Fourplex
9906 Croft St S · Parkland, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$525,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
New price! Great older 4-plex on . 4276 acre with potential for more development. Current zoning is Urban Corridor in the Parkland-Spanaway-Midland Communities Plan. 3 units are 2 bedroom and 1 bath, and one unit is 1 bedroom and 1 bath. Large yard with detached 4 car building. Common coin-operated laundry. Easy access to JBLM, Hwy 12, I-5, stores and restaurants.
Key facts
- Easy access to jblm
- Large yard
- 0.43 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $525k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $337/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $525k).
- Recommended offer: $494k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.3% in Parkland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#148 in WA, #3,068 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
- Franklin Pierce School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #197 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,161/mo this rent would consume 113% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 2169% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $147k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$90k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($494k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $365k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.00%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $688,242
- List price
- $525,000
- Delta
- -23.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $371,344
- Equity at exit
- $472,962
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.97×
- Total profit
- $1,025,232
- Equity at exit
- $1,019,960
Cash invested: $147,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98444
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 27.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,161 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,753
- Tax from tax record
- −$548 /mo · $6,573/yr
- Insurance
- −$219
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,294
- Net cashflow
- $1,347
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $4,776 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,592 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,592 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,592 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,383 |
| Total (4 units) | $6,161 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $131,250
- Closing costs
- $15,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9615 18th Ave S Unit A1 Tacoma, WA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2189 | $3,295 | $1.51 | 17d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9615 18th Ave S Unit R05 Tacoma, WA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2189 | $3,295 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $525,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $525,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $525,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $525,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $525,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $525,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $550,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $550,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $550,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $550,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $550,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $550,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $550,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $550,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $550,000
-
2026-04-08$575,000 Active
-
2017-11-28soldstatus $365,000 Sold
-
2017-11-28soldstatus $365,000
-
2017-10-30status Pending
-
2017-10-16status Pending Inspection
-
2017-10-03price $365,000
-
2017-06-08status Active
-
2017-05-03status Pending
-
2017-04-20status Pending Inspection
-
2017-03-01$370,000 Active
-
1978-02-22soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,573 · $548/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,573 · $548/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $73,932
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,408
- − Property taxes
- −$6,573
- − Insurance
- −$2,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,915
- − Management
- −$5,915
- − Depreciation
- −$15,273
- Taxable income
- $8,224
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,974
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,196/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin Pierce School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302940
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,240
- Composite
- 39.18/100
- National rank
- #8227
- State rank
- #197 of 291 in WA
Livability — Parkland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #3068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parkland, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- City population
- 36,624
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,754
- Household income
- $65,342
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2169.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 17% Black 16% Asian 11% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Korean 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 45.01%
- Current HPI
- 1297.51
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.93%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+2100.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $550,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $575,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records
- 2017-11-28 Sold (MLS) $365,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-30 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-16 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-03 Price Changed $365,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-08 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-03 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-20 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-01 Listed $370,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1978-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2026): $6,573 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…