3242 Roesner Dr · Markham, IL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.33%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +1.3/15.0
$198,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Well maintained yard
- Updated kitchen
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as estimated
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (owned) with 2 garage spaces; Total parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Water: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2023; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Was built before 1978
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Yard on a lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 9,300 (units as provided)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area (about 12 x 14); Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Two additional bedrooms on the main level (each about 10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Dining room combined with living room; Family room; Living room (main level)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (about 5 x 8); Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $198k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-122 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (10.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (24.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $149k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 10.2% in Markham — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Central Park Elem School (math 4% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,611 of 2,056 statewide, top 79%, 646 students, 0% FRL); Bremen High School (math 8% / reading 11%, grade F, #577 of 693 statewide, top 84%, 1,497 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $81k; list at $198k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.63%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $174,048
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3236 Roesner Dr | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (0%) | 5mo | $77,000 | $74 | 95 |
| 15313 Cherry Ln | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (0%) | 3mo | $89,000 | $86 | 86 |
| 15315 Cherry Ln | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+0%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $188 | 85 |
| 15422 Cherry Ln | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (+0%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $168 | 76 |
| 15330 Cherry Ln | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,036 (0%) | 2mo | $249,900 | $241 | 74 |
| 14820 Turner Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+3%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $141 | 64 |
| 15246 Calitonia Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,113 (+7%) | 1mo | $137,000 | $123 | 62 |
| 14850 Homan Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,107 (+7%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $167 | 56 |
| 3813 153rd St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,075 (+4%) | 1mo | $268,130 | $249 | 54 |
| 14912 S San Francisco Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-10%) | 1mo | $193,000 | $206 | 52 |
| 15435 Hamlin Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,107 (+7%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $140 | 52 |
| 14825 S Sacramento Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-12%) | 0mo | $222,000 | $243 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $100,074
- Equity at exit
- $178,374
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.42×
- Total profit
- $300,751
- Equity at exit
- $384,670
Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60428
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,492 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,038
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,152/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $-122
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-9 | -5% $-66 | +0% $-122 | +5% $-178 | +10% $-234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-239 | -5% $-181 | +0% $-122 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-4 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-22 | -0.5pp $-71 | base $-122 | +0.5pp $-173 | +1.0pp $-225 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,500
- Closing costs
- $5,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3349 147th St Unit 3240 06 Midlothian, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,500 | $1.84 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3542 147th St Midlothian, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,500 | $1.84 | 8d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 14521 Richmond Ave Unit 3 Posen, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,375 | $1.62 | 26d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 14547 Keystone Ave #12 Midlothian, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $198,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $198,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $198,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $198,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $198,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $198,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $198,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $198,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $198,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $198,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $198,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $198,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $198,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $198,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,152 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,323 · $277/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,171/yr (+$98/mo · 54.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 33% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,903
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,091
- − Property taxes
- −$2,152
- − Insurance
- −$990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,432
- − Management
- −$1,432
- − Depreciation
- −$5,760
- Taxable loss
- −$4,955
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,189
- After-tax cash flow
- $-270/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Markham
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Markham, IL
- City population
- 10,980
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,980
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 302.333
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+147.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $198,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-10 Sold (MLS) $81,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-06 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-30 Listed $80,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2023): $2,152 · +11226.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…