336 E Alluvial #142 · Fresno, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 48 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 50 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautiful home is located in San Joaquin Village, in Clovis Unified School District! Just blocks away from River Park shopping! Newly renovated with Fresh Paint inside & out, brand new AC & Heat, New Windows, Granite counters and new flooring throughout! Sub floors have been leveled and new sub flooring installed and roof re-coated. New decks installed and new landscaping in place! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is in excellent condition! One of the nicest homes in the Park! Located in the perfect location near the Pool, Picnic & BBQ areas! This is an all ages Park and a very peaceful setting! Space rent is currently $850 per month! A MUST see to appreciate. Virtual Staging.
Key facts
- Fresh paint inside
- Brand new ac
- Brand new heat
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $701 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 3.7% in Fresno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#469 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D+, schools D.
- Clovis Unified (suburban): math 58% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #152 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $757 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 314 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 314 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.46%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $50,000
- List price
- $109,500
- Delta
- 119.00%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7676 N Fresno St #36 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-4%) | 4mo | $82,000 | $98 | 74 |
| 7676 Fresno St #84 | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+2%) | 15mo | $80,000 | $89 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $24,960
- Equity at exit
- $16,327
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $71,339
- Equity at exit
- $9,468
Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93720
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,846 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$574
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,642/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $701
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $777 | -5% $739 | +0% $701 | +5% $664 | +10% $626 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $556 | -5% $629 | +0% $701 | +5% $774 | +10% $847 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $757 | -0.5pp $729 | base $701 | +0.5pp $673 | +1.0pp $644 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,375
- Closing costs
- $3,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7722 N Angus St Fresno, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $1,575 | $1.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 7511 N First St Fresno, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1078 | $1,974 | $1.83 | 2d | 21 | 0.37mi |
| 7625 N First St Fresno, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $1,625 | $2.20 | 3d | 2 | 0.42mi |
| 7675 N First St Fresno, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 989 | $1,830 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 373 W Nees Ave Fresno, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $1,855 | $2.14 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8072 N Millbrook Ave Bldg 2 Fresno, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $1,795 | $2.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 445 W Nees Ave Fresno, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $1,820 | $2.15 | 2d | 10 | 1.07mi |
| 8440 N Millbrook Ave Fresno, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1002 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 135 E Stuart Ave Fresno, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,995 | $1.78 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 7350 N Cedar Ave Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,816 | $1.98 | 2d | 2 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,500 Active 314 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $109,500 Active 311 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $109,500 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,500 Active 309 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $109,500 Active 308 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $109,500 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $109,500 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $112,500 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,500 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,500 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,500 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $112,500 Active 297 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $112,500 Active 296 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $112,500 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,500 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,500 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $112,500 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
This beautiful home is located in San Joaquin Village, in Clovis Unified School District! Just blocks away from River Park shopping! Newly renovated with Fresh Paint inside & out, brand new AC & Heat, New Windows, Granite counters and new flooring throughout! Sub floors have been leveled and new sub flooring installed and roof re-coated. New decks installed and new landscaping in place! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is in excellent condition! One of the nicest homes in the Park! Located in the perfect location near the Pool, Picnic & BBQ areas! This is an all ages Park and a very peaceful setting! Space rent is currently $850 per month! A MUST see to appreciate. Virtual Staging.
-
2026-05-01price $114,500 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
This beautiful home is located in San Joaquin Village, in Clovis Unified School District! Just blocks away from River Park shopping! Newly renovated with Fresh Paint inside & out, brand new AC & Heat, New Windows, Granite counters and new flooring throughout! Sub floors have been leveled and new sub flooring installed and roof re-coated. New decks installed and new landscaping in place! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is in excellent condition! One of the nicest homes in the Park! Located in the perfect location near the Pool, Picnic & BBQ areas! This is an all ages Park and a very peaceful setting! Space rent is currently $850 per month! A MUST see to appreciate. Virtual Staging.
-
2026-03-24price $116,500 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
This beautiful home is located in San Joaquin Village, in Clovis Unified School District! Just blocks away from River Park shopping! Newly renovated with Fresh Paint inside & out, brand new AC & Heat, New Windows, Granite counters and new flooring throughout! Sub floors have been leveled and new sub flooring installed and roof re-coated. New decks installed and new landscaping in place! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is in excellent condition! One of the nicest homes in the Park! Located in the perfect location near the Pool, Picnic & BBQ areas! This is an all ages Park and a very peaceful setting! Space rent is currently $850 per month! A MUST see to appreciate. Virtual Staging.
-
2026-03-11status Active 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
This beautiful home is located in San Joaquin Village, in Clovis Unified School District! Just blocks away from River Park shopping! Newly renovated with Fresh Paint inside & out, brand new AC & Heat, New Windows, Granite counters and new flooring throughout! Sub floors have been leveled and new sub flooring installed and roof re-coated. New decks installed and new landscaping in place! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is in excellent condition! One of the nicest homes in the Park! Located in the perfect location near the Pool, Picnic & BBQ areas! This is an all ages Park and a very peaceful setting! Space rent is currently $850 per month! A MUST see to appreciate. Virtual Staging.
-
2026-03-03historical Pending Accepting Backups 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
This beautiful home is located in San Joaquin Village, in Clovis Unified School District! Just blocks away from River Park shopping! Newly renovated with Fresh Paint inside & out, brand new AC & Heat, New Windows, Granite counters and new flooring throughout! Sub floors have been leveled and new sub flooring installed and roof re-coated. New decks installed and new landscaping in place! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is in excellent condition! One of the nicest homes in the Park! Located in the perfect location near the Pool, Picnic & BBQ areas! This is an all ages Park and a very peaceful setting! Space rent is currently $850 per month! A MUST see to appreciate. Virtual Staging.
-
2025-12-04price $117,500 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
This beautiful home is located in San Joaquin Village, in Clovis Unified School District! Just blocks away from River Park shopping! Newly renovated with Fresh Paint inside & out, brand new AC & Heat, New Windows, Granite counters and new flooring throughout! Sub floors have been leveled and new sub flooring installed and roof re-coated. New decks installed and new landscaping in place! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is in excellent condition! One of the nicest homes in the Park! Located in the perfect location near the Pool, Picnic & BBQ areas! This is an all ages Park and a very peaceful setting! Space rent is currently $850 per month! A MUST see to appreciate. Virtual Staging.
-
2025-10-06price $119,500 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
This beautiful home is located in San Joaquin Village, in Clovis Unified School District! Just blocks away from River Park shopping! Newly renovated with Fresh Paint inside & out, brand new AC & Heat, New Windows, Granite counters and new flooring throughout! Sub floors have been leveled and new sub flooring installed and roof re-coated. New decks installed and new landscaping in place! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is in excellent condition! One of the nicest homes in the Park! Located in the perfect location near the Pool, Picnic & BBQ areas! This is an all ages Park and a very peaceful setting! Space rent is currently $850 per month! A MUST see to appreciate. Virtual Staging.
-
2025-08-11$122,500 Active 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
This beautiful home is located in San Joaquin Village, in Clovis Unified School District! Just blocks away from River Park shopping! Newly renovated with Fresh Paint inside & out, brand new AC & Heat, New Windows, Granite counters and new flooring throughout! Sub floors have been leveled and new sub flooring installed and roof re-coated. New decks installed and new landscaping in place! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is in excellent condition! One of the nicest homes in the Park! Located in the perfect location near the Pool, Picnic & BBQ areas! This is an all ages Park and a very peaceful setting! Space rent is currently $850 per month! A MUST see to appreciate. Virtual Staging.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 48 unhealthy d/yr today · 50 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,150
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,134
- − Property taxes
- −$1,642
- − Insurance
- −$548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,772
- − Management
- −$1,772
- − Depreciation
- −$3,185
- Taxable income
- $7,097
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,703
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,715/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clovis Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0609030
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,950
- Composite
- 58.7/100
- National rank
- #2003
- State rank
- #152 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Fresno
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #469
- US rank
- #15907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fresno, CA
- County
- Fresno County · 834,801 people
- City population
- 593,114
- Metro
- Fresno, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,089
- Household income
- $105,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1796.0
Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,042,971 people
- By 2030
- 1,072,198 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 1,122,408 · +7.6%
- By 2050
- 1,157,251 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 1,182,575 · +13.4%
- By 2100
- 1,105,899 · +6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 16% Asian 16% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 6% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fresno
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -278.23%
- Current HPI
- 332.618
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.91%
- Metro
- Fresno, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-8.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $112,500 FRESNOMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $114,500 FRESNOMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $116,500 FRESNOMLS
- 2026-03-11 Relisted — FRESNOMLS
- 2026-03-03 Contingent — FRESNOMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $117,500 FRESNOMLS
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $119,500 FRESNOMLS
- 2025-08-11 Listed $122,500 FRESNOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…