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1501 Mills Ave
C Composite 57.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

1501 Mills Ave · Wheeling, WV 26003
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,632 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1927 3,419 sqft lot Est $202k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Quaint and cozy cape cod style home located near Wheeling Jesuit University

Key facts

  • 3,419 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1927

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; Concrete driveway/parking surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence (Traditional); 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Fireplace (1); Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (2.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.3% in Wheeling — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#74 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ohio County Schools (urban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #5 of 55 in WV (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Ohio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ohio County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $125k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $122,036 (2.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.61%
Cash-on-cash
4.72%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$202,368
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
227 Washington Ave 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,663 (+2%) 8mo $240,000 $144 84
36 Fairfax Ave 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,650 (+1%) 9mo $230,000 $139 79
10 Greenwood Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,700 (+4%) 2mo $211,000 $124 77
1301 Valley View Ave 0.13mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,578 (-3%) 5mo $190,000 $120 75
16 Greenwood Ave 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,663 (+2%) 9mo $205,000 $123 70
20 Byrd Ave 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,647 (+1%) 5mo $190,000 $115 69
1322 Valley View Ave 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,392 (-15%) 8mo $135,000 $97 66
38 Fairfax Ave 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-11%) 9mo $150,000 $103 66
10 Pearl Ave 0.30mi 3/3.0 1,757 (+8%) 8mo $340,000 $194 61
7 Arlington Dr 0.60mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,612 (-1%) 3mo $215,000 $133 59
46 Arcadia Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,396 (-14%) 9mo $185,000 $133 57
43 View St 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,608 (-2%) 5mo $25,000 $16 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-11,463
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,432
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26003

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,220 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,427/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,046
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $208 -5% $173 +0% $138 +5% $102 +10% $67
Rent -10% $41 -5% $89 +0% $138 +5% $186 +10% $234
Rate -1.0pp $200 -0.5pp $169 base $138 +0.5pp $105 +1.0pp $72

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $125,000 Active
  3. 2008-03-30
    soldstatus $63,500 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    Quaint and cozy cape cod style home located near Wheeling Jesuit University

  4. 2007-11-16
    listed $76,500 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    Quaint and cozy cape cod style home located near Wheeling Jesuit University

  5. 2001-03-13
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,427 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,427 · $119/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,644
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,427
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,172
− Management
−$1,172
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$389
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$93
After-tax cash flow
$1,744/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ohio County Schools
NCES district ID
5401050
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,572
Composite
34.88/100
National rank
#5085
State rank
#5 of 55 in WV

Livability — Wheeling

Score
69/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#8950

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wheeling, WV
County
Ohio County · 39,982 people
City population
39,982
Metro
Wheeling, WV-OH
Population (ZIP)
39,982
Household income
$57,703
Rent vs Own
32.5% rent · 67.5% own
Severe rent burden
1630.0

Population outlook (Ohio County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,604 people
By 2030
39,150 · -3.6%
By 2040
36,039 · -11.2%
By 2050
33,582 · -17.3%
By 2075
28,662 · -29.4%
By 2100
22,963 · -43.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ohio

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.0% · R 62.0% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -26.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.0 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+31.6 2012: R+22.5 2008: R+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.09%
Current HPI
223.4106
Rent YoY
▲ 3.03%
Metro
Wheeling, WV-OH
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+160.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending WBOR
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $125,000 WBOR
  • 2008-03-30 Sold (MLS) $63,500 WBOR
  • 2007-11-16 Listed $76,500 WBOR
  • 2001-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,427 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…