1672 Astrid Rd · Davenport, FL 33837

$357,770

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,715 sqft · Land · 28 Days on market

Built 2026 5,663 sqft lot $12/mo HOA ↓ 59% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +7.1/30.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.8/5.0
• 1% rule +1.7/10.0
• DSCR +1.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Under Construction. New construction home with 1715 square feet on one-story including 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, and an open living area. Enjoy an open kitchen with Quartz countertops, Samsung stainless steel appliances, a walk-in pantry, and a spacious island, fully open to the dining café and gathering room. The living area, laundry room, and baths include luxury wood vinyl plank flooring, with stain-resistant carpet in the bedrooms. Your owner's suite is complete with a walk-in wardrobe and a private en-suite bath with dual vanities, a tiled shower, and a closeted toilet. Plus, enjoy a covered lanai, 2-car garage, custom-fit window blinds, architectural shingles, energy-efficient insul

Key facts

• Spacious island
• Quartz countertops
• Walk-in wardrobe

Tags

• OPEN KITCHEN
• QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS
• WALK-IN PANTRY
• SPACIOUS ISLAND
• STAIN-RESISTANT CARPET
• WALK-IN WARDROBE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: CDD present
• HOA & community: HOA managed by Hcmanagement; HOA required; $150 annually ($12.50 monthly); Pets allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 18 x 21)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
• Home design: Single-family residence; Under construction (projected completion May 31, 2026); One level; North-facing entry
• Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction by Highland Homes (Builder model: Parker)
• Exterior features: Paved road frontage; Irrigation system; Deed-restricted community; Playground; Community pool

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: In-wall pest control system
• Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $358k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-501 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (24.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (32.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $240k (32.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#423 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
• Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 1382 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $240,427 (32.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.67% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.61%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.00%
• DSCR: 0.73
• GRM: 12.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -29.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.03×
• Total profit: $-96,927
• Equity at exit: $53,345

10-year hold

• IRR: -49.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.52×
• Total profit: $-152,739
• Equity at exit: $30,933

Cash invested: $100,176 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33837

• Home prices YoY: -33.9%
• Rents YoY: -2.7%
• Active inventory: 1382
• Price-to-rent: 12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,404 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,876
• Tax from tax record: −$363 /mo · $4,355/yr
• Insurance: −$149
• HOA: −$12
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$505
• Net cashflow: $-501

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,038

Max offer price $269,295

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $89,442
• Closing costs: $10,733
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1497 Fleur Dr Davenport, FL	4.0	2.5	2029	$2,150	$1.06	3d	1	0.11mi
1391 Mountain Flower Ln Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	1855	$2,400	$1.29	23d	1	0.11mi
1387 Mountain Flower Ln Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	1698	$2,300	$1.35	23d	1	0.12mi
2442 Matterhorn Trl Davenport, FL	4.0	2.5	2029	$2,400	$1.18	23d	1	0.15mi
145 Silver Maple Bnd Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1450	$2,100	$1.45	23d	1	0.34mi
703 Gotts Rd Davenport, FL	3.0	1.0	1160	$1,700	$1.47	23d	1	0.46mi
607 Lindbergh Way Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1407	$1,851	$1.32	3d	1	0.61mi
646 Lindbergh Way Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1407	$1,836	$1.30	3d	1	0.62mi
422 Earheart Dr Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	2110	$2,001	$0.95	14d	1	0.64mi
1016 Gotts Rd Davenport, FL	3.0	2.5	2096	$2,150	$1.03	23d	1	0.67mi
670 Highland Meadows St Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1576	$2,350	$1.49	23d	1	0.68mi
202 Highland Meadows Pl Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1252	$2,000	$1.60	14d	1	0.69mi
481 Earheart Dr Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	1938	$2,126	$1.10	14d	1	0.69mi
445 Earheart Dr Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	2110	$2,036	$0.96	3d	1	0.70mi
120 Captain Hook Way Davenport, FL	4.0	3.0	1715	$2,124	$1.24	23d	1	0.70mi
250 Highland Meadows Ct Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1527	$1,999	$1.31	23d	1	0.74mi
2057 Barroso ST Davenport, FL	3.0	2.5	1465	$2,100	$1.43	23d	1	0.86mi
112 Andalusia Loop Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	1972	$2,016	$1.02	21d	1	0.88mi
2380 Sanderling St Haines City, FL	4.0	2.0	1694	$2,300	$1.36	23d	1	0.89mi
2361 Sanderling St Haines City, FL	4.0	2.0	2113	$2,079	$0.98	3d	1	0.93mi
440 Tisone Ln Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	2102	$3,500	$1.67	14d	1	1.02mi
210 E Palm St Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	1126	$2,250	$2.00	21d	1	1.03mi
118 E Pine St Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1220	$1,975	$1.62	3d	1	1.04mi
401 Savannah Preserve Loop Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	1966	$2,050	$1.04	23d	1	1.04mi
118 Aria Way Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1818	$2,400	$1.32	14d	1	1.05mi
250 Sandestin Dr Haines City, FL	3.0	2.0	1959	$2,026	$1.03	14d	1	1.06mi
220 Champions Way Davenport, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1107	$1,997	$1.80	2d	7	1.07mi
2606 Irish Elk Ave Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1700	$2,000	$1.18	3d	1	1.09mi
2622 Irish Elk Ave Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	1840	$2,200	$1.20	23d	1	1.12mi
4466 Hummingbird Ln Haines City, FL	4.0	2.0	1547	$2,200	$1.42	3d	1	1.16mi
223 Bergamot Loop Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1080	$2,300	$2.13	3d	1	1.16mi
487 Eaglecrest Dr Haines City, FL	3.0	2.0	1414	$2,150	$1.52	23d	1	1.16mi
522 Pentas Ln Haines City, FL	4.0	2.0	1749	$2,200	$1.26	23d	1	1.18mi
365 Citrus Pointe Dr Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1975	$2,500	$1.27	21d	1	1.22mi
569 Disa Dr Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	1767	$2,200	$1.25	3d	1	1.22mi
584 Disa Dr Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	1767	$2,200	$1.25	3d	1	1.25mi
666 Persian Dr Haines City, FL	3.0	2.0	1572	$2,000	$1.27	23d	1	1.25mi
384 Citrus Pointe Dr Davenport, FL	4.0	2.0	1820	$2,250	$1.24	23d	1	1.26mi
353 Citrus Pointe Dr Davenport, FL	4.0	2.5	1923	$2,285	$1.19	3d	1	1.26mi
110 Forest Ave Unit 2 Davenport, FL	3.0	2.0	1250	$1,295	$1.04	3d	1	1.32mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $12 · $144/yr

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $357,770 Active 28 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $357,770 Active 27 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $357,770 Active 26 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   status $357,770 Active 25 DOM
5. 2026-05-21
   status Pending
6. 2026-05-14
   status Active
7. 2026-04-13
   status Pending
8. 2026-03-26
   listed $357,770 Active
9. 2026-03-10
   soldstatus $864,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,355 · $363/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,355 · $363/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,851
• − Mortgage interest: −$20,041
• − Property taxes: −$4,355
• − Insurance: −$1,789
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,308
• − Management: −$2,308
• − HOA: −$144
• − Depreciation: −$10,408
• Taxable loss: −$12,502
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,000
• After-tax cash flow: $-3,010/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Polk
• NCES district ID: 1201590
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $43,979
• Composite: 34.74/100
• National rank: #5132
• State rank: #62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Davenport

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #423
• US rank: #7541

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Davenport, FL
• County: Polk County · 740,051 people
• City population: 104,279
• Metro: Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
• Population (ZIP): 47,389
• Household income: $81,276
• Rent vs Own: 18.5% rent · 81.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 424.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 752,975 people
• By 2030: 804,621 · +6.9%
• By 2040: 906,117 · +20.3%
• By 2050: 1,000,476 · +32.9%
• By 2075: 1,197,520 · +59.0%
• By 2100: 1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 42% White 36% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 5% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 55% English-only · Spanish 35% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -131.62%
• Current HPI: 256.8165
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.73%
• Metro: Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-58.6% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-14 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-13 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-26 Listed $357,770 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $864,000 Public Records