2701 E Utopia Rd #153 · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.5
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your new home at Paradise Shadows, a vibrant active adult community in North Phoenix. Residents enjoy access to a beautifully appointed clubhouse, complete with an indoor heated pool and relaxing jacuzzi. Perfectly situated on a premium corner lot within the community, this home offers exceptional privacy with no rear or side neighbor, along with stunning mountain views. Enjoy peaceful mornings watching the sunrise from the porch, and unwind in the evening with beautiful sunset views from your private yard. Inside, the home has been meticulously cared for and thoughtfully maintained.
Key facts
- Premium corner lot
- Clubhouse
- Indoor heated pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $723 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sunset Canyon School (math 16% / reading 25%, grade F, #729 of 1,109 statewide, top 67%, 366 students, 54% FRL); Mountain Trail Middle School (math 33% / reading 41%, grade F, #57 of 218 statewide, top 27%, 680 students, 24% FRL); Pinnacle High School (math 49% / reading 54%, grade D+, #35 of 381 statewide, top 9%, 2,479 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($140k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.80%
- DSCR
- 2.73
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,933
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -37.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2913 E Piute Ave | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 5mo | $295,000 | $236 | 79 |
| 2535 E Oraibi Dr | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,162 (-6%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $245 | 72 |
| 2233 E Behrend Dr #29 | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 4mo | $131,000 | $105 | 60 |
| 2544 E Piute Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,066 (-14%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $249 | 57 |
| 2233 E Behrend Dr #219 | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-6%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $78 | 54 |
| 2610 E Tonto Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+9%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $186 | 53 |
| 19602 N 32nd St #21 | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,152 (-6%) | 6mo | $124,000 | $108 | 50 |
| 19802 N 32nd St #156 | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+9%) | 0mo | $88,000 | $65 | 50 |
| 2938 E Tonto Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,362 (+11%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $220 | 49 |
| 19802 N 32nd St #78 | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,162 (-6%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $56 | 47 |
| 19802 N 32nd St #76 | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+9%) | 5mo | $124,900 | $93 | 47 |
| 2233 E Behrend Dr #93 | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-14%) | 8mo | $47,000 | $45 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $31,507
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 40.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $80,262
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 25 active · 13 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.1 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $110,000 ($99/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 88 d
- This list price
- 12% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85050
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,615 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $723
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $779 | -5% $751 | +0% $723 | +5% $696 | +10% $668 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $596 | -5% $660 | +0% $723 | +5% $787 | +10% $851 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $764 | -0.5pp $744 | base $723 | +0.5pp $703 | +1.0pp $682 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2525 E Siesta Ln Unit 207 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2744 E Villa Theresa Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 8d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3049 E Siesta Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $2,195 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3056 E Siesta Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,375 | $1.61 | 62d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 18660 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1019 | $1,598 | $1.57 | 0d | 9 | 0.49mi |
| 2335 E Utopia Rd Unit 16 Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1426 | $2,550 | $1.79 | 67d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2335 E Utopia Rd Unit 6 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1355 | $2,100 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2731 E Michigan Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $2,249 | $1.98 | 29d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2755 E Michigan Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,700 | $2.05 | 66d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3122 E Topeka Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $2,100 | $1.65 | 71d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 19635 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1134 | $1,720 | $1.52 | 0d | 8 | 0.55mi |
| 18416 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 786 | $3,000 | $3.81 | 48d | 7 | 0.57mi |
| 18416 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 786 | $3,000 | $3.81 | 53d | 9 | 0.57mi |
| 18416 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 774 | $2,800 | $3.62 | 2d | 5 | 0.57mi |
| 18250 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 18250 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,725 | $1.20 | 26d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2554 E Villa Rita Dr Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $2,750 | $2.46 | 73d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2914 E Michelle Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $2,350 | $1.65 | 0d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3034 E Villa Maria Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $2,120 | $1.60 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 18250 N Cave Creek Rd #108 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2920 E Michelle Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $2,350 | $1.58 | 12d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2465 E John Cabot Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,249 | $2.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3022 E Michigan Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,995 | $1.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2311 E Union Hills Dr Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 710 | $1,519 | $2.14 | 0d | 14 | 0.65mi |
| 2500 E Marco Polo Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $2,455 | $2.67 | 0d | 15 | 0.66mi |
| 3220 E Kerry Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,099 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3220 E Kerry Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,099 | $1.53 | 36d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3214 E Siesta Ln Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $2,200 | $1.79 | 73d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2602 E Charleston Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $2,100 | $1.47 | 73d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 18250 N 32nd St #1044 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1196 | $1,850 | $1.55 | 19d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 18202 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 722 | $895 | $1.24 | 10d | 4 | 0.67mi |
| 18202 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 722 | $1,148 | $1.59 | 53d | 7 | 0.67mi |
| 18211 N 23rd St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,550 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3116 E Michigan Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1425 | $2,090 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2221 E Union Hills Dr #158 Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $2,100 | $1.58 | 67d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3301 E Wescott Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 73d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3259 E Kerry Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,115 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 20050 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 984 | $1,742 | $1.77 | 0d | 13 | 0.78mi |
| 2934 E Blackhawk Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,180 | $1.49 | 31d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 20223 N 30th St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 10d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Tax information available
- HOA & community
- Land lease community with a monthly land lease of $740Association includes grounds maintenanceCommunity amenities include pool, golf, community spa (heated), and community media room
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 covered parking spaces2 open parking spaces2 carport spaces
- Utilities
- City waterPublic sewer (connected)
- Home design
- Manufactured/mobile homeLeasehold ownershipMountain viewsAsphalt road access
- Construction
- Wood sidingVinyl sidingComposition roofMetal roofSee remarks for additional detailsBuilding area reported by owner
- Exterior features
- Private streetPrivate yardStorageShed(s)Block fencingChain link fencingAdjacent to washCorner lotDesert front and desert backGravel/stone in back
Interior
- Kitchen
- PantryRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 2 possible bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central airCeiling fansFloor furnaceWall furnace
- Interior features
- High-speed internetBreakfast barNo interior stepsVaulted ceilingsPantryFull bath in master bedroomBath grab bars
- Laundry & utility
- Inside laundry
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $79,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $79,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $79,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $79,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $79,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $79,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $79,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $79,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $79,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $79,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $79,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $79,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $79,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $79,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $79,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $79,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $79,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $79,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $79,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $79,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $79,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $79,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $79,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $79,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $79,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $79,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $79,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $79,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $79,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $79,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $79,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $79,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $79,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $79,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $79,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $79,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $79,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $79,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,375
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,550
- − Management
- −$1,550
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $7,877
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,890
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,790/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained mobile home in Paradise Shadows offers a good condition with a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace carpet in living room — Freshens up the space and improves rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
- NCES district ID
- 0405930
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,106
- Composite
- 37.89/100
- National rank
- #4316
- State rank
- #56 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,979,203 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,118
- Household income
- $139,836
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.38%
- Current HPI
- 308.7483
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $79,900 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…