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31 William St Triplex
D+ Composite 48.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.8/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$685,000

31 William St · Danbury, CT 06810
7 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,288 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1900 3,049 sqft lot Est $620k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 3 family house in a great location of down town Danbury. Gross income $4,000.00 monthly

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Three family home
  • Conveniently located

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYTHREE FAMILY HOMESEPARATE UTILITIESON OFF STREET PARKINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas hot water
  • Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Built as a multi-family building
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 7 bedrooms total
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Window units and ceiling fans for cooling; 50-gallon natural gas hot water tank
  • Interior features: Total of 17 rooms; Home automation wiring and electric outlets throughout; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units; Has a walk-up attic; Crawl space with dirt floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $685k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $989 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $330/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $684k (0.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $644k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.6% in Danbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in CT, #3,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Danbury School District (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #131 of 153 in CT (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Park Avenue School (math 16% / reading 17%, grade F, #466 of 553 statewide, top 84%, 608 students, 53% FRL); Danbury High School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #137 of 194 statewide, top 70%, 3,590 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,845/mo this rent would consume 107% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 3255% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($644k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $350k; list at $685k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $643,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.12%
Cash-on-cash
6.54%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$620,048
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32 Spring St 0.38mi 6/3.0 (-1) 2,174 (-5%) 7mo $520,000 $239 63
17 Pleasant St 0.27mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,451 (+7%) 9mo $665,000 $271 59
10-12 William St 0.12mi 8/4.0 (+1) 2,464 (+8%) 18mo $679,000 $276 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-47,535
Equity at exit
$102,136
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$41,632
Equity at exit
$59,226

Cash invested: $191,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06810

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
25.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,845 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,592
Tax from tax record
$485 /mo · $5,822/yr
Insurance
$285
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,437
Net cashflow
$989

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,593
Max offer price $685,000
Occupancy floor 81%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $6,845

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$171,250
Closing costs
$20,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-04-18
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-10
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-09
    historical
  4. 2026-03-24
    price $685,000
  5. 2026-02-16
    price $714,900
  6. 2026-02-02
    listed $749,900 Active
  7. 2025-10-14
    historical
  8. 2025-09-10
    listed $749,900 Active
  9. 2024-05-16
    historical $1,650
  10. 2024-05-09
    price $1,650
  11. 2024-04-23
    price $1,700
  12. 2024-04-12
    listed $1,800
  13. 2024-04-10
    historical $1,800
  14. 2024-04-03
    listed $1,800
  15. 2020-09-09
    soldstatus $350,000
  16. 2020-09-04
    soldstatus $335,000 Closed 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Nice 3 family house in a great location of down town Danbury. Gross income $4,000.00 monthly

  17. 2020-06-23
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Nice 3 family house in a great location of down town Danbury. Gross income $4,000.00 monthly

  18. 2020-06-04
    listed $355,000 Active 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Nice 3 family house in a great location of down town Danbury. Gross income $4,000.00 monthly

  19. 2020-06-03
    historical $355,000 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Nice 3 family house in a great location of down town Danbury. Gross income $4,000.00 monthly

  20. 2019-08-21
    historical
  21. 2019-05-14
    status Active
  22. 2019-05-14
    historical
  23. 2019-04-12
    price $399,000
  24. 2019-03-23
    price $408,000
  25. 2019-03-07
    price $411,000
  26. 2019-02-08
    price $416,000
  27. 2019-01-22
    price $419,000
  28. 2018-12-22
    price $424,000
  29. 2018-11-26
    price $434,000
  30. 2018-11-12
    listed $439,000 Active
  31. 2016-07-27
    soldstatus $125,000
  32. 2015-12-23
    listed $125,000
  33. 2015-12-14
    historical
  34. 2015-06-23
    listed $100,000
  35. 2000-02-05
    soldstatus $95,000
  36. 1999-12-17
    listed $94,900
  37. 1996-07-29
    historical
  38. 1996-03-12
    listed $98,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,822 · $485/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,240 · $853/mo
Expected delta
+$4,418/yr (+$368/mo · 75.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$82,140
− Mortgage interest
−$38,371
− Property taxes
−$5,822
− Insurance
−$4,092
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,571
− Management
−$6,571
− Depreciation
−$19,927
Taxable income
$786
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$189
After-tax cash flow
$11,682/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Danbury School District
NCES district ID
0901020
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$65,793
Composite
23.93/100
National rank
#7784
State rank
#131 of 153 in CT

Livability — Danbury

Score
76/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#3379

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Danbury, CT
County
Fairfield County · 765,532 people
City population
87,061
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
Population (ZIP)
55,833
Household income
$76,933
Rent vs Own
59.5% rent · 40.5% own
Severe rent burden
3255.0

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 37% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 12% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Estonian 8% Russian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -309.71%
Current HPI
286.5484
Rent YoY
▲ 3.08%
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+592.6% since first listed
38 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $685,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $714,900 Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $749,900 Smart MLS
  • 2025-10-14 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2025-09-10 Listed $749,900 Smart MLS
  • 2024-05-16 Rental Removed $1,650 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-05-09 Price Changed $1,650 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-23 Price Changed $1,700 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-12 Listed for Rent $1,800 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,800 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-03 Listed for Rent $1,800 APPFOLIO
  • 2020-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
  • 2020-09-04 Sold (MLS) $335,000 Smart MLS
  • 2020-06-23 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2020-06-04 Listed $355,000 Smart MLS
  • 2020-06-03 Coming Soon $355,000 Smart MLS
  • 2019-08-21 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2019-05-14 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2019-05-14 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2019-04-12 Price Changed $399,000 Smart MLS
  • 2019-03-23 Price Changed $408,000 Smart MLS
  • 2019-03-07 Price Changed $411,000 Smart MLS
  • 2019-02-08 Price Changed $416,000 Smart MLS
  • 2019-01-22 Price Changed $419,000 Smart MLS
  • 2018-12-22 Price Changed $424,000 Smart MLS
  • 2018-11-26 Price Changed $434,000 Smart MLS
  • 2018-11-12 Listed $439,000 Smart MLS
  • 2016-07-27 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Smart MLS
  • 2015-12-23 Listed $125,000 Smart MLS
  • 2015-12-14 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2015-06-23 Listed $100,000 Smart MLS
  • 2000-02-05 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Smart MLS
  • 1999-12-17 Listed $94,900 Smart MLS
  • 1996-07-29 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 1996-03-12 Listed $98,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,822 · +14.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…