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217 Dunham St Lot 22
C- Composite 53.21
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

217 Dunham St Lot 22 · Southington, CT 06489
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · Manufactured public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1994 $663/mo HOA · 35% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice starter or retirement home. private location located in a tree lined area with covered porch. Located on the Plainville side of Southington, close to Shopping and easy access to the Highway.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Tree lined area
  • Private location

Tags

PRIVATE LOCATIONTREE LINED AREACOVERED PORCHCLOSE TO SHOPPINGEASY ACCESS TO HIGHWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowner's association with monthly fee; HOA covers trash pickup, snow removal, and property management

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Septic required; Electric hot water; Oil fuel with above-ground tank
  • Home design: Single-family home on leased land; Prefab construction; Tan exterior siding
  • Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Prefab construction; No foundation listed
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Level lot; Paved driveway; Off-street parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating (oil-fired); Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Southington School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #51 of 153 in CT (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,251 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
7.22%
Cash-on-cash
3.30%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-12,001
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-1,797
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06489

Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,882 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,405/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$663
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,775
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $147 -5% $116 +0% $85 +5% $53 +10% $22
Rent -10% $-64 -5% $10 +0% $85 +5% $159 +10% $233
Rate -1.0pp $140 -0.5pp $112 base $85 +0.5pp $56 +1.0pp $27

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5 Stoughton Rd Southington, CT 2.0 1.0 720 $1,850 $2.57 44d 1 0.62mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$663 · $7,956/yr

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $109,900 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,900 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 195-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $219,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,405 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,878 · $157/mo
Expected delta
+$473/yr (+$39/mo · 33.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,583
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,405
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,807
− Management
−$1,807
− HOA
−$7,956
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable loss
−$294
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$70
After-tax cash flow
$1,085/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southington School District
NCES district ID
0904230
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$81,467
Composite
52.38/100
National rank
#1581
State rank
#51 of 153 in CT

Livability — Southington

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
32,706
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
32,706
Household income
$126,465
Rent vs Own
18.0% rent · 82.0% own
Severe rent burden
513.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 7% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -161.57%
Current HPI
179.8884
Rent YoY
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $219,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,405 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…