2355 Burden Dr · Lima, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready ranch home with immediate possession available. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1bathroom, with updated roof (2018), furnace (2018), water heater (2025), Water Softener (2025), Well Pump (2025), Sump Pump (2025), New Carpeting throughout (2026), This would make a great starter home. Seller is Brother-in-Law to Listing Agent.
Key facts
- Updated water heater
- Updated roof
- Updated sump pump
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (0.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Elida Local (rural): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #311 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $150k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.45%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,869
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -5.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2351 Burden Dr | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (0%) | 6mo | $64,000 | $61 | 95 |
| 2380 Mandolin Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+7%) | 1mo | $182,900 | $163 | 79 |
| 2286 N Cole St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+5%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $188 | 74 |
| 1143 Brower Rd | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,180 (+13%) | 3mo | $179,000 | $152 | 66 |
| 168 Lyre Bird Ln | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-5%) | 6mo | $158,000 | $160 | 64 |
| 570 Sandpiper St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,128 (+8%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $142 | 62 |
| 765 W Lane Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (-4%) | 6mo | $141,000 | $141 | 61 |
| 1924 Burch Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (-7%) | 4mo | $117,000 | $120 | 58 |
| 475 Kenmore St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 998 (-4%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $105 | 57 |
| 1889 N Metcalf St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,148 (+10%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $152 | 45 |
| 1317 Virginia Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (-12%) | 3mo | $144,000 | $157 | 41 |
| 1809 N Metcalf St | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,176 (+13%) | 0mo | $199,900 | $170 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-9,948
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $9,727
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45801
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,493 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,262/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $226
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $310 | -5% $268 | +0% $226 | +5% $183 | +10% $141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $108 | -5% $167 | +0% $226 | +5% $285 | +10% $344 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $301 | -0.5pp $264 | base $226 | +0.5pp $187 | +1.0pp $147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 W Ashton Ave Lima, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Move-in ready ranch home with immediate possession available. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1bathroom, with updated roof (2018), furnace (2018), water heater (2025), Water Softener (2025), Well Pump (2025), Sump Pump (2025), New Carpeting throughout (2026), This would make a great starter home. Seller is Brother-in-Law to Listing Agent.
-
2026-04-23price $149,900 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Move-in ready ranch home with immediate possession available. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1bathroom, with updated roof (2018), furnace (2018), water heater (2025), Water Softener (2025), Well Pump (2025), Sump Pump (2025), New Carpeting throughout (2026), This would make a great starter home. Seller is Brother-in-Law to Listing Agent.
-
2026-03-26$159,900 Active 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Move-in ready ranch home with immediate possession available. This home features 3 bedrooms, 1bathroom, with updated roof (2018), furnace (2018), water heater (2025), Water Softener (2025), Well Pump (2025), Sump Pump (2025), New Carpeting throughout (2026), This would make a great starter home. Seller is Brother-in-Law to Listing Agent.
-
2018-04-05soldstatus $75,000
-
2015-04-21soldstatus $63,600
-
2014-08-25$69,000
-
2008-07-01soldstatus $26,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,262 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,800 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$538/yr (+$45/mo · 42.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,913
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,262
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,433
- − Management
- −$1,433
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $279
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$67
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,641/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elida Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904577
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 49.93/100
- National rank
- #1934
- State rank
- #311 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lima
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #787
- US rank
- #14288
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allen County · 21,739 people
- City population
- 21,739
- Metro
- Lima, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,739
- Household income
- $51,731
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1141.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,321 people
- By 2030
- 97,693 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 91,802 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 86,152 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 73,659 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 58,716 · -41.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.79%
- Current HPI
- 219.5329
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lima, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+476.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — WCARE
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $149,900 WCARE
- 2026-03-26 Listed $159,900 WCARE
- 2018-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $63,600 Public Records
- 2014-08-25 Listed $69,000 WCARE
- 2008-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,262 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…