400 Edmore Village Rd · Welch, WV
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lovely three-bedroom Double-Wide in excellent condition. Large kitchen, three bedrooms and two full baths. Sits on a level lot, with front and back fenced yards. Covered deck on the front and back. Large detached heated garage with attic storage.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Attic storage
- Level lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 1 acre lot
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces (2 covered); 2-car garage; Heated garage; Asphalt parking surface; Also has open parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Double-wide mobile home (residential); Level lot; Facing information not provided
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; No basement
- Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Covered rear porch; Porch; Fenced yard; Shed(s); Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air; Ceiling fans for supplemental cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Ceiling fans; Window coverings and drapes
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#126 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mcdowell County Schools (rural): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #55 of 55 in WV (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Welch Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #370 of 377 statewide, top 99%, 220 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in McDowell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McDowell County population projected at -48% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.44%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,067
- Equity at exit
- $18,917
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $21,070
- Equity at exit
- $17,752
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24801
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $237 | -5% $206 | +0% $175 | +5% $145 | +10% $114 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $96 | -5% $136 | +0% $175 | +5% $215 | +10% $254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $220 | -0.5pp $198 | base $175 | +0.5pp $152 | +1.0pp $129 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-03-23status Active
-
2025-12-05price $90,000
-
2025-09-18$95,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,006
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $730
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$175
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,928/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcdowell County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400810
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $23,725
- Composite
- 16.18/100
- National rank
- #9229
- State rank
- #55 of 55 in WV
Livability — Welch
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #13064
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 5,107
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,107
Population outlook (McDowell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,405 people
- By 2030
- 13,475 · -12.5%
- By 2040
- 10,266 · -33.4%
- By 2050
- 7,970 · -48.3%
- By 2075
- 5,023 · -67.4%
- By 2100
- 3,714 · -75.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · McDowell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.1% · R 79.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -68.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.5 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+30.1 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.61%
- Current HPI
- 88.0247
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-5.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Relisted — BBOR
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $90,000 BBOR
- 2025-09-18 Listed $95,000 BBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…