1984 E Miller Rd · Mio, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- Appreciation +9.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.8/15.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
Key facts
- Vaulted ceilings
- Built-in closets
- 0.25 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#557 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fairview Area School District (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #244 of 760 in MI (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29 units permitted in Oscoda County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
- Oscoda County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.57%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,000
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- 12.65%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2239 N E Miller Rd | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,055 (-12%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $147 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $68,046
- Equity at exit
- $97,449
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.91×
- Total profit
- $190,204
- Equity at exit
- $204,020
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48621
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $510/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2117 E Miller Rd Unit MIL-2117 Fairview, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
-
2026-05-16status Pending 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
-
2026-05-16status Pending
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
-
2026-05-12status Active 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
-
2026-05-12status Active 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
-
2026-05-12status Active
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
-
2026-05-06status Pending 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
-
2026-05-06status Pending 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
-
2026-05-06status Pending
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
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2026-04-02price $114,900 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
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2026-04-01price $114,900 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
-
2026-04-01price $114,900
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
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2025-12-09$124,900 Active 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
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2025-12-08$124,900 Active 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
-
2025-12-08$124,900 Active
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.
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2022-08-10soldstatus $85,000
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2021-03-09soldstatus $74,000
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2021-03-05soldstatus $72,000
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2020-03-20$74,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $510 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,140 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$630/yr (+$52/mo · 123.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$510
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $224
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$54
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,059/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairview Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2610560
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,353
- Composite
- 41.42/100
- National rank
- #7306
- State rank
- #244 of 760 in MI
Livability — Mio
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #557
- US rank
- #17534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,087
Population outlook (Oscoda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,410 people
- By 2030
- 6,884 · -7.1%
- By 2040
- 5,853 · -21.0%
- By 2050
- 5,055 · -31.8%
- By 2075
- 3,832 · -48.3%
- By 2100
- 2,863 · -61.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oscoda
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.3) · D 27.2% · R 71.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: -10.0pp · 2024: -44.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.3 2020: R+43.6 2016: R+44.3 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+10.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.27%
- Current HPI
- 210.9497
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+55.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-16 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $114,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $114,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-09 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-08 Listed $124,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-08 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-05 Sold (MLS) $72,000 WWMLS
- 2020-03-20 Listed $74,000 WWMLS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $510 · -70.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…