71 Cowbell Ln · Brittany Farms-The Highlands, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 71 Cowbell Lane, a bright and well-kept home in the meticulously maintained Little Farm Estates 55+ community in a highly desired location. From the curb you get mature landscaping, a lamppost-lined walk, and something many neighbors don't have: a true attached garage with an opener. Inside, the open living and dining area is wide and sunny, featuring vaulted ceilings, rich wood trim, and a large bay window that pulls in light all day. The eat-in kitchen is the heart of the home, offering ample oak cabinetry, a wall oven, a gas cooktop, a bright breakfast nook, and charming stained glass accents. The home has two generously sized bedrooms and two full baths across roughly 1,458 s
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Oak cabinetry
- Attached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area approximately 1,458 (estimated); Owned interest listed as land lease; Year built source estimated
- Financial info: Land lease of $500 per month with 99 years remaining; Ground rent noted as an income/expense item
- HOA & community: Other community fee of $100 monthly; Senior community (55+)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling
- Home design: Manufactured home; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Ground rent exists; Annual ground rent payment; Lot dimensions recorded by assessor
Interior
- Kitchen: Wall oven; Built-in range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: No basement; Property manager present; Senior community with 55+ age requirement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Propane hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $640 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.9% in Brittany Farms-The Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Central Bucks SD (suburban): math 55% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #37 of 539 in PA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Butler El Sch (math 54% / reading 71%, grade B, #308 of 1,518 statewide, top 20%, 827 students, 14% FRL); Unami Ms (math 36% / reading 66%, grade C, #116 of 512 statewide, top 24%, 777 students, 9% FRL); Central Bucks Hs-South (math 91% / reading 75%, grade A, #14 of 437 statewide, top 3%, 1,720 students, 9% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.20%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $4,266
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $55,917
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18914
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,538 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,099/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$533
- Net cashflow
- $640
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $768 | -5% $704 | +0% $640 | +5% $577 | +10% $513 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $440 | -5% $540 | +0% $640 | +5% $741 | +10% $841 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $754 | -0.5pp $698 | base $640 | +0.5pp $582 | +1.0pp $523 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500 Manor Dr Chalfont, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $2,082 | $2.31 | 2d | 8 | 0.23mi |
| 108 Pipers Pl Chalfont, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,800 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4106 Grey Friars Ter Chalfont, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1075 | $1,875 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 409 W Butler Ave Chalfont, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1401 Morris Ct North Wales, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $2,100 | $2.25 | 20d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1202 Braxton Ct #1202 North Wales, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $1,875 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1003 Thornton Ct North Wales, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 991 | $2,000 | $2.02 | 12d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2408 Adams Ct Unit 2408 North Wales, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,900 | $1.96 | 2d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$224,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,099 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,326 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,227/yr (+$102/mo · 111.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,458
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$1,099
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,437
- − Management
- −$2,437
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable income
- $4,220
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,672/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Bucks SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205310
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $97,513
- Composite
- 58.05/100
- National rank
- #1032
- State rank
- #37 of 539 in PA
Livability — Brittany Farms-The Highlands
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brittany Farms-The Highlands, PA
- County
- Bucks County · 506,477 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,598
- Household income
- $148,824
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 325.0
Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 630,973 people
- By 2030
- 627,093 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 609,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 584,225 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 539,840 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 483,970 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Asian 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bucks
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -373.34%
- Current HPI
- 286.574
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $224,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,099 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…