6115 Citico River Ln · Union City, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- ARV discount +6.3/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-In Ready, Split Level With Vaulted Ceilings, Great Value & Condition with Plenty of Room, Great Open Kitchen with Oak Cabinets & Breakfast Bar, Great Room With Fireplace, Master On The Main Level With Walk-In Closet, Garden Tub & Separate Shower! Level Backyard! Small Sub division with no HOA fees, Clean and Nice Neighbourhood!
Key facts
- 6,751 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2005
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces; Driveway parking; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with 220 volts; Electricity, sewer and water available
- Home design: Two levels; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Asphalt road frontage on a county road
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Pantry; Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level; Two bedrooms on the lower level; Bedroom features: none specified
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; Upper level contains two full baths; lower level contains one full bath; Master bath with double vanity, separate tub and shower, and soaking tub
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Two-story entrance foyer; One fireplace in the living room; No common walls
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the lower level; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $240k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.4% in Union City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#443 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Point Elementary School (math 37% / reading 31%, grade F, #554 of 1,228 statewide, top 46%, 694 students, 100% FRL); Camp Creek Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 644 students, 100% FRL); Creekside High School (math 30% / reading 24%, grade F, #160 of 424 statewide, top 38%, 1,768 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 41% district-wide (59 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,525/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1778% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.00%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $233,959
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- 2.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6115 Citico River Ln | 0.00mi | 5/3.0 | 1,207 (0%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $199 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $150,136
- Equity at exit
- $216,211
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.27×
- Total profit
- $421,411
- Equity at exit
- $466,267
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30291
- Home prices YoY
- 11.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,525 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,600/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $336
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $502 | -5% $419 | +0% $336 | +5% $253 | +10% $170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $137 | -5% $236 | +0% $336 | +5% $436 | +10% $536 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $457 | -0.5pp $397 | base $336 | +0.5pp $274 | +1.0pp $211 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6115 Forrest Ave Union City, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,690 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 12076 Crosswicks Rd Union City, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1617 | $2,831 | $1.75 | 1d | 6 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-05-09$240,000 Active 522-char remark
-
2026-05-09historical $240,000 522-char remark
-
2018-04-04soldstatus $139,000 Sold 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Move-In Ready, Split Level With Vaulted Ceilings, Great Value & Condition with Plenty of Room, Great Open Kitchen with Oak Cabinets & Breakfast Bar, Great Room With Fireplace, Master On The Main Level With Walk-In Closet, Garden Tub & Separate Shower! Level Backyard! Small Sub division with no HOA fees, Clean and Nice Neighbourhood!
-
2018-04-04soldstatus $139,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Move-In Ready, Split Level With Vaulted Ceilings, Great Value & Condition with Plenty of Room, Great Open Kitchen with Oak Cabinets & Breakfast Bar, Great Room With Fireplace, Master On The Main Level With Walk-In Closet, Garden Tub & Separate Shower! Level Backyard! Small Sub division with no HOA fees, Clean and Nice Neighbourhood!
-
2018-02-13status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Move-In Ready, Split Level With Vaulted Ceilings, Great Value & Condition with Plenty of Room, Great Open Kitchen with Oak Cabinets & Breakfast Bar, Great Room With Fireplace, Master On The Main Level With Walk-In Closet, Garden Tub & Separate Shower! Level Backyard! Small Sub division with no HOA fees, Clean and Nice Neighbourhood!
-
2018-02-13status Pending 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Move-In Ready, Split Level With Vaulted Ceilings, Great Value & Condition with Plenty of Room, Great Open Kitchen with Oak Cabinets & Breakfast Bar, Great Room With Fireplace, Master On The Main Level With Walk-In Closet, Garden Tub & Separate Shower! Level Backyard! Small Sub division with no HOA fees, Clean and Nice Neighbourhood!
-
2018-02-02$145,000 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Move-In Ready, Split Level With Vaulted Ceilings, Great Value & Condition with Plenty of Room, Great Open Kitchen with Oak Cabinets & Breakfast Bar, Great Room With Fireplace, Master On The Main Level With Walk-In Closet, Garden Tub & Separate Shower! Level Backyard! Small Sub division with no HOA fees, Clean and Nice Neighbourhood!
-
2018-02-02$145,000 New
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Move-In Ready, Split Level With Vaulted Ceilings, Great Value & Condition with Plenty of Room, Great Open Kitchen with Oak Cabinets & Breakfast Bar, Great Room With Fireplace, Master On The Main Level With Walk-In Closet, Garden Tub & Separate Shower! Level Backyard! Small Sub division with no HOA fees, Clean and Nice Neighbourhood!
-
2015-10-27price $74,000
-
2014-10-28price $39,341
-
2012-03-15historical
-
2012-03-13soldstatus $74,000 Sold
-
2012-03-13soldstatus $74,000 Sold
-
2012-03-09historical
-
2012-03-09status Pending
-
2012-03-09price $74,900
-
2012-03-02historical
-
2012-03-01soldstatus $39,341 Sold
-
2012-02-29$74,900 New
-
2012-02-29$74,900 Active
-
2012-02-29price $53,000
-
2012-02-22historical
-
2012-02-10soldstatus $39,341 Sold
-
2012-01-04price $47,700
-
2012-01-04status Pending
-
2011-11-16$53,000 New
-
2011-11-15$53,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,299
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$3,600
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,424
- − Management
- −$2,424
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $225
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$54
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready 5-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers a good condition with minor repairs needed in the kitchen and bathrooms. The property is located in a desirable neighborhood with no HOA fees and is conveniently located near shopping and dining. The home has a spacious layout with vaulted ceilings and an open-concept design.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen flooring — Carpeted flooring in the kitchen
- Minor Bathroom flooring — Tiled flooring in bathrooms
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace kitchen flooring — Improves functionality and aesthetics
- Both Replace bathroom flooring — Improves functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen flooring · Carpeted flooring in the kitchen | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom flooring · Tiled flooring in bathrooms | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace kitchen flooring — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace bathroom flooring — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — Union City
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #443
- US rank
- #21281
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Union City, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 25,130
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,130
- Household income
- $48,184
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1778.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.98%
- Current HPI
- 239.3471
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+352.8% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $240,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-19 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $240,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-09 Coming Soon $240,000 FMLS
- 2018-04-04 Sold (MLS) $139,000 GAMLS
- 2018-04-04 Sold (MLS) $139,000 FMLS
- 2018-02-13 Pending — GAMLS
- 2018-02-13 Pending — FMLS
- 2018-02-02 Listed $145,000 GAMLS
- 2018-02-02 Listed $145,000 FMLS
- 2015-10-27 Price Changed $74,000 GAMLS
- 2014-10-28 Price Changed $39,341 GAMLS
- 2012-03-15 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2012-03-13 Sold (MLS) $74,000 GAMLS
- 2012-03-13 Sold (MLS) $74,000 FMLS
- 2012-03-09 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2012-03-09 Pending — FMLS
- 2012-03-09 Price Changed $74,900 GAMLS
- 2012-03-02 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2012-03-01 Sold (MLS) $39,341 GAMLS
- 2012-02-29 Listed $74,900 GAMLS
- 2012-02-29 Listed $74,900 FMLS
- 2012-02-29 Price Changed $53,000 GAMLS
- 2012-02-22 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2012-02-10 Sold (MLS) $39,341 FMLS
- 2012-01-04 Price Changed $47,700 FMLS
- 2012-01-04 Pending — FMLS
- 2011-11-16 Listed $53,000 GAMLS
- 2011-11-15 Listed $53,000 FMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…