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400 Edmore Village Rd
C Composite 59.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.1/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$89,000

400 Edmore Village Rd · Welch, WV 24801
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily · 271 Days on market
Built 1999 1.00 ac lot ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Lovely three-bedroom Double-Wide in excellent condition. Large kitchen, three bedrooms and two full baths. Sits on a level lot, with front and back fenced yards. Covered deck on the front and back. Large detached heated garage with attic storage.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Attic storage
  • Level lot

Tags

LEVEL LOTFENCED YARDSCOVERED DECKDETACHED HEATED GARAGEATTIC STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 1 acre lot

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces (2 covered); 2-car garage; Heated garage; Asphalt parking surface; Also has open parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Double-wide mobile home (residential); Level lot; Facing information not provided
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; No basement
  • Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Covered rear porch; Porch; Fenced yard; Shed(s); Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air; Ceiling fans for supplemental cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Ceiling fans; Window coverings and drapes
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#126 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Mcdowell County Schools (rural): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #55 of 55 in WV (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Welch Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #370 of 377 statewide, top 99%, 220 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in McDowell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McDowell County population projected at -48% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $78,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.66%
Cash-on-cash
8.44%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,067
Equity at exit
$18,917
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$21,070
Equity at exit
$17,752

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 24801

Home prices YoY
-1.8%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $237 -5% $206 +0% $175 +5% $145 +10% $114
Rent -10% $96 -5% $136 +0% $175 +5% $215 +10% $254
Rate -1.0pp $220 -0.5pp $198 base $175 +0.5pp $152 +1.0pp $129

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,000 Active 271 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 269 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 268 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 267 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 266 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 265 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 264 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,000 Active 263 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 260 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 259 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 258 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 257 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 255 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 254 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 253 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 252 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 251 DOM
  18. 2026-03-23
    status Active
  19. 2025-12-05
    price $90,000
  20. 2025-09-18
    listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,006
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$175
After-tax cash flow
$1,928/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mcdowell County Schools
NCES district ID
5400810
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$23,725
Composite
16.18/100
National rank
#9229
State rank
#55 of 55 in WV

Livability — Welch

Score
65/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#13064

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
5,107
Population (ZIP)
5,107

Population outlook (McDowell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,405 people
By 2030
13,475 · -12.5%
By 2040
10,266 · -33.4%
By 2050
7,970 · -48.3%
By 2075
5,023 · -67.4%
By 2100
3,714 · -75.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · McDowell

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.1% · R 79.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-68.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.5 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+30.1 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.61%
Current HPI
88.0247
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-5.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Relisted BBOR
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $90,000 BBOR
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $95,000 BBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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