206 S 4th St · Iola, KS 66749

$115,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,911 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market

Built 1900 0.28 ac lot Est $180k · 36% under ↓ 8% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.5/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.3/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Two spacious lots
• Original woodworking
• Original trim

Tags

• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• ORIGINAL TRIM
• ORIGINAL WOODWORKING
• VICTORIAN FIREPLACE
• TWO SPACIOUS LOTS
• DETACHED GARAGE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
• Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 6.1% in Iola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#150 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
• Iola (town): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #140 of 169 in KS (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Allen County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.33% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.60%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.38%
• DSCR: 1.68
• GRM: 6.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $179,634
• Comps found: 11

Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
206 S 4th St	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,911 (0%)	1mo	$115,000	$60	95
106 & 110 S 4th St	0.05mi	4/1.0	1,708 (-11%)	20mo	$169,900	$99	64
733 N Elm St	0.62mi	4/2.0	1,872 (-2%)	0mo	$259,000	$138	63
414 S Elm St	0.31mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,880 (-2%)	22mo	$131,500	$70	55
304 N Buckeye St	0.57mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,952 (+2%)	11mo	$184,000	$94	52
502 N Tennessee St	0.51mi	4/2.0	1,688 (-12%)	7mo	$69,500	$41	46
412 S Cottonwood N/A	0.47mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,995 (+4%)	19mo	$159,000	$80	46
1516 E Lincoln St	0.57mi	4/3.0	1,716 (-10%)	5mo	$189,000	$110	44
617 N Vermont St	0.64mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,954 (+2%)	20mo	$225,000	$115	43
215 S Buckeye St	0.48mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,680 (-12%)	13mo	$125,000	$74	40
1251 Bennett St	0.59mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,992 (+4%)	20mo	$399,000	$200	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.24×
• Total profit: $7,671
• Equity at exit: $17,147

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.26×
• Total profit: $40,617
• Equity at exit: $9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kansas: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 66749

• Home prices YoY: -32.6%
• Active inventory: 62
• Price-to-rent: 6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,528 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$603
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
• Insurance: −$48
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$321
• Net cashflow: $413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006

Max offer price $115,000

Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $28,750
• Closing costs: $3,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-03-24
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-17
   price $115,000
3. 2026-02-04
   listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,340
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,442
• − Property taxes: −$1,725
• − Insurance: −$575
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,467
• − Management: −$1,467
• − Depreciation: −$3,345
• Taxable income: $3,319
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$796
• After-tax cash flow: $4,156/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Iola
• NCES district ID: 2007740
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $38,749
• Composite: 20.52/100
• National rank: #8567
• State rank: #140 of 169 in KS

Livability — Iola

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #150
• US rank: #7275

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Iola, KS
• Population (ZIP): 7,452

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 11,885 people
• By 2030: 11,352 · -4.5%
• By 2040: 10,285 · -13.5%
• By 2050: 9,342 · -21.4%
• By 2075: 7,482 · -37.0%
• By 2100: 5,871 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (87%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 87% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+46.1) · D 25.8% · R 72.0% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -46.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+41.0 2012: R+27.2 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -73.20%
• Current HPI: 151.1778
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-8.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-24 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-17 Price Changed $115,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-04 Listed $125,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid