🏗️ New Construction
Lancia's Rockport Plan · Fort Wayne, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Rockport floorplan is a split bedroom ranch with plenty of closet space and 9' ceilings throughout! The spacious Great Room has a tray ceiling and is open to the Nook and Kitchen. Separate Laundry Room off Garage. Owner Suite Bedroom 1 has a walk-in closet, bath has a 5' shower. * Base price does not include land
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Listed 300 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-604 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (1.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.51%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $304,307
- List price
- $219,900
- Delta
- -27.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1019 Candlewood Way | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (+1%) | 2mo | $273,000 | $191 | 85 |
| 11724 Coldwater Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-6%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $197 | 76 |
| 12415 Falcatta Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (+4%) | 2mo | $271,000 | $184 | 69 |
| 12412 Stoneboro Ct | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,310 (-8%) | 0mo | $266,000 | $203 | 63 |
| 12129 Willow Cv | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 1,596 (+12%) | 7mo | $302,000 | $189 | 63 |
| 12531 Stoneboro Ct | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (-2%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $172 | 62 |
| 417 Rampart Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (-11%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $201 | 61 |
| 12625 Stoneboro Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,366 (-4%) | 4mo | $257,500 | $189 | 61 |
| 109 Kittridge Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,309 (-8%) | 10mo | $242,500 | $185 | 52 |
| 12016 Willowind Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (+14%) | 10mo | $283,500 | $175 | 50 |
| 1718 Monet Cv | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,227 (-14%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $216 | 46 |
| 1809 Monet Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (-11%) | 3mo | $266,100 | $210 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-77,378
- Equity at exit
- $45,373
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-69,540
- Equity at exit
- $26,311
Cash invested: $85,206 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46845
- Home prices YoY
- -34.6%
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,960 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,596
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$380 /mo · $4,565/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-604
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,077
- Closing costs
- $9,129
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10617 Wood Flower Ct Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,695 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 401 Augusta Way Fort Wayne, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1198 | $1,765 | $1.47 | 13d | 14 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,900 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,900 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,900 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,900 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,900 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $219,900 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $216,400 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $216,400 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $216,400 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-02-09price $216,400 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Rockport floorplan is a split bedroom ranch with plenty of closet space and 9' ceilings throughout! The spacious Great Room has a tray ceiling and is open to the Nook and Kitchen. Separate Laundry Room off Garage. Owner Suite Bedroom 1 has a walk-in closet, bath has a 5' shower. * Base price does not include land
-
2025-08-22$214,300 Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Rockport floorplan is a split bedroom ranch with plenty of closet space and 9' ceilings throughout! The spacious Great Room has a tray ceiling and is open to the Nook and Kitchen. Separate Laundry Room off Garage. Owner Suite Bedroom 1 has a walk-in closet, bath has a 5' shower. * Base price does not include land
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,046
- − Property taxes
- −$4,565
- − Insurance
- −$1,522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,882
- − Management
- −$1,882
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$8,853
- Taxable loss
- −$12,824
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,078
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great opportunity for a potential buyer or renter, with high ROI potential from minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental appeal.
- Both Upgrading appliances — Newer appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Adding a smart thermostat — Energy-efficient systems can lower utility costs and appeal to eco-conscious buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental appeal. ↑
- Both Upgrading appliances — Newer appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding a smart thermostat — Energy-efficient systems can lower utility costs and appeal to eco-conscious buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwest Allen County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1808250
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,952
- Composite
- 49.26/100
- National rank
- #2027
- State rank
- #25 of 301 in IN
Livability — Fort Wayne
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allen County · 326,813 people
- City population
- 326,813
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,583
- Household income
- $112,676
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 467.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 394,020 people
- By 2030
- 405,128 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 423,476 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 435,137 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 450,293 · +14.3%
- By 2100
- 424,101 · +7.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Asian 4% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.27%
- Current HPI
- 212.3516
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.47%
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+1.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $216,400 Zillow
- 2025-08-22 Listed $214,300 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…