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1212 Butte Rd
B+ Composite 77.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,000

1212 Butte Rd · Loveland, CO 80537
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 98 Days on market
Built 1977 Est $110k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully remodeled home located in Mountainview community. This inviting home offers a bright open floor plan, modern finishes, and comfortable living spaces throughout. Inside you will find a spacious living area filled with natural light, recessed lighting, fresh neutral tones, and durable luxury vinyl flooring that flows seamlessly through the main living areas. The open layout creates a welcoming space ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The fully remodeled kitchen features white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, subway tile backsplash, generous counter space, and a center island with butcher block top with eat in space—perfect for meal pr

Key facts

  • Waterfall tub faucet
  • Remodeled home
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

REMODELED HOMEBRIGHT OPEN FLOOR PLANFULLY REMODELED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSPA INSPIRED RAINFALL SHOWERWATERFALL TUB FAUCET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property area 728 (public records)
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease: $660
  • HOA & community: Association: Mountainview Mobile Home Park (professionally managed); Association contact phone available

Exterior

  • Parking: Two off-street parking spaces (total 2)
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home in park; Single-story (main level living); Model 7663; Owned by corporation/trust
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Manufactured home (52' x 14')
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Located in Mountainview Mobile Home Park (lot 55); Land lease in effect (monthly land lease of $660; lease expires March 31, 2026)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, microwave, oven, range, refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Primary suite on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; En suite bathroom in the primary suite
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $690 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 2.9% in Loveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#52 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime C-, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Thompson School District R-2J (suburban): math 28% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 86 in CO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Namaqua Elementary School (math 34% / reading 37%, grade F, #422 of 966 statewide, top 44%, 252 students, 36% FRL); Walt Clark Middle School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #145 of 270 statewide, top 55%, 366 students, 38% FRL); Thompson Valley High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #115 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 1,039 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,880 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.16%
Cap rate
18.48%
Cash-on-cash
43.51%
DSCR
2.94
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$109,760
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1212 Butte Rd #20 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 728 (-7%) 3mo $28,500 $39 80
1212 Butte Rd #34 0.00mi 2/2.0 (+1) 784 (0%) 15mo $109,500 $140 79
1212 Butte Rd #27 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 728 (-7%) 6mo $56,900 $78 78
1212 Butte Rd #18 0.00mi 2/1.0 (+1) 728 (-7%) 19mo $127,500 $175 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.0%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$33,821
Equity at exit
$10,139
10-year hold
IRR
47.6%
Equity multiple
5.71×
Total profit
$89,677
Equity at exit
$5,879

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80537

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,469 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax est. 1.5%
$85 /mo · $1,020/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$690

Break-even live

Break-even rent $595
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1751 Wilson Ave Loveland, CO 2.0 1.5 995 $1,745 $1.75 23d 3 1.37mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,000 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,000 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,000 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,000 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $68,000 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $68,000 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $68,000 Active 90 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,000 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,000 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,000 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,000 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,000 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,000 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,000 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $68,000 Active 79 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    price $68,000
  17. 2026-04-19
    price $79,000
  18. 2026-04-03
    price $82,000
  19. 2026-03-30
    price $81,000
  20. 2026-03-12
    listed $83,000 Active
  21. 2025-04-24
    historical $1,600
  22. 2025-02-22
    listed $1,600
  23. 2024-04-18
    historical $1,490
  24. 2024-04-12
    listed $1,490
  25. 2024-04-10
    historical $1,490
  26. 2024-03-13
    listed $1,490

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,625
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$1,020
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,410
− Management
−$1,410
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$7,658
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,838
After-tax cash flow
$6,447/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thompson School District R-2J
NCES district ID
0805400
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$63,040
Composite
34.01/100
National rank
#5313
State rank
#28 of 86 in CO

Livability — Loveland

Score
73/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#5353

Category grades

Amenities A Commute F Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Larimer County · 338,255 people
City population
94,535
Metro
Fort Collins, CO
Population (ZIP)
44,425
Household income
$86,325
Rent vs Own
36.5% rent · 63.5% own
Severe rent burden
1703.0

Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,361 people
By 2030
457,762 · +10.2%
By 2040
542,310 · +30.6%
By 2050
627,048 · +51.0%
By 2075
833,722 · +100.7%
By 2100
952,590 · +129.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Larimer

2024 margin
D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -606.26%
Current HPI
253.4939
Rent YoY
▲ 3.57%
Metro
Fort Collins, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4463.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $68,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $79,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $82,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $81,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $83,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-24 Rental Removed $1,600 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-02-22 Listed for Rent $1,600 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-04-18 Rental Removed $1,490 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-12 Listed for Rent $1,490 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,490 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,490 APPFOLIO

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2021): $22 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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