4366 9th St · Ecorse, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY. SIMPLY GORGEOUS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH GARAGE AND BASEMENT. HOME HAS BEEN EXTENSIVELY RENOVATED FEATURING: GOURMET KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, STAINLESS MICROWAVE, OVEN AND DISHWASHER. REMODELED BATH, NEWER WINDOWS , ROOF, AND VINYL WINDOWS, FRESHLY PAINTEDWITH NEW LVP AND CARPET FLOORING. HOME SHOWS GREAT AND HAS IMMEDIATE OCCUPANCY.
Key facts
- Stainless microwave
- Oven
- Dishwasher
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing broker: Help U Sell Metro Detroit; Listing agent: Mario Ferrante
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 32 x 105 (3,225 sq ft); Subdivision: FORDVIEW SUB; Cross streets near N. Southfield and E. Fort St
Interior
- Bedrooms: One and one-half story layout
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Finished above-grade living area of 850 square feet; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#348 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Ecorse Public Schools (suburban): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #536 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $115k implies a 360% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.46%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $106,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4353 3rd St | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 769 (+1%) | 4mo | $22,000 | $29 | 72 |
| 1373 Lejeune Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (+7%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $184 | 66 |
| 4241 6th St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-6%) | 6mo | $47,500 | $66 | 65 |
| 4435 High St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (+4%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $63 | 61 |
| 4649 8th St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 777 (+2%) | 11mo | $84,000 | $108 | 59 |
| 526 Mill St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 725 (-5%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $207 | 57 |
| 518 Lincoln Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 819 (+8%) | 9mo | $152,000 | $186 | 53 |
| 4134 17th St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 822 (+8%) | 5mo | $59,000 | $72 | 50 |
| 754 Mill St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 729 (-4%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $110 | 48 |
| 582 Mill St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 704 (-8%) | 10mo | $128,000 | $182 | 45 |
| 527 Lincoln Ave | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 828 (+9%) | 9mo | $172,500 | $208 | 44 |
| 1623 Ethel Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 857 (+12%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $140 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $4,701
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $35,096
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48239
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,390 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,033/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $361
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1581 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4573 3rd St Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4435 High St Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,095 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4471 High St Unit 71-7 Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4471 High St Unit 81-13 Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4581 High St Unit 13 Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1537 Chandler Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3748 15th St Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $1,099 | $2.08 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 708 Highland St Unit 1 Wyandotte, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 177 N Riverbank St Wyandotte, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 671 | $1,600 | $2.38 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 424 4th St Wyandotte, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 168 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 170 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,399 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 146 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,650 | $2.01 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1524 Cicotte Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1532 Euclid St #1 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1552 Hanover St Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY. SIMPLY GORGEOUS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH GARAGE AND BASEMENT. HOME HAS BEEN EXTENSIVELY RENOVATED FEATURING: GOURMET KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, STAINLESS MICROWAVE, OVEN AND DISHWASHER. REMODELED BATH, NEWER WINDOWS , ROOF, AND VINYL WINDOWS, FRESHLY PAINTEDWITH NEW LVP AND CARPET FLOORING. HOME SHOWS GREAT AND HAS IMMEDIATE OCCUPANCY.
-
2026-05-05status Pending 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY. SIMPLY GORGEOUS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH GARAGE AND BASEMENT. HOME HAS BEEN EXTENSIVELY RENOVATED FEATURING: GOURMET KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, STAINLESS MICROWAVE, OVEN AND DISHWASHER. REMODELED BATH, NEWER WINDOWS , ROOF, AND VINYL WINDOWS, FRESHLY PAINTEDWITH NEW LVP AND CARPET FLOORING. HOME SHOWS GREAT AND HAS IMMEDIATE OCCUPANCY.
-
2026-04-17price $115,000 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY. SIMPLY GORGEOUS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH GARAGE AND BASEMENT. HOME HAS BEEN EXTENSIVELY RENOVATED FEATURING: GOURMET KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, STAINLESS MICROWAVE, OVEN AND DISHWASHER. REMODELED BATH, NEWER WINDOWS , ROOF, AND VINYL WINDOWS, FRESHLY PAINTEDWITH NEW LVP AND CARPET FLOORING. HOME SHOWS GREAT AND HAS IMMEDIATE OCCUPANCY.
-
2026-04-17price $115,000
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY. SIMPLY GORGEOUS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH GARAGE AND BASEMENT. HOME HAS BEEN EXTENSIVELY RENOVATED FEATURING: GOURMET KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, STAINLESS MICROWAVE, OVEN AND DISHWASHER. REMODELED BATH, NEWER WINDOWS , ROOF, AND VINYL WINDOWS, FRESHLY PAINTEDWITH NEW LVP AND CARPET FLOORING. HOME SHOWS GREAT AND HAS IMMEDIATE OCCUPANCY.
-
2026-03-20$125,000 Active
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY. SIMPLY GORGEOUS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH GARAGE AND BASEMENT. HOME HAS BEEN EXTENSIVELY RENOVATED FEATURING: GOURMET KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, STAINLESS MICROWAVE, OVEN AND DISHWASHER. REMODELED BATH, NEWER WINDOWS , ROOF, AND VINYL WINDOWS, FRESHLY PAINTEDWITH NEW LVP AND CARPET FLOORING. HOME SHOWS GREAT AND HAS IMMEDIATE OCCUPANCY.
-
2026-03-20$125,000 Active 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY. SIMPLY GORGEOUS UPDATED 3 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH GARAGE AND BASEMENT. HOME HAS BEEN EXTENSIVELY RENOVATED FEATURING: GOURMET KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, STAINLESS MICROWAVE, OVEN AND DISHWASHER. REMODELED BATH, NEWER WINDOWS , ROOF, AND VINYL WINDOWS, FRESHLY PAINTEDWITH NEW LVP AND CARPET FLOORING. HOME SHOWS GREAT AND HAS IMMEDIATE OCCUPANCY.
-
2003-06-29historical
-
2003-04-29historical
-
2003-03-31$68,900
-
2003-03-31$68,900
-
2003-03-31$68,900
-
2001-03-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,402 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$369/yr (+$31/mo · 35.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,033
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,334
- − Management
- −$1,334
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,617
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$628
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,705/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ecorse Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2612930
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,957
- Composite
- 3.46/100
- National rank
- #10075
- State rank
- #536 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ecorse
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #8880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ecorse, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 9,166
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,976
- Household income
- $71,151
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.97%
- Current HPI
- 236.1136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+360.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-05 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-06-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-04-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-03-31 Listed $68,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-03-31 Listed $68,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-03-31 Listed $68,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,033 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…