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582 E Main St
B Composite 74.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

582 E Main St · Van, TX 75790
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 140 Days on market
Built 1951 0.27 ac lot $95/sqft · 46% below area Est $147k · 46% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This can be a great starter home, or investment property, need TLC, Close to downtown, across the street from Elementary school. New builds around. Call for more information. Seller has reduced price to sell.

Key facts

  • Investment property
  • Close to downtown
  • 0.27 acre lot

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYCLOSE TO DOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.3% in Van — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#505 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Van ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 54 units permitted in Van Zandt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Van Zandt County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.69%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,427
List price
$79,900
Delta
-45.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$4,542
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$26,594
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75790

Home prices YoY
-11.4%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,713/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$274

Break-even live

Break-even rent $753
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1090 N Walnut St Van, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $1,100 $1.29 13d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 140 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 137 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 134 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 133 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,900 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 130 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 129 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 128 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 123 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 122 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 121 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 120 DOM
  16. 2026-01-30
    listed $79,900 Active 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This can be a great starter home, or investment property, need TLC, Close to downtown, across the street from Elementary school. New builds around. Call for more information. Seller has reduced price to sell.

  17. 2025-11-19
    status Active 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This can be a great starter home, or investment property, need TLC, Close to downtown, across the street from Elementary school. New builds around. Call for more information. Seller has reduced price to sell.

  18. 2025-11-07
    historical 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This can be a great starter home, or investment property, need TLC, Close to downtown, across the street from Elementary school. New builds around. Call for more information. Seller has reduced price to sell.

  19. 2025-10-24
    listed $79,900 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This can be a great starter home, or investment property, need TLC, Close to downtown, across the street from Elementary school. New builds around. Call for more information. Seller has reduced price to sell.

  20. 2025-06-25
    price $79,900
  21. 2025-06-25
    price $79,900
  22. 2024-10-24
    status Active
  23. 2024-07-02
    price $89,900
  24. 2024-04-12
    status Active
  25. 2024-04-12
    price $99,000
  26. 2023-10-12
    status Active
  27. 2023-04-13
    listed $115,000 Active
  28. 2023-04-10
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,713 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,713 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,200
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,713
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,175
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$522
After-tax cash flow
$2,765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Van ISD
NCES district ID
4843920
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,308
Composite
34.78/100
National rank
#5120
State rank
#390 of 826 in TX

Livability — Van

Score
68/100
State rank
#505
US rank
#9995

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Van, TX
City population
3,790
Population (ZIP)
3,790

Population outlook (Van Zandt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,634 people
By 2030
56,479 · +1.5%
By 2040
57,672 · +3.7%
By 2050
57,913 · +4.1%
By 2075
57,544 · +3.4%
By 2100
52,659 · -5.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Italian 1% Greek 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Zandt

2024 margin
Solid R (+74.8) · D 12.3% · R 87.2%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -55.1pp · 2024: -74.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+74.8 2020: R+72.1 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+66.6 2008: R+55.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.57%
Current HPI
213.6886
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $79,900 LAAR
  • 2025-11-19 Relisted GTAR
  • 2025-11-07 Delisted GTAR
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $79,900 GTAR
  • 2025-06-25 Price Changed $79,900 LAAR
  • 2025-06-25 Price Changed $79,900 GTAR
  • 2024-10-24 Relisted LAAR
  • 2024-07-02 Price Changed $89,900 GTAR
  • 2024-04-12 Relisted GTAR
  • 2024-04-12 Price Changed $99,000 GTAR
  • 2023-10-12 Relisted GTAR
  • 2023-04-13 Listed $115,000 GTAR
  • 2023-04-10 Listed $89,900 LAAR

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,713 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…