13317 Greenacres Dr · Gulf Hills, MS
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Location, security, and endless potential meet at this beautiful Greenacres property. This home boasts a new roof installed in 2022 and a safe location completely OUT of the flood zone. The interior is a blank canvas awaiting your personal updates, making it a dream for DIY homeowners and savvy investors alike. At . 93 acres, this lot is truly one of a kind. Sellers are highly motivated. Visionary bonus: Ai renovation photos alongside current pictures to show potential ways to transform this space into a showstopper.
Key facts
- Coastal location
- One acre
- Private setting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community offers boating, fishing, golf, and nearby entertainment
Exterior
- Parking: Three-car garage; Driveway with concrete and paved surfaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water and sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Move-in ready
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built according to assessor records
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Porch and rear porch; Private yard; Fenced yard (front and back) with gate and perimeter/full fencing; Garage(s), portable building, shed(s), and storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Tile; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating and fireplace heating; Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen island; Walk-in closets; Fireplace with blower fan and circulating features (serving den, great room, living room; stone, wood-burning); Water heater
- Laundry & utility: Interior laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.6% in Gulf Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#38 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Jackson County School District (rural): math 53% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #10 of 130 in MS (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 718 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.73%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $343,846
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -41.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13565 Garland Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 2,049 (-0%) | 2mo | $397,990 | $194 | 85 |
| 6303 Prado Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 2,056 (+0%) | 6mo | $360,000 | $175 | 81 |
| 13524 Garland Rd | 0.15mi | 3/3.0 | 1,893 (-8%) | 1mo | $329,990 | $174 | 75 |
| 13501 Garland Rd | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,114 (+3%) | 6mo | $384,990 | $182 | 71 |
| 13313 Hollow Oak Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,813 (-12%) | 3mo | $319,900 | $176 | 70 |
| 6345 Langland Dr | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,960 (-4%) | 4mo | $399,711 | $204 | 70 |
| 13517 Garland Rd | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,219 (+8%) | 1mo | $379,990 | $171 | 68 |
| 13505 Garland Rd | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,219 (+8%) | 6mo | $364,990 | $164 | 59 |
| 6505 Lancaster Blvd | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,997 (-3%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $100 | 57 |
| 5809 David Davis Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 2,263 (+10%) | 0mo | $400,000 | $177 | 54 |
| 6205 Browning Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,770 (-14%) | 5mo | $252,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 12704 Cambridge Blvd | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,848 (-10%) | 1mo | $239,000 | $129 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-10,199
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $9,726
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39564
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 718
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,245 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$234 /mo · $2,810/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$471
- Net cashflow
- $407
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $520 | -5% $464 | +0% $407 | +5% $351 | +10% $294 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $230 | -5% $319 | +0% $407 | +5% $496 | +10% $585 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $508 | -0.5pp $458 | base $407 | +0.5pp $355 | +1.0pp $303 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6428 Poco Rd Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1990 | $2,500 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 6721 Washington Ave Ocean Springs, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $1,696 | $1.56 | 14d | 12 | 0.30mi |
| 5809 Washington Ave Ocean Springs, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3000 | $2,000 | $0.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1109 Le Badine Ct Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,250 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1109 Le Badine Ct Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,250 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 107 Surgeres Pl Ocean Springs, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2830 | $3,400 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1508 Government St Ocean Springs, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1557 | $1,950 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $200,000 Pending 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricestatusdays on market $200,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $250,000 Pending 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$285,000 Active 608-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,810 · $234/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,810 · $234/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,941
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,810
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,155
- − Management
- −$2,155
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $1,799
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$432
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802160
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,569
- Composite
- 43.57/100
- National rank
- #2980
- State rank
- #10 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulf Hills
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #7310
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulf Hills, MS
- County
- Jackson County · 82,196 people
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,240
- Household income
- $78,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 734.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 146,926 people
- By 2030
- 148,442 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 149,631 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 148,723 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 147,845 · +0.6%
- By 2100
- 144,510 · -1.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.77%
- Current HPI
- 204.2244
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-29.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $200,000 MLSU
- 2026-06-04 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-24 Price Changed $250,000 MLSU
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $275,000 MLSU
- 2026-05-01 Listed $285,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+12.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,810 · +271.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…