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3322 Mccrarey Dr
D Composite 42.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

3322 Mccrarey Dr · Houston, TX 77088
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1954 5,998 sqft lot $147/sqft · 10% below area Est $173k · 10% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this super cute home located in the Garden City Park subdivision. Awesome layout with 3 bedrooms 1 bath, conveniently laundry room inside the house.

Key facts

  • 5,998 sq ft lot
  • Built 1954
  • Listed 107 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-818/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (7.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (12.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Klein ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nitsch El (math 46% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 663 students, 86% FRL); Klein Int (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,222 of 1,662 statewide, top 74%, 1,062 students, 86% FRL); Klein H S (math 58% / reading 67%, grade B-, #234 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 3,352 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 37% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 471 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,878 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.89%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,086
List price
$155,000
Delta
-10.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3214 Stallings Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,096 (+4%) 2mo $195,000 $178 75
10010 Gloyna St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (-1%) 9mo $182,000 $173 71
3305 Stallings Dr 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+8%) 3mo $169,000 $148 70
3201 Proswimmer St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 937 (-11%) 2mo $171,000 $182 67
3225 Stallings Dr 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,096 (+4%) 22mo $190,000 $173 62
10009 Lonallen St 0.30mi 2/1.5 1,184 (+12%) 4mo $165,000 $139 61
2906 Mccrarey Dr 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+9%) 20mo $192,000 $167 50
8718 Roaring Point Dr 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,160 (+10%) 13mo $150,000 $129 44
9906 Gloyna St 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,156 (+10%) 21mo $169,997 $147 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.0%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-33,379
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
-29.2%
Equity multiple
-0.15×
Total profit
$-49,789
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77088

Home prices YoY
-23.2%
Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
471
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,359 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$264 /mo · $3,171/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$-68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,445
Max offer price $142,951
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $20 -5% $-24 +0% $-68 +5% $-112 +10% $-156
Rent -10% $-176 -5% $-122 +0% $-68 +5% $-15 +10% $39
Rate -1.0pp $10 -0.5pp $-29 base $-68 +0.5pp $-108 +1.0pp $-149

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5300 W Gulf Bank Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 762 $1,250 $1.64 45d 1 0.39mi
5300 W Gulf Bank Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 762 $1,250 $1.64 24d 1 0.39mi
2850 W Gulf Bank Rd Houston, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1055 $1,228 $1.16 1d 109 0.41mi
11111 W Montgomery Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 964 $981 $1.02 5d 1 0.45mi
5306 W Gulf Bank Rd Unit 1204 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 945 $965 $1.02 26d 1 0.47mi
2722 Stallings Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,599 $1.23 0d 1 0.47mi
11111 W Montgomery Rd Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 964 $941 $0.98 0d 1 0.47mi
11111 W Montgomery Rd Unit 2292 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 964 $931 $0.97 45d 1 0.47mi
11111 W Montgomery Rd Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 964 $992 $1.03 14d 1 0.47mi
11111 W Montgomery Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 964 $957 $0.99 9d 1 0.47mi
2320 Wavell St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1150 $1,683 $1.46 45d 1 0.84mi
2320 Wavell St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1150 $1,900 $1.65 45d 1 0.84mi
2407 Ferguson Way Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1195 $1,650 $1.38 45d 1 1.06mi
13 Regency Ln Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1354 $1,650 $1.22 45d 1 1.09mi
8101 Venus St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1375 $1,595 $1.16 26d 1 1.11mi
8101 Venus St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1375 $1,699 $1.24 26d 1 1.11mi
7903 Moon Beam St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1217 $1,700 $1.40 18d 1 1.33mi
12011 Madison Oak St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1442 $1,800 $1.25 9d 1 1.39mi
7800 Bayou Forest Dr Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1105 $1,350 $1.22 45d 4 1.42mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $155,000 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $155,000 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 87 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 86 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    price $155,000 159-char remark
    Show marketing remark (159 chars)

    Welcome to this super cute home located in the Garden City Park subdivision. Awesome layout with 3 bedrooms 1 bath, conveniently laundry room inside the house.

  16. 2026-03-06
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (159 chars)

    Welcome to this super cute home located in the Garden City Park subdivision. Awesome layout with 3 bedrooms 1 bath, conveniently laundry room inside the house.

  17. 2026-03-06
    listed $159,999 Active 159-char remark
    Show marketing remark (159 chars)

    Welcome to this super cute home located in the Garden City Park subdivision. Awesome layout with 3 bedrooms 1 bath, conveniently laundry room inside the house.

  18. 2026-03-06
    historical
    Show marketing remark (159 chars)

    Welcome to this super cute home located in the Garden City Park subdivision. Awesome layout with 3 bedrooms 1 bath, conveniently laundry room inside the house.

  19. 2026-03-04
    historical
  20. 2026-01-04
    listed $159,999 Active
  21. 2025-12-31
    historical
  22. 2025-12-09
    price $159,999
  23. 2025-08-26
    price $169,999
  24. 2025-05-22
    listed $179,900 Active
  25. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,171 · $264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,171 · $264/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,305
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$3,171
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,304
− Management
−$1,304
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$3,441
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$826
After-tax cash flow
$7/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Klein ISD
NCES district ID
4825740
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$78,288
Composite
40.91/100
National rank
#3615
State rank
#213 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
57,047
Household income
$54,411
Rent vs Own
38.1% rent · 61.9% own
Severe rent burden
2294.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Black 37% Two or more races 18% White 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 47% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.37%
Current HPI
325.0499
Rent YoY
▼ -1.01%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $155,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $159,999 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-01-04 Listed $159,999 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $159,999 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $169,999 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-22 Listed $179,900 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,171 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…