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17431 SE 35th Ln
B- Composite 68.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

17431 SE 35th Ln · Silver Springs Shores East, FL 32179
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 125 Days on market
Built 1972 0.48 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Big 750 Acre Lake Access Getaway! Spacious 1400 Sq Ft 3/2 frame home located in the Ocala National Forest. Home sits on two big paved road chain link fenced lots (. 48 acre), just one block from 750 acre Lake Bryant with access to boat ramp & pavilion. Home is dated but seller states the following are 10 years old: Roof, water pump & tank, and central A/C & heat. Outside electric breaker also updated. Includes 4 carports, , 8x12 shed & 12x16 shed. Hurry don't miss this one!

Key facts

  • Great natural light
  • Split floor plan
  • Carport

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANLARGE KITCHENAMPLE CABINET SPACEGENEROUS LIVING ROOMGREAT NATURAL LIGHTCARPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 85 x 125 (0.48 acres / 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Private utilities; Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Faces south; Residential zoning (R4); Has additional parcels; Homestead exempt
  • Construction: Metal siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built area approximately 1,400 (public records)
  • Exterior features: Concrete road access; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen and family room combo; Split bedroom floorplan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 5.2% in Silver Springs Shores East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: East Marion Elementary School (math 29% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,773 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 620 students, 79% FRL); Lake Weir High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,483 students, 68% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,767/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 303% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.40%
Cash-on-cash
25.39%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$231,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2750 SE 179th Ave 0.69mi 3/2.5 1,481 (+6%) 7mo $245,000 $165 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$23,701
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
27.3%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$74,157
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32179

Home prices YoY
-18.3%
Active inventory
426
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,767 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,461/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$652

Break-even live

Break-even rent $942
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 124 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 123 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 122 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 120 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 687-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $110,000 Active 119 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,461 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,461 · $122/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,208
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,461
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,697
− Management
−$1,697
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$6,442
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,546
After-tax cash flow
$6,275/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores East

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Marion County · 315,796 people
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
9,318
Household income
$46,512
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
303.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.21%
Current HPI
242.0408
Rent YoY
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+256.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-01 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2020-01-31 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-24 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-07-16 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-08 Listed $43,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1982-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,461 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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