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1984 E Miller Rd
C Composite 56.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.8/15.0

$114,900

1984 E Miller Rd · Mio, MI 48621
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,194 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 152 Days on market
Built 1962 0.25 ac lot $96/sqft · 37% above area Est $102k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

Key facts

  • Vaulted ceilings
  • Built-in closets
  • 0.25 acre lot

Tags

VAULTED CEILINGSBUILT-IN CLOSETSEASY-TO-MAINTAIN YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (4.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#557 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fairview Area School District (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #244 of 760 in MI (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29 units permitted in Oscoda County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
  • Oscoda County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $85k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $101,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.13%
Cash-on-cash
6.57%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$102,000
List price
$114,900
Delta
12.65%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2239 N E Miller Rd 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,055 (-12%) 8mo $155,000 $147 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$68,046
Equity at exit
$97,449
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
6.91×
Total profit
$190,204
Equity at exit
$204,020

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48621

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $510/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$176

Break-even live

Break-even rent $877
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2117 E Miller Rd Unit MIL-2117 Fairview, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 0.33mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  2. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  3. 2026-05-16
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  4. 2026-05-12
    status Active 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  5. 2026-05-12
    status Active 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  6. 2026-05-12
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  7. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  8. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  9. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  10. 2026-04-02
    price $114,900 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  11. 2026-04-01
    price $114,900 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  12. 2026-04-01
    price $114,900
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  13. 2025-12-09
    listed $124,900 Active 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  14. 2025-12-08
    listed $124,900 Active 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  15. 2025-12-08
    listed $124,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    This charming home in the heart of Fairview, Michigan offers a fantastic floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the kitchen and dining area, ample storage, including well-built built-in closets, and three spacious bedrooms along with two bathrooms. The 1.5-stall garage and easy-to-maintain yard add to its appeal. Its prime location allows for walking to local amenities such as the grocery store, party store, Dollar General, parks, tennis & pickleball courts, an ice rink with its own Zamboni, and a full-service gas station and auto repair shop that pumps your gas for free with full service. More pictures will be available the week of 1/5/26.

  16. 2022-08-10
    soldstatus $85,000
  17. 2021-03-09
    soldstatus $74,000
  18. 2021-03-05
    soldstatus $72,000
  19. 2020-03-20
    listed $74,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$510 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,140 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$630/yr (+$52/mo · 123.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,200
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$510
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$224
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$54
After-tax cash flow
$2,059/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairview Area School District
NCES district ID
2610560
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$35,353
Composite
41.42/100
National rank
#7306
State rank
#244 of 760 in MI

Livability — Mio

Score
61/100
State rank
#557
US rank
#17534

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,087

Population outlook (Oscoda County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,410 people
By 2030
6,884 · -7.1%
By 2040
5,853 · -21.0%
By 2050
5,055 · -31.8%
By 2075
3,832 · -48.3%
By 2100
2,863 · -61.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oscoda

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.3) · D 27.2% · R 71.6% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: -10.0pp · 2024: -44.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.3 2020: R+43.6 2016: R+44.3 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+10.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.27%
Current HPI
210.9497
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.3% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-16 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $114,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $114,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $124,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-05 Sold (MLS) $72,000 WWMLS
  • 2020-03-20 Listed $74,000 WWMLS

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $510 · -70.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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