302 3rd St · Oakdale, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$184,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Buyer responsible for ALL inspections, permits, dye tests etc. LIST office holds hand$. Subject to corp addenda & approval. Countrywide prequal or SOF with all offers.
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- 3,598 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Metal roof
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Walk-up basement access
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Stove; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Multi-pane windows; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Some electric appliances
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (1.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (1.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#329 in PA, #2,886 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- West Allegheny SD (suburban): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #22 of 539 in PA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mckee El Sch (math 65% / reading 80%, grade A, #121 of 1,518 statewide, top 8%, 489 students, 38% FRL); West Allegheny Ms (math 46% / reading 70%, grade B, #59 of 512 statewide, top 12%, 767 students, 30% FRL); West Allegheny Shs (math 76%, 997 students, 23% FRL).
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $185k implies a 320% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.52%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,109
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241 W State St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,072 (+2%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $93 | 79 |
| 103 Jade Dr | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-11%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $251 | 72 |
| 505 3rd St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-9%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $172 | 69 |
| 211 Aberdeen | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+14%) | 9mo | $242,500 | $202 | 64 |
| 627 Seminary Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 921 (-12%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $98 | 52 |
| 210 Hudson Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-2%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $116 | 51 |
| 221 Center Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+11%) | 5mo | $142,000 | $121 | 47 |
| 219 Cottonwood Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,200 (+14%) | 20mo | $297,500 | $248 | 47 |
| 640 Seminary Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,125 (+7%) | 15mo | $95,555 | $85 | 41 |
| 306 Western Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,182 (+12%) | 18mo | $188,500 | $159 | 38 |
| 580 N Highland Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-13%) | 24mo | $185,000 | $203 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-14,806
- Equity at exit
- $27,569
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $6,557
- Equity at exit
- $15,987
Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15071
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,814 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,779/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $238
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $343 | -5% $291 | +0% $238 | +5% $186 | +10% $134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $95 | -5% $167 | +0% $238 | +5% $310 | +10% $382 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $331 | -0.5pp $285 | base $238 | +0.5pp $190 | +1.0pp $142 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,225
- Closing costs
- $5,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-10status $184,900 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $184,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 651-char remark
-
2026-06-08$184,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,779 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,350 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- +$571/yr (+$48/mo · 32.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,771
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,357
- − Property taxes
- −$1,779
- − Insurance
- −$924
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,742
- − Management
- −$1,742
- − Depreciation
- −$5,379
- Taxable loss
- −$152
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$37
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,896/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Allegheny SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225200
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,549
- Composite
- 61.41/100
- National rank
- #763
- State rank
- #22 of 539 in PA
Livability — Oakdale
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #329
- US rank
- #2886
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oakdale, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,455
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.90%
- Current HPI
- 266.6786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+639.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $184,900 West Penn MLS
- 2011-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 2008-04-30 Sold (MLS) $31,175 West Penn MLS
- 2007-11-01 Listed $29,900 West Penn MLS
- 1989-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,779 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…