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98 Starling Ln Unit 1-4 Fourplex
D- Composite 39.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$769,900

98 Starling Ln Unit 1-4 · Sunland Park, NM 88008
12 bd · 8.0 ba · 3,850 sqft · MultiFamily · 178 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 3,963 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks! A truly unique community is now available for investing in southern Dona Ana County. Las Brisas in Santa Teresa will be a gated community of 61 quadruplexes, with a wide range of designs including contemporary, traditional, and southwestern styles, all of which are designed to blend seamlessly with the beautiful Santa Teresa landscape. The community will include two green space parks, solar lighting, and beautifully landscaped pathways. In designing your quadruplex, you will have the choice between 2 and 3-bedroom floor plans that can be mixed-and-matched across the 4 units. Each unit includes two bathrooms, stainless steel kitchen appliances, and a laundry room.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Landscaped pathways
  • Green space parks

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYGREEN SPACE PARKSSOLAR LIGHTINGLANDSCAPED PATHWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $770k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-189/yr) — negative. Per door: $-4/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $768k (0.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $672k (12.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $672k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#125 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gadsden Independent Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #21 of 29 in NM (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 95% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 384 active listings in the ZIP; 964 units permitted in Doña Ana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,715/mo this rent would consume 109% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 127% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($678k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $671,500 (12.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.09%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-125,659
Equity at exit
$114,795
10-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-110,302
Equity at exit
$66,567

Cash invested: $215,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88008

Home prices YoY
-27.5%
Active inventory
384
Price-to-rent
38.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,715 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,037
Tax est. 1.5%
$962 /mo · $11,548/yr
Insurance
$321
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,410
Net cashflow
$-16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,735
Max offer price $767,620
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $516 -5% $250 +0% $-16 +5% $-282 +10% $-548
Rent -10% $-546 -5% $-281 +0% $-16 +5% $249 +10% $515
Rate -1.0pp $372 -0.5pp $180 base $-16 +0.5pp $-215 +1.0pp $-418

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $6,715

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$192,475
Closing costs
$23,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $769,900 Active 178 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $769,900 Active 177 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $769,900 Active 176 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $769,900 Active 175 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $769,900 Active 174 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $769,900 Active 172 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $769,900 Active 171 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $769,900 Active 169 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $769,900 Active 168 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $769,900 Active 167 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $769,900 Active 166 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $769,900 Active 163 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $769,900 Active 161 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $769,900 Active 160 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $769,900 Active 159 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $769,900 Active 158 DOM
  17. 2025-12-22
    listed $769,900 Active 691-char remark
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    Opportunity knocks! A truly unique community is now available for investing in southern Dona Ana County. Las Brisas in Santa Teresa will be a gated community of 61 quadruplexes, with a wide range of designs including contemporary, traditional, and southwestern styles, all of which are designed to blend seamlessly with the beautiful Santa Teresa landscape. The community will include two green space parks, solar lighting, and beautifully landscaped pathways. In designing your quadruplex, you will have the choice between 2 and 3-bedroom floor plans that can be mixed-and-matched across the 4 units. Each unit includes two bathrooms, stainless steel kitchen appliances, and a laundry room.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$80,580
− Mortgage interest
−$43,126
− Property taxes
−$11,548
− Insurance
−$3,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,446
− Management
−$6,446
− Depreciation
−$22,397
Taxable loss
−$13,234
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,176
After-tax cash flow
$2,987/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This multi-family property is in good condition with a modern and well-maintained exterior and interior. It offers a great opportunity for investors looking to enhance its value through minor updates and improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Resale Updating kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's appeal.
  • Resale Upgrading bathrooms — Modern bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to buyers.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and attract both buyers and tenants.
  • Both Upgrading HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, attracting buyers and tenants.
  • Both Adding energy-efficient windows — Energy-efficient windows can reduce energy costs and improve comfort, attracting buyers and tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Resale Updating kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's appeal.
  • Resale Upgrading bathrooms — Modern bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to buyers.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and attract both buyers and tenants.
  • Both Upgrading HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, attracting buyers and tenants.
  • Both Adding energy-efficient windows — Energy-efficient windows can reduce energy costs and improve comfort, attracting buyers and tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gadsden Independent Schools
NCES district ID
3501080
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,461
Composite
21.6/100
National rank
#8298
State rank
#21 of 29 in NM

Livability — Sunland Park

Score
59/100
State rank
#125
US rank
#20003

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sunland Park, NM
County
Dona Ana County · 144,044 people
City population
11,282
Metro
Las Cruces, NM
Population (ZIP)
12,623
Household income
$73,848
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
127.0

Population outlook (Doña Ana County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
219,177 people
By 2030
220,967 · +0.8%
By 2040
222,775 · +1.6%
By 2050
223,576 · +2.0%
By 2075
228,461 · +4.2%
By 2100
214,536 · -2.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 39% White 12% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 84%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada
Languages at home
35% English-only · Spanish 63%

Political lean MEDSL · Doña Ana

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.8% · R 44.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.3 2016: D+18.0 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+17.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.58%
Current HPI
175.6955
Rent YoY
Metro
Las Cruces, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $769,900 SNMMLS as distributed by MLS GRID

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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