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1255 Orcutt Rd Unit B14
B- Composite 65.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,950

1255 Orcutt Rd Unit B14 · San Luis Obispo, CA 93401
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 560 sqft · Manufactured · 185 Days on market
Built 2026 $295/sqft · 15% above area Est $143k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brand new 2026 Champion manufactured home located in the Colonial Manor Manufactured Home Community in San Luis Obispo, CA. This well-designed single-wide offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a functional layout. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, and the home includes indoor laundry hookups for added convenience. Enjoy comfortable, low maintenance living with affordable space rent of $995 per month.

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 185 days

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESINDOOR LAUNDRY HOOKUPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 2.1% in San Luis Obispo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#132 in CA, #4,576 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Luis Coastal Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #118 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,104 units permitted in San Luis Obispo County in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Luis Obispo County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,156 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
14.28%
Cash-on-cash
28.52%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,919
List price
$164,950
Delta
15.42%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1121 Orcutt Rd #10 0.07mi 1/1.0 (-1) 547 (-2%) 8mo $180,600 $330 77
1121 Orcutt #35 0.07mi 2/1.0 480 (-14%) 1mo $108,000 $225 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$47,293
Equity at exit
$24,595
10-year hold
IRR
33.1%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$148,576
Equity at exit
$14,262

Cash invested: $46,186 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93401

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,832 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$595
Net cashflow
$1,098

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $164,950
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,212 -5% $1,155 +0% $1,098 +5% $1,041 +10% $984
Rent -10% $874 -5% $986 +0% $1,098 +5% $1,209 +10% $1,321
Rate -1.0pp $1,181 -0.5pp $1,140 base $1,098 +0.5pp $1,055 +1.0pp $1,011

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,238
Closing costs
$4,948
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
791 Orcutt Rd San Luis Obispo, CA 1.0 1.0 651 $2,750 $4.22 22d 3 0.41mi
3150 Rockview Pl #8 San Luis Obispo, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $2,475 $4.12 44d 1 0.58mi
2800 Broad St San Luis Obispo, CA 1.0 1.0 464 $2,500 $5.39 44d 1 0.66mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    price $164,950 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,950 Active 185 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,950 Active 184 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,950 Active 183 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,950 Active 182 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,950 Active 180 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,950 Active 179 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,950 Active 177 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,950 Active 176 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,950 Active 175 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,950 Active 174 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,950 Active 170 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,950 Active 169 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,950 Active 168 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,950 Active 167 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,950 Active 166 DOM
  17. 2026-04-27
    price $169,950 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    Brand new 2026 Champion manufactured home located in the Colonial Manor Manufactured Home Community in San Luis Obispo, CA. This well-designed single-wide offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a functional layout. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, and the home includes indoor laundry hookups for added convenience. Enjoy comfortable, low maintenance living with affordable space rent of $995 per month.

  18. 2026-04-01
    price $174,950 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    Brand new 2026 Champion manufactured home located in the Colonial Manor Manufactured Home Community in San Luis Obispo, CA. This well-designed single-wide offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a functional layout. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, and the home includes indoor laundry hookups for added convenience. Enjoy comfortable, low maintenance living with affordable space rent of $995 per month.

  19. 2026-03-05
    price $179,950 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    Brand new 2026 Champion manufactured home located in the Colonial Manor Manufactured Home Community in San Luis Obispo, CA. This well-designed single-wide offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a functional layout. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, and the home includes indoor laundry hookups for added convenience. Enjoy comfortable, low maintenance living with affordable space rent of $995 per month.

  20. 2026-02-05
    price $184,950 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    Brand new 2026 Champion manufactured home located in the Colonial Manor Manufactured Home Community in San Luis Obispo, CA. This well-designed single-wide offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a functional layout. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, and the home includes indoor laundry hookups for added convenience. Enjoy comfortable, low maintenance living with affordable space rent of $995 per month.

  21. 2026-01-12
    price $189,950 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    Brand new 2026 Champion manufactured home located in the Colonial Manor Manufactured Home Community in San Luis Obispo, CA. This well-designed single-wide offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a functional layout. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, and the home includes indoor laundry hookups for added convenience. Enjoy comfortable, low maintenance living with affordable space rent of $995 per month.

  22. 2025-12-15
    listed $199,950 Active 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    Brand new 2026 Champion manufactured home located in the Colonial Manor Manufactured Home Community in San Luis Obispo, CA. This well-designed single-wide offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a functional layout. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, and the home includes indoor laundry hookups for added convenience. Enjoy comfortable, low maintenance living with affordable space rent of $995 per month.

  23. 2017-04-12
    historical
  24. 2017-04-07
    historical
  25. 2015-01-06
    historical
  26. 2010-12-22
    historical
  27. 2010-09-22
    listed $50,000
  28. 2010-09-22
    listed $50,000
  29. 2010-04-17
    listed $58,000
  30. 2010-04-17
    listed $58,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,987
− Mortgage interest
−$9,240
− Property taxes
−$2,474
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,719
− Management
−$2,719
− Depreciation
−$4,799
Taxable income
$11,212
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,691
After-tax cash flow
$10,480/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Luis Coastal Unified
NCES district ID
0634800
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$53,428
Composite
46.4/100
National rank
#2455
State rank
#118 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Luis Obispo

Score
74/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#4576

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Luis Obispo, CA
County
San Luis Obispo County · 224,651 people
City population
54,204
Metro
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
Population (ZIP)
29,202
Household income
$96,824
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
2050.0

Population outlook (San Luis Obispo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
306,977 people
By 2030
320,378 · +4.4%
By 2040
343,933 · +12.0%
By 2050
366,853 · +19.5%
By 2075
428,329 · +39.5%
By 2100
460,687 · +50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Luis Obispo

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 5.4pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+8.3 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+5.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -796.84%
Current HPI
359.9248
Rent YoY
▲ 4.41%
Metro
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+193.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $169,950 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $174,950 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $179,950 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $184,950 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $189,950 CRMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $199,950 CRMLS
  • 2017-04-12 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2017-04-07 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2015-01-06 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2010-12-22 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2010-09-22 Listed $50,000 CRMLS
  • 2010-09-22 Listed $50,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2010-04-17 Listed $58,000 CRMLS
  • 2010-04-17 Listed $58,000 NSBCRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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