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B+ Composite 79.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$110,000

120 Thompson St · Salem, NJ 08079
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,348 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1880 3,842 sqft lot Est $208k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming 3-bedroom home offers the perfect blend of classic character and modern updates. Step inside to find a beautifully updated kitchen featuring contemporary finishes, ample cabinet space, and sleek countertops—ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The renovated bathroom adds a fresh, stylish touch with modern fixtures and thoughtful design. The home features three well-sized bedrooms with plenty of natural light, along with comfortable living and dining spaces that create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major commuter routes, this move-in-ready property is a fantastic opportunity for homeowners and investors alike

Key facts

  • Renovated bathroom
  • Natural light
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENRENOVATED BATHROOMNATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area reported as 1,348 (assessor); No below-grade area reported; Year built source: Assessor
  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached home; Frame construction
  • Construction: Block foundation; Above- and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 32 x 120

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level; 2 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Natural gas hot water; Other heating type
  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $343 of equity ($761 loan paydown + $-418 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
11.60%
Cash-on-cash
18.95%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$207,592
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
51 S Third St 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,348 (0%) 9mo $210,000 $156 84
304 New Market St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,310 (-3%) 4mo $186,000 $142 78
197 Pine Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,318 (-2%) 2mo $205,000 $156 74
201 Chestnut St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,308 (-3%) 6mo $128,500 $98 68
115 Chestnut St 0.23mi 3/3.5 1,282 (-5%) 8mo $185,000 $144 65
179 Victory Ave 0.38mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,449 (+8%) 0mo $238,000 $164 63
188 Cook Ave 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (-6%) 6mo $210,000 $167 55
272 E Broadway 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+11%) 1mo $65,000 $43 52
170 Johnson St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,417 (+5%) 9mo $180,000 $127 50
208 9th St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,149 (-15%) 1mo $224,000 $195 48
352 Allen Ave 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,460 (+8%) 6mo $225,000 $154 44
18 Market St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,546 (+15%) 2mo $235,870 $153 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$21,716
Equity at exit
$29,865
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$66,160
Equity at exit
$34,283

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08079

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,713 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$244 /mo · $2,934/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,182
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26 Walnut St Unit A Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,225 $1.23 1d 1 0.36mi
218 Sinnickson St Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,500 $1.49 1d 1 0.43mi
1 9th St Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 1d 1 0.53mi
242 Grant St Unit 1ST FLOOR Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 925 $1,675 $1.81 1d 1 0.55mi
270-272 Grant St Salem, NJ 4.0 1.0 1644 $2,100 $1.28 5d 1 0.60mi
332 E Broadway Salem, NJ 3.0 2.0 1844 $1,980 $1.07 43d 1 0.66mi
23 7th St Unit B Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 3d 1 0.73mi
37 Eighth St Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,850 $1.69 1d 1 0.74mi
380 E Broadway Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,350 $1.04 1d 1 0.79mi
124 Yorke St Unit 37 Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1220 $1,350 $1.11 2d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-03-28
    listed $110,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,934 · $244/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,934 · $244/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,562
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$2,934
− Insurance
−$1,348
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,645
− Management
−$1,645
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$3,629
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$871
After-tax cash flow
$4,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem City School District
NCES district ID
3414550
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$27,118
Composite
11.51/100
National rank
#9702
State rank
#464 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Salem

Score
61/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#17533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
City population
10,762
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
10,762
Household income
$54,641
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.38%
Current HPI
258.0047
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,934 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…