CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
105 Cairo Dr
B- Composite 67.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

105 Cairo Dr · Vicksburg, MS 39180
3 bd · 0.5 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1971 0.30 ac lot $42/sqft · 68% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE REDUCTION! Welcome home to Cairo Drive!!! This 3 bedroom 1 1/2 ranch is located South of Vicksburg near schools, shopping and entertainment! Spacious kitchen has a breakfast bar and large dining area!!! Back yard is fenced and ready for family fun! Plus, there's covered parking too! Please note: Days 1-7: Offers will not be reviewed. Days 8-12: Offers only from NSP buyers, Municipalities, non-profit organizations and Owner-occupants will be reviewed. Days 13+: We will consider offers from all buyers. Buyers should obtain a free prequalification letter from Wells Fargo Home Mortgage or an entity which is a joint venture with Wells Fargo Home Mortgage by working directly with a mortgage consultant or going online at www.wellsfargo.com Buyers also have the option to provide proof of other credit decision financing or a NACA (Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America) qualification letter. A Loan Status Report (LSR) is acceptable in Arizona.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1971

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximate building area 1,278 (source: assessor); Lot about 0.3 acres (≈13,068 sq ft)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One level; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Asbestos and brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Slab patio/porch; Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Flooring: Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (1.5 total)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Aluminum frame windows; Electric range; Gas water heater; Water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 4.5% in Vicksburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#166 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Vicksburg Warren School District (rural): math 22% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #82 of 130 in MS (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Dana Road Elementary (463 students, 100% FRL); Vicksburg Junior High School (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #126 of 179 statewide, top 71%, 405 students, 100% FRL); Vicksburg High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #160 of 197 statewide, top 83%, 871 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 73% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Warren County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.23%
Cap rate
19.09%
Cash-on-cash
45.72%
DSCR
3.03
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,597
List price
$49,900
Delta
-69.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-1,072
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$8,871
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39180

Home prices YoY
-28.2%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,110 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $976
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $49,900 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,900 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,900 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,900 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $49,900 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-05-02
    listed $54,900 Active 439-char remark
  17. 2026-04-28
    historical
  18. 2026-04-06
    price $64,900
  19. 2026-03-25
    price $79,900
  20. 2026-02-25
    listed $89,900 Active
  21. 2013-03-13
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (962 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION! Welcome home to Cairo Drive!!! This 3 bedroom 1 1/2 ranch is located South of Vicksburg near schools, shopping and entertainment! Spacious kitchen has a breakfast bar and large dining area!!! Back yard is fenced and ready for family fun! Plus, there's covered parking too! Please note: Days 1-7: Offers will not be reviewed. Days 8-12: Offers only from NSP buyers, Municipalities, non-profit organizations and Owner-occupants will be reviewed. Days 13+: We will consider offers from all buyers. Buyers should obtain a free prequalification letter from Wells Fargo Home Mortgage or an entity which is a joint venture with Wells Fargo Home Mortgage by working directly with a mortgage consultant or going online at www.wellsfargo.com Buyers also have the option to provide proof of other credit decision financing or a NACA (Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America) qualification letter. A Loan Status Report (LSR) is acceptable in Arizona.

  22. 2012-12-04
    listed $30,000
    Show marketing remark (962 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION! Welcome home to Cairo Drive!!! This 3 bedroom 1 1/2 ranch is located South of Vicksburg near schools, shopping and entertainment! Spacious kitchen has a breakfast bar and large dining area!!! Back yard is fenced and ready for family fun! Plus, there's covered parking too! Please note: Days 1-7: Offers will not be reviewed. Days 8-12: Offers only from NSP buyers, Municipalities, non-profit organizations and Owner-occupants will be reviewed. Days 13+: We will consider offers from all buyers. Buyers should obtain a free prequalification letter from Wells Fargo Home Mortgage or an entity which is a joint venture with Wells Fargo Home Mortgage by working directly with a mortgage consultant or going online at www.wellsfargo.com Buyers also have the option to provide proof of other credit decision financing or a NACA (Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America) qualification letter. A Loan Status Report (LSR) is acceptable in Arizona.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,323
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$5,368
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,066
− Management
−$1,066
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$828
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$199
After-tax cash flow
$1,070/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vicksburg Warren School District
NCES district ID
2804470
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,492
Composite
20.31/100
National rank
#8612
State rank
#82 of 130 in MS

Livability — Vicksburg

Score
63/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#16032

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vicksburg, MS
County
Warren County · 28,479 people
City population
28,479
Metro
Vicksburg, MS
Population (ZIP)
28,479
Household income
$56,837
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
665.0

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,473 people
By 2030
44,051 · -3.1%
By 2040
40,884 · -10.1%
By 2050
37,596 · -17.3%
By 2075
30,162 · -33.7%
By 2100
23,585 · -48.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (51%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 51.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.9pp no change · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -4.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.0 2020: D+0.4 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+2.6 2008: R+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.49%
Current HPI
154.033
Rent YoY
Metro
Vicksburg, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+66.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $49,900 MLSU
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $54,900 MLSU
  • 2026-04-28 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $64,900 MLSU
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $79,900 MLSU
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $89,900 MLSU
  • 2013-03-13 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2012-12-04 Listed $30,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2016): $41 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…