725 Lincoln St · Waterloo, IA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home offers 3bed 1.5 bath compleatly renovated. Great investment opportunity with major updates already completed. This property features a brand new roof, new water heater, new carpet and updated tile shower. Main floor Landry. This home also offers a specious double stall garage with additional parking space, making it ideal for tenants or homeowners needing extra space.
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- New carpet
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; 2 carport spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; 2-story
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle siding; Vinyl siding; Shingle/asphalt roof; Built with block basement
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Concrete road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling reported
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Block basement (finished area below grade)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on lower level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Fred Becker Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #494 of 616 statewide, top 83%, 473 students, 76% FRL); Central Middle School (math 49% / reading 46%, grade C-, #226 of 246 statewide, top 92%, 471 students, 85% FRL); West High School (math 55% / reading 63%, grade C+, #273 of 336 statewide, top 81%, 1,652 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 58% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.28%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,525
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 67.11%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 914 Lincoln St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,380 (+4%) | 3mo | $29,000 | $21 | 79 |
| 221 Center St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,291 (-3%) | 6mo | $38,000 | $29 | 76 |
| 215 Dane St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,276 (-4%) | 11mo | $86,900 | $68 | 63 |
| 413 Conger Street St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,149 (-14%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $57 | 62 |
| 708 Newton St St | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 | 1,285 (-3%) | 7mo | $71,500 | $56 | 62 |
| 411 Argyle St St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,360 (+2%) | 8mo | $104,000 | $76 | 61 |
| 126 Hope Avenue Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,185 (-11%) | 6mo | $56,000 | $47 | 50 |
| 71 Lafayette St | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 | 1,392 (+5%) | 11mo | $70,000 | $50 | 50 |
| 813 Kern St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 | 1,183 (-11%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $139 | 48 |
| 236 Boston Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,403 (+6%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $53 | 47 |
| 806 Conger St St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,140 (-14%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $75 | 40 |
| 400 Charles St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,183 (-11%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $76 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $13,773
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $61,443
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50703
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,164 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $908/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $411 | -5% $387 | +0% $363 | +5% $339 | +10% $314 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $271 | -5% $317 | +0% $363 | +5% $409 | +10% $455 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $405 | -0.5pp $384 | base $363 | +0.5pp $341 | +1.0pp $318 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Reed St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1492 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 214 Edwards St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $825 | $0.72 | 22d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 824 Logan Ave Waterloo, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,425 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1125 Ackermant St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 440 Cutler St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1566 | $1,200 | $0.77 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 137 Hope Ave Waterloo, IA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,550 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 306 Charles St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $925 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 401 Charles St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1276 | $995 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 405 W Donald St Waterloo, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,000 | $1.14 | 22d | 4 | 0.93mi |
| 739 Sherman Ave Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $925 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 919 Oneida St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $930 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1107 Mulberry St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $950 | $0.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 216 Courtland St Apt 1 Waterloo, IA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $825 | $0.72 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 416 Sunnyside Ave Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $825 | $0.69 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 418 Sunnyside Ave Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $675 | $0.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2025-10-02$109,500 Active 380-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $908 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,121 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$213/yr (+$18/mo · 23.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,966
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$908
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,117
- − Management
- −$1,117
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,164
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$759
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,591/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterloo Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930480
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,545
- Composite
- 43.72/100
- National rank
- #2950
- State rank
- #276 of 289 in IA
Livability — Waterloo
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterloo, IA
- County
- Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
- City population
- 69,066
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,952
- Household income
- $50,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 871.0
Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 139,716 people
- By 2030
- 142,853 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 147,843 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 153,247 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 167,977 · +20.2%
- By 2100
- 177,320 · +26.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.18%
- Current HPI
- 132.9478
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.67%
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $85,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $908 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…