582 E Main St · Van, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 58.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This can be a great starter home, or investment property, need TLC, Close to downtown, across the street from Elementary school. New builds around. Call for more information. Seller has reduced price to sell.
Key facts
- Investment property
- Close to downtown
- 0.27 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.3% in Van — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#505 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Van ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 54 units permitted in Van Zandt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Van Zandt County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.69%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,427
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -45.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $4,542
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $26,594
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75790
- Home prices YoY
- -11.4%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,713/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1090 N Walnut St Van, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 121 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-01-30$79,900 Active 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This can be a great starter home, or investment property, need TLC, Close to downtown, across the street from Elementary school. New builds around. Call for more information. Seller has reduced price to sell.
-
2025-11-19status Active 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This can be a great starter home, or investment property, need TLC, Close to downtown, across the street from Elementary school. New builds around. Call for more information. Seller has reduced price to sell.
-
2025-11-07historical 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This can be a great starter home, or investment property, need TLC, Close to downtown, across the street from Elementary school. New builds around. Call for more information. Seller has reduced price to sell.
-
2025-10-24$79,900 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This can be a great starter home, or investment property, need TLC, Close to downtown, across the street from Elementary school. New builds around. Call for more information. Seller has reduced price to sell.
-
2025-06-25price $79,900
-
2025-06-25price $79,900
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2024-10-24status Active
-
2024-07-02price $89,900
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2024-04-12status Active
-
2024-04-12price $99,000
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2023-10-12status Active
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2023-04-13$115,000 Active
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2023-04-10$89,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,713 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,713 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,713
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,175
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$522
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843920
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,308
- Composite
- 34.78/100
- National rank
- #5120
- State rank
- #390 of 826 in TX
Livability — Van
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #505
- US rank
- #9995
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Van, TX
- City population
- 3,790
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,790
Population outlook (Van Zandt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,634 people
- By 2030
- 56,479 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 57,672 · +3.7%
- By 2050
- 57,913 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 57,544 · +3.4%
- By 2100
- 52,659 · -5.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Italian 1% Greek 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Zandt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.8) · D 12.3% · R 87.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -55.1pp · 2024: -74.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.8 2020: R+72.1 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+66.6 2008: R+55.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.57%
- Current HPI
- 213.6886
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-11.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-30 Listed $79,900 LAAR
- 2025-11-19 Relisted — GTAR
- 2025-11-07 Delisted — GTAR
- 2025-10-24 Listed $79,900 GTAR
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $79,900 LAAR
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $79,900 GTAR
- 2024-10-24 Relisted — LAAR
- 2024-07-02 Price Changed $89,900 GTAR
- 2024-04-12 Relisted — GTAR
- 2024-04-12 Price Changed $99,000 GTAR
- 2023-10-12 Relisted — GTAR
- 2023-04-13 Listed $115,000 GTAR
- 2023-04-10 Listed $89,900 LAAR
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,713 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…