530 Discovery Ave · Centerton, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
$225,170
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The 1100 Bungalow floor plan is a 3 bed, 2 bath 1100 square foot home that provides a safe, modern, and tranquil place for buyers to call home. LVP flooring and carpet in your home with durability and style. Created with the first-time homebuyer or savvy investors in mind, residents can be situated within walking distance of exciting neighborhood amenities, premier school districts and downtown life in Northwest Arkansas.
Key facts
- Walking distance
- Lvp flooring
- Downtown life
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-240 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (15.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (26.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.9% in Centerton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#11 in AR, #3,194 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 887 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.57%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,460
- List price
- $225,170
- Delta
- -5.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641 Apollo Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+1%) | 1mo | $228,662 | $208 | 93 |
| 501 Solar St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+1%) | 2mo | $222,170 | $202 | 88 |
| 631 Apollo Ave | 0.12mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,100 (+1%) | 2mo | $229,114 | $208 | 85 |
| 570 Solar St | 0.15mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,100 (+1%) | 2mo | $224,085 | $204 | 84 |
| 621 Apollo Ave | 0.21mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,100 (+1%) | 2mo | $228,085 | $207 | 81 |
| 510 Discovery Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,250 (+14%) | 0mo | $240,142 | $192 | 70 |
| 501 Discovery Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,250 (+14%) | 1mo | $239,726 | $192 | 69 |
| 531 Discovery Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,250 (+14%) | 1mo | $239,726 | $192 | 67 |
| 500 Solar St | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 1,250 (+14%) | 0mo | $243,142 | $195 | 64 |
| 511 Solar St | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,250 (+14%) | 2mo | $246,142 | $197 | 64 |
| 581 Discovery Ave | 0.14mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,250 (+14%) | 0mo | $242,549 | $194 | 62 |
| 601 Apollo Ave | 0.22mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,250 (+14%) | 1mo | $238,328 | $191 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $103,089
- Equity at exit
- $202,851
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.88×
- Total profit
- $307,907
- Equity at exit
- $437,456
Cash invested: $63,048 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 97 active · 30 under contract
- Months of supply
- 20.8 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $241,328 ($200/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 59 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +8.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 72713
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 887
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,666 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,181
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,378/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $-240
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-85 | -5% $-163 | +0% $-240 | +5% $-318 | +10% $-396 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-372 | -5% $-306 | +0% $-240 | +5% $-175 | +10% $-109 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-127 | -0.5pp $-183 | base $-240 | +0.5pp $-299 | +1.0pp $-358 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,292
- Closing costs
- $6,755
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 831 Ventnor Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,525 | $1.39 | 72d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 830 Ventnor Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 70d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 820 Boardwalk Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 72d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 861 Ventnor Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 72d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 860 Ventnor Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 72d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 840 Boardwalk Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,465 | $1.33 | 72d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 881 Ventnor Ave Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 72d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 841 Tennessee Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,640 | $1.31 | 72d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 830 Massachusetts Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,718 | $1.37 | 72d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 890 Tennessee Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,595 | $1.28 | 70d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 831 Massachusetts Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,718 | $1.37 | 72d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 840 States Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,624 | $1.48 | 72d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 860 States Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,718 | $1.37 | 72d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 960 Ventnor Ave Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 72d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 891 States Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,718 | $1.37 | 72d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 821 Arctic Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,726 | $1.38 | 72d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 931 States Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,718 | $1.37 | 72d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1031 Kentucky Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 72d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1040 Indiana Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,624 | $1.48 | 72d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1020 States Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,624 | $1.48 | 72d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1050 Indiana Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,624 | $1.48 | 72d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1061 Kentucky Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 72d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1021 States Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,850 | $1.48 | 63d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1071 Ventnor Ave Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 72d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1061 Indiana Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,624 | $1.48 | 72d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1080 Indiana Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,624 | $1.48 | 72d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1060 States Ave Bentonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,624 | $1.48 | 72d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1091 Indiana Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,718 | $1.37 | 72d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1090 States Ave Bentonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,718 | $1.37 | 72d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 811 Meadowlands Dr Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,225 | $0.83 | 72d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 410 Coconut Ln Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,850 | $1.33 | 72d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 501 E Centerton Blvd Centerton, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,292 | $1.55 | 63d | 25 | 0.56mi |
| 156 Copper Oaks Dr Centerton, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,550 | $1.36 | 72d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 621-623 Cosmos St Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $1,795 | $1.22 | 63d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 130 cedar St Centerton, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 897 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 63d | 12 | 0.71mi |
| 240 Sage St Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 72d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 533 Vee St Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 63d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 261 Copper Oaks Dr Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,425 | $1.07 | 72d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 263 Copper Oaks Dr Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,425 | $1.07 | 72d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 422 Red Robin St Unit 422 Centerton, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,550 | $1.20 | 63d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: 530 Discovery Ave, Centerton, AR 72713Listing status: Active
- Financial info
- List price $225,170
Exterior
- Home design
- Bungalow-style single-family homeSpec home (new construction)
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,093
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Spec-built 1100-3 Bungalow plan
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,170 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,170 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,170 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,170 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $225,170 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,170 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,170 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,170 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $224,170 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,170 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,170 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,170 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,170 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,170 Active 10 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,986
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,613
- − Property taxes
- −$3,378
- − Insurance
- −$1,126
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,599
- − Management
- −$1,599
- − Depreciation
- −$6,550
- Taxable loss
- −$6,878
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,651
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,233/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is in excellent condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. It offers a great opportunity for investors or first-time buyers looking for a move-in-ready property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can attract tech-savvy buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers and renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bentonville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503060
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,721
- Composite
- 51.85/100
- National rank
- #1661
- State rank
- #3 of 238 in AR
Livability — Centerton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #3194
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Centerton, AR
- County
- Benton County · 318,683 people
- City population
- 19,701
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,999
- Household income
- $119,853
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2% of renters
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Asian 20% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.77%
- Current HPI
- 319.3081
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.39%
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…