323 Indiana Ave · Avonmore, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Avonmore offers rural small town living with a unique array of gift shops and talented artisans, as well as a variety of restaurants. Come check out this well-maintained home that offers comfortable living with a functional layout and plenty of space both inside and out. The main level features a fully equipped kitchen with a wall oven, gas cooktop and refrigerator, along with a bright living room and a separate dining room ideal for gatherings. Three bedrooms and a full bath complete the main floor. The lower level adds additional living space with an area that could easily be finished for family or game room, a partial bath and a laundry area. A tandem two-car integral garage provides convenient parking and storage. Situated on a generous size yard, the property also features hardwood floors beneath the carpeting, offering great potential for customization and added value. Avonmore has a charming and historic downtown and great access to several bike trails. 30 minutes to Indiana, Latrobe, Greensburg and 60 minutes to Pittsburgh
Key facts
- 5,458 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,339 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Kiski Area SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #247 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $73k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.64%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,379
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -28.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $21,626
- Equity at exit
- $44,372
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $63,556
- Equity at exit
- $67,959
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15618
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,096 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $911/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $158
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $215 | -5% $187 | +0% $158 | +5% $130 | +10% $102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $72 | -5% $115 | +0% $158 | +5% $202 | +10% $245 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $209 | -0.5pp $184 | base $158 | +0.5pp $132 | +1.0pp $106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-04-08$99,900 Active 1046-char remark
Show marketing remark (1046 chars)
Avonmore offers rural small town living with a unique array of gift shops and talented artisans, as well as a variety of restaurants. Come check out this well-maintained home that offers comfortable living with a functional layout and plenty of space both inside and out. The main level features a fully equipped kitchen with a wall oven, gas cooktop and refrigerator, along with a bright living room and a separate dining room ideal for gatherings. Three bedrooms and a full bath complete the main floor. The lower level adds additional living space with an area that could easily be finished for family or game room, a partial bath and a laundry area. A tandem two-car integral garage provides convenient parking and storage. Situated on a generous size yard, the property also features hardwood floors beneath the carpeting, offering great potential for customization and added value. Avonmore has a charming and historic downtown and great access to several bike trails. 30 minutes to Indiana, Latrobe, Greensburg and 60 minutes to Pittsburgh
-
2026-03-31historical Expired 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Move right into this lovely ranch home on spacious lot in Avonmore Boro. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths. 2-car tandem integral garage. Main level consists of 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, dining room, kitchen. Lower level consists of tandem garage, full bath, family room and laundry room. Covered side porch. Large yard with additional off-street parking. Shed stays. Very low taxes. Conveniently located to schools, shopping and recreation.
-
2026-03-12$110,000 Active 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Move right into this lovely ranch home on spacious lot in Avonmore Boro. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths. 2-car tandem integral garage. Main level consists of 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, dining room, kitchen. Lower level consists of tandem garage, full bath, family room and laundry room. Covered side porch. Large yard with additional off-street parking. Shed stays. Very low taxes. Conveniently located to schools, shopping and recreation.
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2024-09-20soldstatus $73,000
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2024-09-16soldstatus $73,000 Closed
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2024-07-22historical Contingent
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2024-07-02$72,900 Active
-
2017-04-05price $28,000
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2017-04-05soldstatus $28,000 Sold
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2017-04-05soldstatus $28,000
-
2017-02-22status Under Contract
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2017-02-21price $34,900
-
2017-02-13price $34,900
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2017-01-06price $39,900
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2016-12-06price $42,500
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2016-10-20price $45,900
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2016-07-26$52,500 Active
-
2016-03-15soldstatus $1,334
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$334/yr (+$28/mo · 36.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$911
- − Insurance
- −$1,297
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,053
- − Management
- −$1,053
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $341
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$82
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kiski Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212840
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,407
- Composite
- 39.72/100
- National rank
- #3900
- State rank
- #247 of 539 in PA
Livability — Avonmore
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #1339
- US rank
- #16565
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Avonmore, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,388
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Black 1% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Serbian 4% Polish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Current HPI
- 254.6433
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+7388.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $99,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-31 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $110,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-16 Sold (MLS) $73,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-07-22 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2024-07-02 Listed $72,900 West Penn MLS
- 2017-04-05 Price Changed $28,000 West Penn MLS
- 2017-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-05 Sold (MLS) $28,000 West Penn MLS
- 2017-02-22 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2017-02-21 Price Changed $34,900 West Penn MLS
- 2017-02-13 Price Changed $34,900 West Penn MLS
- 2017-01-06 Price Changed $39,900 West Penn MLS
- 2016-12-06 Price Changed $42,500 West Penn MLS
- 2016-10-20 Price Changed $45,900 West Penn MLS
- 2016-07-26 Listed $52,500 West Penn MLS
- 2016-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $1,334 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.7%/yrLatest (2026): $911 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…