120 Thompson St · Salem, NJ
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming 3-bedroom home offers the perfect blend of classic character and modern updates. Step inside to find a beautifully updated kitchen featuring contemporary finishes, ample cabinet space, and sleek countertops—ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The renovated bathroom adds a fresh, stylish touch with modern fixtures and thoughtful design. The home features three well-sized bedrooms with plenty of natural light, along with comfortable living and dining spaces that create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major commuter routes, this move-in-ready property is a fantastic opportunity for homeowners and investors alike
Key facts
- Renovated bathroom
- Natural light
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area reported as 1,348 (assessor); No below-grade area reported; Year built source: Assessor
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Semi-detached home; Frame construction
- Construction: Block foundation; Above- and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 32 x 120
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level; 2 bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Natural gas hot water; Other heating type
- Interior features: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $343 of equity ($761 loan paydown + $-418 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
- Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.95%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $207,592
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 S Third St | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,348 (0%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $156 | 84 |
| 304 New Market St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,310 (-3%) | 4mo | $186,000 | $142 | 78 |
| 197 Pine Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,318 (-2%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $156 | 74 |
| 201 Chestnut St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,308 (-3%) | 6mo | $128,500 | $98 | 68 |
| 115 Chestnut St | 0.23mi | 3/3.5 | 1,282 (-5%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $144 | 65 |
| 179 Victory Ave | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,449 (+8%) | 0mo | $238,000 | $164 | 63 |
| 188 Cook Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (-6%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $167 | 55 |
| 272 E Broadway | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+11%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $43 | 52 |
| 170 Johnson St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,417 (+5%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $127 | 50 |
| 208 9th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,149 (-15%) | 1mo | $224,000 | $195 | 48 |
| 352 Allen Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,460 (+8%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $154 | 44 |
| 18 Market St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,546 (+15%) | 2mo | $235,870 | $153 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $21,716
- Equity at exit
- $29,865
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $66,160
- Equity at exit
- $34,283
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08079
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,713 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,934/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Walnut St Unit A Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,225 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 218 Sinnickson St Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1 9th St Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 242 Grant St Unit 1ST FLOOR Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,675 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 270-272 Grant St Salem, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1644 | $2,100 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 332 E Broadway Salem, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $1,980 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 23 7th St Unit B Salem, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 37 Eighth St Salem, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,850 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 380 E Broadway Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 124 Yorke St Unit 37 Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-03-28$110,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,934 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,934 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,562
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,934
- − Insurance
- −$1,348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,645
- − Management
- −$1,645
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,629
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$871
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,169/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3414550
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,118
- Composite
- 11.51/100
- National rank
- #9702
- State rank
- #464 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #462
- US rank
- #17533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, NJ
- County
- Salem County · 24,175 people
- City population
- 10,762
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,762
- Household income
- $54,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 663.0
Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,905 people
- By 2030
- 57,351 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 51,837 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 46,356 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 36,452 · -39.2%
- By 2100
- 28,907 · -51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Salem
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.38%
- Current HPI
- 258.0047
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,934 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…