217 Dunham St Lot 22 · Southington, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice starter or retirement home. private location located in a tree lined area with covered porch. Located on the Plainville side of Southington, close to Shopping and easy access to the Highway.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Tree lined area
- Private location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowner's association with monthly fee; HOA covers trash pickup, snow removal, and property management
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water connected; Septic required; Electric hot water; Oil fuel with above-ground tank
- Home design: Single-family home on leased land; Prefab construction; Tan exterior siding
- Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Prefab construction; No foundation listed
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Level lot; Paved driveway; Off-street parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating (oil-fired); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Southington School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #51 of 153 in CT (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.30%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-12,001
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,797
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06489
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,882 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,405/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$663
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $85
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $147 | -5% $116 | +0% $85 | +5% $53 | +10% $22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-64 | -5% $10 | +0% $85 | +5% $159 | +10% $233 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $140 | -0.5pp $112 | base $85 | +0.5pp $56 | +1.0pp $27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Stoughton Rd Southington, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,850 | $2.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $663 · $7,956/yr
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $109,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $219,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 195-char remark
-
2026-06-02$219,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,405 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,878 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$473/yr (+$39/mo · 33.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,405
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,807
- − Management
- −$1,807
- − HOA
- −$7,956
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable loss
- −$294
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$70
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,085/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southington School District
- NCES district ID
- 0904230
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,467
- Composite
- 52.38/100
- National rank
- #1581
- State rank
- #51 of 153 in CT
Livability — Southington
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 32,706
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,706
- Household income
- $126,465
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 513.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 7% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -161.57%
- Current HPI
- 179.8884
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $219,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,405 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…