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $24,500 VMLS
- 2026-03-31 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $32,400 VMLS
- 2026-03-02 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $34,200 VMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $36,000 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…