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9906 Croft St S Fourplex
A- Composite 80.38
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$525,000

9906 Croft St S · Parkland, WA 98444
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,826 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1920 0.43 ac lot $186/sqft · 24% below area Est $688k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

New price! Great older 4-plex on . 4276 acre with potential for more development. Current zoning is Urban Corridor in the Parkland-Spanaway-Midland Communities Plan. 3 units are 2 bedroom and 1 bath, and one unit is 1 bedroom and 1 bath. Large yard with detached 4 car building. Common coin-operated laundry. Easy access to JBLM, Hwy 12, I-5, stores and restaurants.

Key facts

  • Easy access to jblm
  • Large yard
  • 0.43 acre lot

Tags

POTENTIAL FOR MORE DEVELOPMENTURBAN CORRIDOR ZONINGLARGE YARDDETACHED 4 CAR BUILDINGEASY ACCESS TO JBLMEASY ACCESS TO HWY 12

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $525k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $337/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $525k).
  • Recommended offer: $494k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.3% in Parkland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#148 in WA, #3,068 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
  • Franklin Pierce School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #197 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,161/mo this rent would consume 113% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 2169% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $147k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$90k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($494k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $365k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $493,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.37%
Cash-on-cash
11.00%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$688,242
List price
$525,000
Delta
-23.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$371,344
Equity at exit
$472,962
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
7.97×
Total profit
$1,025,232
Equity at exit
$1,019,960

Cash invested: $147,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98444

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
27.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,161 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,753
Tax from tax record
$548 /mo · $6,573/yr
Insurance
$219
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,294
Net cashflow
$1,347

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,455
Max offer price $525,000
Occupancy floor 73%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $1,383
Total (4 units) $6,161

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$131,250
Closing costs
$15,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9615 18th Ave S Unit A1 Tacoma, WA 5.0 2.0 2189 $3,295 $1.51 17d 1 1.08mi
9615 18th Ave S Unit R05 Tacoma, WA 5.0 2.0 2189 $3,295 $1.51 44d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $525,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $525,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $525,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $525,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $525,000 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $525,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $550,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $550,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $550,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $550,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $550,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $550,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $550,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $550,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    price $550,000
  16. 2026-04-08
    listed $575,000 Active
  17. 2017-11-28
    soldstatus $365,000 Sold
  18. 2017-11-28
    soldstatus $365,000
  19. 2017-10-30
    status Pending
  20. 2017-10-16
    status Pending Inspection
  21. 2017-10-03
    price $365,000
  22. 2017-06-08
    status Active
  23. 2017-05-03
    status Pending
  24. 2017-04-20
    status Pending Inspection
  25. 2017-03-01
    listed $370,000 Active
  26. 1978-02-22
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,573 · $548/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,573 · $548/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$73,932
− Mortgage interest
−$29,408
− Property taxes
−$6,573
− Insurance
−$2,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,915
− Management
−$5,915
− Depreciation
−$15,273
Taxable income
$8,224
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,974
After-tax cash flow
$14,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin Pierce School District
NCES district ID
5302940
Math proficiency
35% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$49,240
Composite
39.18/100
National rank
#8227
State rank
#197 of 291 in WA

Livability — Parkland

Score
77/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#3068

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Parkland, WA
County
Pierce County · 788,257 people
City population
36,624
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
35,754
Household income
$65,342
Rent vs Own
56.0% rent · 44.0% own
Severe rent burden
2169.0

Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
956,648 people
By 2030
1,010,862 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,113,170 · +16.4%
By 2050
1,206,524 · +26.1%
By 2075
1,436,425 · +50.2%
By 2100
1,563,654 · +63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 17% Black 16% Asian 11% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Swedish 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Korean 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pierce

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 45.01%
Current HPI
1297.51
Rent YoY
▲ 2.93%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2100.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $550,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $575,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-28 Sold (MLS) $365,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-30 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-16 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-03 Price Changed $365,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-08 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-05-03 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-20 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-01 Listed $370,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1978-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $6,573 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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