407 N Pear St · Gastonia, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2BR fixer upper can easily be a 3BR, 2BA home with the right improvements; The vinyl siding and the metal roof are the only parts of the home that do not need updating / remodeling; Please exercise caution on the quaint front porch and the large rear deck; Wood floors in the home can be refinished; Living room wood stove and also a gas line for a space heater; Kitchen appliances have been removed; Bathroom walk-in shower with a ceramic tile surround; The laundry is located in a large open room in the back of the home with another room off of that; That back room can be broken in to a laundry room, a bathroom and a closet while the back room can be made in to the master bedroom; Attach
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Wood floors
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential, site-built; One story; R1 zoning
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on site
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Chain link fence in back yard; Shed(s)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Linoleum flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Electric cooling
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.7% in Gastonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#528 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brookside Elementary (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #890 of 1,410 statewide, top 64%, 502 students, 99% FRL); North Gaston High (math 49% / reading 42%, grade D-, #347 of 535 statewide, top 65%, 1,134 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 37% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 183 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.70%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1508 E Cole St | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 995 (-1%) | 5mo | $129,000 | $130 | 85 |
| 605 N Mcfarland St N | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,025 (+2%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $195 | 70 |
| 1908 Flint Ln | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,101 (+9%) | 6mo | $109,000 | $99 | 66 |
| 1884 Hilltop Cir | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,090 (+8%) | 7mo | $143,900 | $132 | 64 |
| 313 Welch Ave Unit 1-3 | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+3%) | 9mo | $148,000 | $142 | 63 |
| 1811 Hemlock Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (-15%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $221 | 60 |
| 1314 Poston Cir | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (-10%) | 6mo | $176,900 | $194 | 56 |
| 1109 Balthis Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,015 (+1%) | 8mo | $209,000 | $206 | 52 |
| 1212 Bicycle Ct | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,133 (+12%) | 1mo | $234,900 | $207 | 44 |
| 614 N Rhyne St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 877 (-13%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $200 | 43 |
| 1413 Modena St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,146 (+14%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $231 | 34 |
| 808 Raindrops Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,158 (+15%) | 11mo | $258,000 | $223 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-9,568
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-3,969
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28054
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,358 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,682/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $295 | -5% $260 | +0% $225 | +5% $189 | +10% $154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $117 | -5% $171 | +0% $225 | +5% $278 | +10% $332 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $288 | -0.5pp $256 | base $225 | +0.5pp $192 | +1.0pp $159 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1808 Hemlock Ave Gastonia, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,698 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1907 E Elm St Gastonia, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,150 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 221 Welch Ave Unit B Gastonia, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1912 Gum St Gastonia, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,255 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1408 Poston Cir Gastonia, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 330 Willow Oak Ln Gastonia, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1050 | $1,286 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1620 Poston Cir Gastonia, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $1,172 | $1.82 | 4d | 6 | 0.64mi |
| 526 Carl St Gastonia, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 825 | $1,225 | $1.48 | 5d | 7 | 0.71mi |
| 609 N Rhyne St Gastonia, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,450 | $1.86 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2417 E Ozark Ave Apt A Charlotte NC 28269 Gastonia, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2417 E Ozark Ave Gastonia, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1850 Yellowstone Ct Gastonia, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 910 E Davis Ave Gastonia, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,288 | $1.43 | 5d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 516 Beacon St Gastonia, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1680 Plyler Lake Rd Gastonia, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,482 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 917 N Oakland St Gastonia, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2205 Brookneal Dr Gastonia, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,595 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 118 W Harrison Ave Gastonia, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,295 | $0.86 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,682 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,682 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,290
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,682
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,303
- − Management
- −$1,303
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $738
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$177
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gaston County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701620
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,644
- Composite
- 36.39/100
- National rank
- #4680
- State rank
- #93 of 178 in NC
Livability — Gastonia
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #528
- US rank
- #19444
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gastonia, NC
- County
- Gaston County · 201,497 people
- City population
- 114,179
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,707
- Household income
- $61,035
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2314.0
Population outlook (Gaston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,027 people
- By 2030
- 237,300 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 249,659 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 257,806 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 272,163 · +18.3%
- By 2100
- 268,652 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gaston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- 0.0pp no change · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -25.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.0 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+32.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.82%
- Current HPI
- 257.2241
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.27%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $125,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,682 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…