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4252 Castille Ave
D Composite 43.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

4252 Castille Ave · Pea Ridge, FL 32571
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,592 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 135 Days on market
Built 2002 0.26 ac lot Est $264k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3br 2ba home is conveniently located off of Hwy 90 and is close to most of what the Pace/Milton area has to offer. This home is complete with tile flooring throughout, vaulted ceiling in living room, split bedroom floorplan, eat in kitchen and a large laundry room. There is a large 'bonus room' off of the kitchen that could be used as a family room, office or even a 4th bedroom (there is a closet). The backyard is fenced and there is a workshop/storage shed.

Key facts

  • One story layout
  • Detached shed
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

ONE STORY LAYOUTWOOD FRAME CONSTRUCTIONBRICK AND VINYL SIDINGMONOLITHIC SLAB FOUNDATIONTIMBERLINE SHINGLE ROOFDETACHED SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking with a driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Circuit breaker electrical service
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Not attached to other properties; Approximately 1,592 square feet
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Interior lot; Paved, county-maintained road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor, approximately 14' x 14'
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Bonus room; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Circuit breaker electrical panel

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-639/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (3.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.5% in Pea Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#459 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bennett C Russell Elementary School (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 819 students, 59% FRL); Pace High School (math 63% / reading 62%, grade B-, #93 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,240 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 674 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $99k; list at $250k implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $211,960 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.91%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$264,272
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4285 Lindsey Ln 0.12mi 4/2.0 1,640 (+3%) 2mo $220,000 $134 88
5483 Chantilly Cir 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,535 (-4%) 4mo $255,000 $166 74
4331 Chantilly Way 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,544 (-3%) 4mo $253,000 $164 65
4412 Copperwood Pl 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,442 (-9%) 4mo $305,000 $212 64
4288 Chantilly Way 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,524 (-4%) 3mo $275,000 $180 62
5301 E Avenida De Golf 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,492 (-6%) 4mo $221,000 $148 61
5270 Barcelona St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,353 (-15%) 4mo $228,000 $169 49
5247 Catalina St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,430 (-10%) 3mo $251,000 $176 48
4344 Chantilly Way 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,380 (-13%) 2mo $245,000 $178 47
4460 Santa Villa Dr 0.49mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,400 (-12%) 4mo $215,000 $154 47
4327 Chantilly Way 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,385 (-13%) 6mo $210,000 $152 47
4361 W Avenida De Golf 0.49mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,371 (-14%) 3mo $204,000 $149 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-44,463
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-10.9%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-45,382
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32571

Home prices YoY
-17.7%
Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
674
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,120 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$445
Net cashflow
$-53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,187
Max offer price $242,300
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $120 -5% $33 +0% $-53 +5% $-140 +10% $-226
Rent -10% $-221 -5% $-137 +0% $-53 +5% $31 +10% $114
Rate -1.0pp $73 -0.5pp $10 base $-53 +0.5pp $-118 +1.0pp $-184

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4530 Chantilly Way Milton, FL 3.0 2.0 1629 $1,750 $1.07 25d 1 0.93mi
4933 Bell Ridge Ln Milton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 865 $1,437 $1.66 16d 8 0.97mi
5061 Peach Dr Milton, FL 3.0 2.5 1581 $1,850 $1.17 25d 1 1.16mi
4624 Malay Cir Milton, FL 4.0 2.0 1787 $2,085 $1.17 16d 1 1.19mi
4836 Covenant Cir Milton, FL 3.0 2.0 1590 $1,875 $1.18 16d 1 1.19mi
5157 Peach Dr Milton, FL 3.0 2.0 1788 $2,100 $1.17 16d 1 1.33mi
4413 Oak Vista Ln Milton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 992 $2,354 $2.37 16d 18 1.34mi
3984 Pendragon Cir Unit 1 Milton, FL 3.0 2.5 1537 $1,800 $1.17 23d 1 1.36mi
5320 Cornwall Dr Milton, FL 3.0 2.0 1703 $2,200 $1.29 16d 1 1.36mi
3863 Pendragon Cir , FL 3.0 2.5 1579 $2,500 $1.58 25d 1 1.41mi
4955 Red Cedar Rd Milton, FL 5.0 3.0 2077 $2,400 $1.16 16d 1 1.41mi
4051 Pendragon Cir Milton, FL 3.0 2.5 1530 $1,800 $1.18 16d 1 1.43mi
4067 Pendragon Cir Milton, FL 3.0 2.5 1537 $1,800 $1.17 16d 1 1.45mi
4185 Pendragon Cir Unit Alisha walker Milton, FL 3.0 2.5 1553 $1,800 $1.16 16d 1 1.45mi
4167 Pendragon Cir Milton, FL 3.0 2.5 1553 $1,800 $1.16 16d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $250,000 Active 135 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $250,000 Active 124 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 122 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 121 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $250,000 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 117 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 116 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 115 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 114 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 113 DOM
  17. 2026-02-06
    listed $250,000 Active
  18. 2024-01-07
    historical $875
  19. 2024-01-02
    price $875
  20. 2023-12-24
    listed $650
  21. 2010-07-23
    soldstatus $99,000 467-char remark
    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    This 3br 2ba home is conveniently located off of Hwy 90 and is close to most of what the Pace/Milton area has to offer. This home is complete with tile flooring throughout, vaulted ceiling in living room, split bedroom floorplan, eat in kitchen and a large laundry room. There is a large 'bonus room' off of the kitchen that could be used as a family room, office or even a 4th bedroom (there is a closet). The backyard is fenced and there is a workshop/storage shed.

  22. 2010-04-20
    listed $94,500 467-char remark
    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    This 3br 2ba home is conveniently located off of Hwy 90 and is close to most of what the Pace/Milton area has to offer. This home is complete with tile flooring throughout, vaulted ceiling in living room, split bedroom floorplan, eat in kitchen and a large laundry room. There is a large 'bonus room' off of the kitchen that could be used as a family room, office or even a 4th bedroom (there is a closet). The backyard is fenced and there is a workshop/storage shed.

  23. 2007-07-10
    soldstatus $99,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    HUD property sold as-is. Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information. Liens/Code violations may/may not exist. Broker/purchaser to resolve. Evidence of mold may/may not be present. No remediation has or will be done. FHA ELIGIBLE WITH $2200 REPAIR ESCROW HUD CASE - 091-367019

  24. 2007-04-13
    listed $107,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    HUD property sold as-is. Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information. Liens/Code violations may/may not exist. Broker/purchaser to resolve. Evidence of mold may/may not be present. No remediation has or will be done. FHA ELIGIBLE WITH $2200 REPAIR ESCROW HUD CASE - 091-367019

  25. 2003-01-28
    soldstatus $79,900
  26. 2001-06-06
    listed $78,900
  27. 2000-07-05
    soldstatus $17,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,435
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,035
− Management
−$2,035
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$4,911
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,179
After-tax cash flow
$540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Santa Rosa
NCES district ID
1201650
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,161
Composite
53.12/100
National rank
#1511
State rank
#8 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pea Ridge

Score
69/100
State rank
#459
US rank
#8316

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pea Ridge, FL
County
Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
42,171
Household income
$87,617
Rent vs Own
16.1% rent · 83.9% own
Severe rent burden
301.0

Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
195,978 people
By 2030
209,782 · +7.0%
By 2040
235,293 · +20.1%
By 2050
256,408 · +30.8%
By 2075
298,074 · +52.1%
By 2100
303,216 · +54.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.39%
Current HPI
290.2953
Rent YoY
▲ 2.72%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1328.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $250,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-01-07 Rental Removed $875 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-02 Price Changed $875 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-24 Listed for Rent $650 APPFOLIO
  • 2010-07-23 Sold (MLS) $99,000 PARMLS
  • 2010-04-20 Listed $94,500 PARMLS
  • 2007-07-10 Sold (MLS) $99,000 PARMLS
  • 2007-04-13 Listed $107,000 PARMLS
  • 2003-01-28 Sold (MLS) $79,900 PARMLS
  • 2001-06-06 Listed $78,900 PARMLS
  • 2000-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $151 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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