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116 Locust Dr
D- Composite 37.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$360,000

116 Locust Dr · Pocono Woodland Lakes, PA 18337
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 219 Days on market
Built 1990 1.52 ac lot $124/sqft · 23% below area Est $467k · 23% under $82/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious Center Hall Colonial situated on a 1.53 acre corner lot just minutes to I84 and town of Milford. Offering 2912 sq. feet of living space and1456 sq. feet of unfinished basement space for a total of 4368 sq. ft. This stately home offers room for everyone. Enter through your grand foyer with open staircase. Main level features Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining with sliders to oversized back deck, Kitchen with ample cabinet space and a separate dining area, half bath and laundry. Majority of the first floor recently had upgraded vinyl plank flooring installed. Follow the open staircase to the second floor featuring a huge Primary Suite with walk in closet Bath and dressing area. Completing the layout of the upper level are 3 additional bedrooms, hall bath and a loft area. Wood 6 panel doors throughout the home, Full Basement and level parcel are just a couple more benefits. Great Opportunity Awaits!

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Grand foyer
  • Oversized back deck

Tags

CORNER LOTGRAND FOYEROVERSIZED BACK DECKUPGRADED VINYL PLANK FLOORINGMASTER SUITEWALK IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-642 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (31.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (29.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $247k (31.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.3% in Pocono Woodland Lakes — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#702 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Delaware Valley SD (rural): math 41% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #121 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 297 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($317k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $190k; list at $360k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $246,653 (31.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.15%
Cash-on-cash
-7.64%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$467,199
List price
$360,000
Delta
-22.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
125 Apple Dr 0.41mi 3/3.0 2,847 (-2%) 15mo $525,000 $184 61
123R Rhododendron Ln 0.75mi 3/2.5 2,940 (+1%) 14mo $520,200 $177 50
140 Arrowood Dr 0.52mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,690 (-8%) 19mo $389,000 $145 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.6%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-99,067
Equity at exit
$53,677
10-year hold
IRR
-30.2%
Equity multiple
-0.37×
Total profit
$-138,344
Equity at exit
$31,126

Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18337

Home prices YoY
-22.0%
Active inventory
297
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,534 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,888
Tax from tax record
$524 /mo · $6,283/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$82
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$532
Net cashflow
$-642

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,346
Max offer price $246,653
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-438 -5% $-540 +0% $-642 +5% $-744 +10% $-845
Rent -10% $-842 -5% $-742 +0% $-642 +5% $-542 +10% $-441
Rate -1.0pp $-460 -0.5pp $-550 base $-642 +0.5pp $-735 +1.0pp $-830

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$90,000
Closing costs
$10,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$82 · $984/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    price $360,000 927-char remark
    Show marketing remark (927 chars)

    Spacious Center Hall Colonial situated on a 1.53 acre corner lot just minutes to I84 and town of Milford. Offering 2912 sq. feet of living space and1456 sq. feet of unfinished basement space for a total of 4368 sq. ft. This stately home offers room for everyone. Enter through your grand foyer with open staircase. Main level features Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining with sliders to oversized back deck, Kitchen with ample cabinet space and a separate dining area, half bath and laundry. Majority of the first floor recently had upgraded vinyl plank flooring installed. Follow the open staircase to the second floor featuring a huge Primary Suite with walk in closet Bath and dressing area. Completing the layout of the upper level are 3 additional bedrooms, hall bath and a loft area. Wood 6 panel doors throughout the home, Full Basement and level parcel are just a couple more benefits. Great Opportunity Awaits!

  2. 2026-03-02
    price $370,000 927-char remark
    Show marketing remark (927 chars)

    Spacious Center Hall Colonial situated on a 1.53 acre corner lot just minutes to I84 and town of Milford. Offering 2912 sq. feet of living space and1456 sq. feet of unfinished basement space for a total of 4368 sq. ft. This stately home offers room for everyone. Enter through your grand foyer with open staircase. Main level features Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining with sliders to oversized back deck, Kitchen with ample cabinet space and a separate dining area, half bath and laundry. Majority of the first floor recently had upgraded vinyl plank flooring installed. Follow the open staircase to the second floor featuring a huge Primary Suite with walk in closet Bath and dressing area. Completing the layout of the upper level are 3 additional bedrooms, hall bath and a loft area. Wood 6 panel doors throughout the home, Full Basement and level parcel are just a couple more benefits. Great Opportunity Awaits!

  3. 2026-01-19
    price $372,500 927-char remark
    Show marketing remark (927 chars)

    Spacious Center Hall Colonial situated on a 1.53 acre corner lot just minutes to I84 and town of Milford. Offering 2912 sq. feet of living space and1456 sq. feet of unfinished basement space for a total of 4368 sq. ft. This stately home offers room for everyone. Enter through your grand foyer with open staircase. Main level features Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining with sliders to oversized back deck, Kitchen with ample cabinet space and a separate dining area, half bath and laundry. Majority of the first floor recently had upgraded vinyl plank flooring installed. Follow the open staircase to the second floor featuring a huge Primary Suite with walk in closet Bath and dressing area. Completing the layout of the upper level are 3 additional bedrooms, hall bath and a loft area. Wood 6 panel doors throughout the home, Full Basement and level parcel are just a couple more benefits. Great Opportunity Awaits!

  4. 2025-12-19
    price $377,500 927-char remark
    Show marketing remark (927 chars)

    Spacious Center Hall Colonial situated on a 1.53 acre corner lot just minutes to I84 and town of Milford. Offering 2912 sq. feet of living space and1456 sq. feet of unfinished basement space for a total of 4368 sq. ft. This stately home offers room for everyone. Enter through your grand foyer with open staircase. Main level features Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining with sliders to oversized back deck, Kitchen with ample cabinet space and a separate dining area, half bath and laundry. Majority of the first floor recently had upgraded vinyl plank flooring installed. Follow the open staircase to the second floor featuring a huge Primary Suite with walk in closet Bath and dressing area. Completing the layout of the upper level are 3 additional bedrooms, hall bath and a loft area. Wood 6 panel doors throughout the home, Full Basement and level parcel are just a couple more benefits. Great Opportunity Awaits!

  5. 2025-11-04
    price $389,900 927-char remark
    Show marketing remark (927 chars)

    Spacious Center Hall Colonial situated on a 1.53 acre corner lot just minutes to I84 and town of Milford. Offering 2912 sq. feet of living space and1456 sq. feet of unfinished basement space for a total of 4368 sq. ft. This stately home offers room for everyone. Enter through your grand foyer with open staircase. Main level features Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining with sliders to oversized back deck, Kitchen with ample cabinet space and a separate dining area, half bath and laundry. Majority of the first floor recently had upgraded vinyl plank flooring installed. Follow the open staircase to the second floor featuring a huge Primary Suite with walk in closet Bath and dressing area. Completing the layout of the upper level are 3 additional bedrooms, hall bath and a loft area. Wood 6 panel doors throughout the home, Full Basement and level parcel are just a couple more benefits. Great Opportunity Awaits!

  6. 2025-10-20
    listed $400,000 Active 927-char remark
    Show marketing remark (927 chars)

    Spacious Center Hall Colonial situated on a 1.53 acre corner lot just minutes to I84 and town of Milford. Offering 2912 sq. feet of living space and1456 sq. feet of unfinished basement space for a total of 4368 sq. ft. This stately home offers room for everyone. Enter through your grand foyer with open staircase. Main level features Living Room, Family Room, Formal Dining with sliders to oversized back deck, Kitchen with ample cabinet space and a separate dining area, half bath and laundry. Majority of the first floor recently had upgraded vinyl plank flooring installed. Follow the open staircase to the second floor featuring a huge Primary Suite with walk in closet Bath and dressing area. Completing the layout of the upper level are 3 additional bedrooms, hall bath and a loft area. Wood 6 panel doors throughout the home, Full Basement and level parcel are just a couple more benefits. Great Opportunity Awaits!

  7. 2015-05-06
    soldstatus $190,000
  8. 2015-05-05
    soldstatus $190,000 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    2912 SQ FT 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL ON 1.53 ACRE CORNER WOODED PARCEL-MILFORD!Room to Roam in the spacious home featuring Mstr Br with Suite bath, dressing area and walk-in closet, loft area, Kitchen w/ appliances, Liv Rm, Fam Rm, 2.5 Ba's, mud/laundry room, all wood 6 panel colonial interior doors, expansive rear deck, full basement with bilco doors and so much more. PRICE REDUCED, SELLER SACRIFICE! HOME USED FOR VACATION SHOWS LITTLE SIGNS OF WEAR!, Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev 1, Baths: 2 Bath Lev 2, Eating Area: Formal DN Room, Eating Area: Dining Area, Eating Area: Modern KT

  9. 2014-08-07
    listed $199,000 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    2912 SQ FT 4 BEDROOM COLONIAL ON 1.53 ACRE CORNER WOODED PARCEL-MILFORD!Room to Roam in the spacious home featuring Mstr Br with Suite bath, dressing area and walk-in closet, loft area, Kitchen w/ appliances, Liv Rm, Fam Rm, 2.5 Ba's, mud/laundry room, all wood 6 panel colonial interior doors, expansive rear deck, full basement with bilco doors and so much more. PRICE REDUCED, SELLER SACRIFICE! HOME USED FOR VACATION SHOWS LITTLE SIGNS OF WEAR!, Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev 1, Baths: 2 Bath Lev 2, Eating Area: Formal DN Room, Eating Area: Dining Area, Eating Area: Modern KT

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,283 · $524/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,283 · $524/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,407
− Mortgage interest
−$20,166
− Property taxes
−$6,283
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,433
− Management
−$2,433
− HOA
−$984
− Depreciation
−$10,473
Taxable loss
−$14,163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,399
After-tax cash flow
$-4,300/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Delaware Valley SD
NCES district ID
4207530
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$64,202
Composite
46.95/100
National rank
#2359
State rank
#121 of 539 in PA

Livability — Pocono Woodland Lakes

Score
71/100
State rank
#702
US rank
#6907

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pocono Woodland Lakes, PA
County
Pike County · 15,799 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
15,799
Household income
$93,149
Rent vs Own
14.2% rent · 85.8% own
Severe rent burden
275.0

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.81%
Current HPI
194.0604
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $360,000 PWMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $370,000 PWMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $372,500 PWMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $377,500 PWMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $389,900 PWMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Listed $400,000 PWMLS
  • 2015-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2015-05-05 Sold (MLS) $190,000 PWMLS
  • 2014-08-07 Listed $199,000 PWMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $6,283 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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