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4432 Tucker Sq
B Composite 70.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

4432 Tucker Sq · Beacon Square, FL 34652
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 367 Days on market
Built 1980 5,001 sqft lot $175/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A Fully renovated Manufactured Home awaits in a 55+ community! Approximate Project Completion Date: 03/31/2025. It is close to public parks, beaches, shopping, restaurants. Don't miss this opportunity to have a piece of beautiful New Port Richey to call your own.

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Shopping
  • Beaches

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDPUBLIC PARKSBEACHESSHOPPINGRESTAURANTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: HOA required (Place in Sun/Marcia McDonald) — $175 monthly; includes cable TV, pool, internet, and common area taxes; Community clubhouse; Buyer approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable available; Private utilities
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces east; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Metal frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.11-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Appliances: Other
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 2.7% in Beacon Square — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#600 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 635 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 367 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $79k (61%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $37k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 367 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.19%
Cap rate
23.70%
Cash-on-cash
62.16%
DSCR
3.77
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$136,920
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4135 Pecan Dr 0.65mi 2/2.0 864 (+3%) 13mo $141,000 $163 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$7,677
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$18,705
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34652

Home prices YoY
-26.1%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
635
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,590 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $903/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$175
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$297

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,214
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4221 Touchton Pl New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 888 $1,300 $1.46 23d 1 0.15mi
4408 Rustic Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 1101 $1,500 $1.36 24d 1 0.17mi
4209 Touchton Pl New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 624 $1,300 $2.08 16d 1 0.17mi
4411 Rustic Dr Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 12d 1 0.20mi
4211 Hampton Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,795 $1.71 4d 1 0.22mi
4540 Irene Loop New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $1,550 $2.02 24d 1 0.42mi
4721 Naftis Ln New Port Richey, FL 3.0 2.0 1104 $1,700 $1.54 12d 1 0.46mi
4124 Flamingo Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 1.0 744 $1,500 $2.02 3d 1 0.47mi
4124 Flamingo Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 1.0 744 $1,500 $2.02 14d 1 0.47mi
4616 Irene Loop New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 898 $1,600 $1.78 19d 1 0.48mi
4133 Grayton Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 1068 $1,727 $1.62 4d 1 0.53mi
4852 Pompano Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1104 $2,900 $2.63 24d 1 0.57mi
5020 Vickers Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 863 $1,550 $1.80 4d 1 0.63mi
4548 Belfast Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,575 $1.47 17d 1 0.75mi
4939 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,675 $1.60 24d 2 0.78mi
4939 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,600 $1.52 1d 2 0.78mi
4939 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,648 $1.57 16d 3 0.78mi
4436 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 890 $2,295 $2.58 4d 1 0.83mi
4430 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 1094 $2,500 $2.29 3d 1 0.84mi
4518 Audrey Ln Unit 4551 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 21d 1 0.85mi
4529 Audrey Ln New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 21d 1 0.85mi
4540 Audrey Ln New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 24d 1 0.87mi
4551 Audrey Ln NEW PRT RCHY, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 21d 1 0.87mi
5197 Silent Loop #124 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 956 $2,200 $2.30 24d 1 0.92mi
5197 Silent Loop New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 956 $2,200 $2.30 3d 1 0.92mi
4754 Marine Pkwy Unit 102-I New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 24d 1 0.92mi
3439 Clydesdale Dr Holiday, FL 2.0 1.0 968 $1,395 $1.44 4d 1 0.93mi
4854 Marine Pkwy #103 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 2.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 24d 1 0.93mi
5132 Amulet Dr #107 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 928 $1,395 $1.50 12d 1 0.93mi
3511 Cambridge St New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 936 $2,100 $2.24 4d 1 0.95mi
3433 Monticello St Holiday, FL 3.0 1.5 960 $1,650 $1.72 24d 1 0.95mi
4753 Marine Pkwy Unit 4753 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 24d 1 0.97mi
5154 Turquoise Ln #102 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 708 $1,250 $1.77 4d 1 0.99mi
4744 Azalea Dr #204 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 736 $1,100 $1.49 20d 1 1.01mi
4901 Onyx Ln #102 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 672 $1,295 $1.93 24d 1 1.02mi
4533 Marine Pkwy #101 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,795 $1.68 20d 1 1.02mi
4533 Marine Pkwy #101 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,795 $1.68 17d 1 1.02mi
4746 Azalea Dr Apt 103C Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1008 $1,220 $1.21 24d 1 1.04mi
5333 Pasadena Dr Unit 5333 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 576 $1,200 $2.08 17d 1 1.04mi
3516 Sheryl Hill Dr Holiday, FL 2.0 2.0 848 $1,595 $1.88 24d 1 1.05mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$175 · $2,100/yr

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 367 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 366 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 365 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 364 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 362 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 358 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 357 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 356 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,900 Active 353 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 352 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 351 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 350 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 349 DOM
  14. 2025-09-23
    price $49,900
  15. 2025-09-18
    price $129,000
  16. 2025-07-11
    price $159,000
  17. 2025-06-16
    listed $129,000 Active
  18. 2025-05-09
    soldstatus $37,000 Closed 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    A Fully renovated Manufactured Home awaits in a 55+ community! Approximate Project Completion Date: 03/31/2025. It is close to public parks, beaches, shopping, restaurants. Don't miss this opportunity to have a piece of beautiful New Port Richey to call your own.

  19. 2025-05-01
    status Pending 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    A Fully renovated Manufactured Home awaits in a 55+ community! Approximate Project Completion Date: 03/31/2025. It is close to public parks, beaches, shopping, restaurants. Don't miss this opportunity to have a piece of beautiful New Port Richey to call your own.

  20. 2025-01-07
    listed $129,900 Active 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    A Fully renovated Manufactured Home awaits in a 55+ community! Approximate Project Completion Date: 03/31/2025. It is close to public parks, beaches, shopping, restaurants. Don't miss this opportunity to have a piece of beautiful New Port Richey to call your own.

  21. 2024-12-17
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This charming home with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms single-wide in a 1,509 SqFt lot. This property has great bones. It needs some work. This has been flooded and need to verify any applicable changes.

  22. 2024-12-02
    status Pending 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This charming home with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms single-wide in a 1,509 SqFt lot. This property has great bones. It needs some work. This has been flooded and need to verify any applicable changes.

  23. 2024-11-18
    listed $28,900 Active 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This charming home with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms single-wide in a 1,509 SqFt lot. This property has great bones. It needs some work. This has been flooded and need to verify any applicable changes.

  24. 2017-08-31
    soldstatus $40,000 Sold
  25. 2017-03-25
    status Pending
  26. 2016-09-06
    listed $45,900 Active
  27. 2009-10-01
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$903 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$903 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,085
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$903
− Insurance
−$5,368
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,527
− Management
−$1,527
− HOA
−$2,100
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$3,414
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$819
After-tax cash flow
$2,747/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Beacon Square

Score
66/100
State rank
#600
US rank
#11494

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beacon Square, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,444
Household income
$56,931
Rent vs Own
36.4% rent · 63.6% own
Severe rent burden
1190.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.49%
Current HPI
310.8347
Rent YoY
▲ 0.72%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-23 Price Changed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $159,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-09 Sold (MLS) $37,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-01 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-07 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-17 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-02 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-18 Listed $28,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-31 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-25 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-06 Listed $45,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $903 · -24.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…