536 St Mark St · Petersburg, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 46.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this three bedroom, two full bathroom home that has bonus room, living room and dining room. Kitchen has updated cabinets and countertops and new appliances. This beautiful home has 2024 sq. ft. of living space with new windows, electrical panel box and HVAC. The property is currently being rented so please allow minimum 24 hours to show property. HOME SOLD AS IS CONDITION
Key facts
- Updated flooring
- Updated fixtures
- Built 1923
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Ownership: Fee simple
- Construction: Combination construction materials; Block foundation; Above-grade structures
- Exterior features: No basement; Tidal water: none
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on first upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.5% in Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#413 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Petersburg City Public School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #131 of 131 in VA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 118 units permitted in Petersburg city in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Petersburg County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $215k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 46% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.00%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $233,218
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -7.81%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1103 Halifax St | 0.19mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,000 (-1%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $163 | 75 |
| 524 Virginia Ave | 0.08mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,100 (+4%) | 7mo | $301,000 | $143 | 73 |
| 1001 Saint James St | 0.06mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,840 (-9%) | 1mo | $297,000 | $161 | 70 |
| 731 Harding St | 0.34mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,000 (-1%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $158 | 69 |
| 403 St Matthew St | 0.21mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,116 (+4%) | 6mo | $314,999 | $149 | 66 |
| 710 Harding St | 0.34mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,000 (-1%) | 6mo | $314,900 | $157 | 66 |
| 409 Mistletoe St | 0.31mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,960 (-3%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $148 | 66 |
| 746 St John St | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,824 (-10%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $159 | 64 |
| 1120 Halifax St | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,785 (-12%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $148 | 61 |
| 913 Diamond St | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,860 (-8%) | 2mo | $309,999 | $167 | 59 |
| 307 Mistletoe St | 0.37mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,860 (-8%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $153 | 55 |
| 510 Byrne St | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,296 (+13%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $120 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.45% appreciation · 5.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $24,134
- Equity at exit
- $78,462
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $104,850
- Equity at exit
- $108,304
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23803
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,941 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,993/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $150
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $272 | -5% $211 | +0% $150 | +5% $90 | +10% $29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-3 | -5% $74 | +0% $150 | +5% $227 | +10% $304 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $259 | -0.5pp $205 | base $150 | +0.5pp $95 | +1.0pp $38 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616 S Jefferson St Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $1,957 | $0.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1137 Willcox St Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1872 | $2,600 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 115 Pine St Unit 115 Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,462 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1806 Powhatan Ave Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1878 | $2,495 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 531 N Azalea Rd Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 212 E Wythe St Unit 1 Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 212 E Wythe St Unit 1 Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 335 Claremont St Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2157 | $2,500 | $1.16 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 462 Reservoir Hts Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,895 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2549 Bogese Dr Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $2,300 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1740 Randolph Ave Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 11d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $215,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-04-26$220,000 Active 213-char remark
-
2026-04-26historical $220,000 213-char remark
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2021-07-20soldstatus $87,500
-
2021-07-19soldstatus $87,500 Closed 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
Come see this three bedroom, two full bathroom home that has bonus room, living room and dining room. Kitchen has updated cabinets and countertops and new appliances. This beautiful home has 2024 sq. ft. of living space with new windows, electrical panel box and HVAC. The property is currently being rented so please allow minimum 24 hours to show property. HOME SOLD AS IS CONDITION
-
2021-07-06status Pending 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
Come see this three bedroom, two full bathroom home that has bonus room, living room and dining room. Kitchen has updated cabinets and countertops and new appliances. This beautiful home has 2024 sq. ft. of living space with new windows, electrical panel box and HVAC. The property is currently being rented so please allow minimum 24 hours to show property. HOME SOLD AS IS CONDITION
-
2021-06-05price $99,995 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
Come see this three bedroom, two full bathroom home that has bonus room, living room and dining room. Kitchen has updated cabinets and countertops and new appliances. This beautiful home has 2024 sq. ft. of living space with new windows, electrical panel box and HVAC. The property is currently being rented so please allow minimum 24 hours to show property. HOME SOLD AS IS CONDITION
-
2021-04-29$115,000 Active 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
Come see this three bedroom, two full bathroom home that has bonus room, living room and dining room. Kitchen has updated cabinets and countertops and new appliances. This beautiful home has 2024 sq. ft. of living space with new windows, electrical panel box and HVAC. The property is currently being rented so please allow minimum 24 hours to show property. HOME SOLD AS IS CONDITION
-
2019-09-23soldstatus $75,000
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2019-09-20soldstatus $65,222 Closed
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Beautifully Renovated home with 2024 sq. ft. of living space. This home has three bedrooms, bonus room, two full bathrooms, living room, dining room, and kitchen. Renovations include new kitchen cabinets, countertops, new updated bathrooms, new carpet through home, new windows, electrical panel box, and New HVAC. Seller will provide $1,000.00 toward Appliances. HOME SOLD AS IS CONDITION
-
2019-07-02status Pending
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Beautifully Renovated home with 2024 sq. ft. of living space. This home has three bedrooms, bonus room, two full bathrooms, living room, dining room, and kitchen. Renovations include new kitchen cabinets, countertops, new updated bathrooms, new carpet through home, new windows, electrical panel box, and New HVAC. Seller will provide $1,000.00 toward Appliances. HOME SOLD AS IS CONDITION
-
2019-05-03status Active
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Beautifully Renovated home with 2024 sq. ft. of living space. This home has three bedrooms, bonus room, two full bathrooms, living room, dining room, and kitchen. Renovations include new kitchen cabinets, countertops, new updated bathrooms, new carpet through home, new windows, electrical panel box, and New HVAC. Seller will provide $1,000.00 toward Appliances. HOME SOLD AS IS CONDITION
-
2019-03-21historical
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Beautifully Renovated home with 2024 sq. ft. of living space. This home has three bedrooms, bonus room, two full bathrooms, living room, dining room, and kitchen. Renovations include new kitchen cabinets, countertops, new updated bathrooms, new carpet through home, new windows, electrical panel box, and New HVAC. Seller will provide $1,000.00 toward Appliances. HOME SOLD AS IS CONDITION
-
2018-11-13$75,000 Active
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Beautifully Renovated home with 2024 sq. ft. of living space. This home has three bedrooms, bonus room, two full bathrooms, living room, dining room, and kitchen. Renovations include new kitchen cabinets, countertops, new updated bathrooms, new carpet through home, new windows, electrical panel box, and New HVAC. Seller will provide $1,000.00 toward Appliances. HOME SOLD AS IS CONDITION
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2018-06-18status Pending
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2018-05-29price $15,900
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2018-05-06price $19,500
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2018-04-15price $25,900
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2018-03-26price $32,000
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2018-03-03price $39,900
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2018-01-29$45,900 Active
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2007-10-10soldstatus $125,000
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2007-07-30soldstatus $50,000
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2007-07-30soldstatus $50,000
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2007-06-21$53,900
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2007-06-21$53,900
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1996-06-26soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,993 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,993 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 46% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,294
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$1,993
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,864
- − Management
- −$1,864
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$1,799
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$432
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,237/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Petersburg City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102910
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,362
- Composite
- 28.78/100
- National rank
- #6670
- State rank
- #131 of 131 in VA
Livability — Petersburg
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #17309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Petersburg, VA
- County
- Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
- City population
- 63,420
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,012
- Household income
- $57,813
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2485.0
Population outlook (Petersburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,488 people
- By 2030
- 29,771 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 28,401 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 27,279 · -10.5%
- By 2075
- 25,877 · -15.1%
- By 2100
- 24,288 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Petersburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+72.8) · D 85.8% · R 13.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 72.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+72.8 2020: D+76.5 2016: D+77.0 2012: D+80.4 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.45%
- Current HPI
- 480.5365
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.89%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+290.9% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-26 Listed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-26 Coming Soon $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
- 2021-07-19 Sold (MLS) $87,500 CVRMLS
- 2021-07-06 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2021-06-05 Price Changed $99,995 CVRMLS
- 2021-04-29 Listed $115,000 CVRMLS
- 2019-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-20 Sold (MLS) $65,222 CVRMLS
- 2019-07-02 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2019-05-03 Relisted — CVRMLS
- 2019-03-21 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2018-11-13 Listed $75,000 CVRMLS
- 2018-06-18 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2018-05-29 Price Changed $15,900 CVRMLS
- 2018-05-06 Price Changed $19,500 CVRMLS
- 2018-04-15 Price Changed $25,900 CVRMLS
- 2018-03-26 Price Changed $32,000 CVRMLS
- 2018-03-03 Price Changed $39,900 CVRMLS
- 2018-01-29 Listed $45,900 CVRMLS
- 2007-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CVRMLS
- 2007-07-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CVRMLS
- 2007-06-21 Listed $53,900 CVRMLS
- 2007-06-21 Listed $53,900 CVRMLS
- 1996-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,993 · +70.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…