8 1st St · Whitesboro, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bed, 2 bath village home in a quiet Whitesboro location. Bright and airy throughout with updated flooring and a large kitchen that offers plenty of space to cook and gather. First floor laundry adds convenience, and the layout flows well for everyday living. Outside, you’ve got a 3-stall garage with plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop setup. Nice setting within walking distance to local stores, restaurants, and everything the village has to offer.
Key facts
- 3 stall garage
- First floor laundry
- Large kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($891/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (3.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (3.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.0% in Whitesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#326 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Whitesboro Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #174 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $180k implies a 195% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.77%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $251,888
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83 Westmoreland St | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,488 (+2%) | 2mo | $208,000 | $140 | 85 |
| 6 1st St | 0.01mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,430 (-2%) | 8mo | $185,400 | $130 | 83 |
| 12 Pine St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,452 (-0%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $141 | 78 |
| 15 Foster St | 0.19mi | 2/1.5 | 1,364 (-6%) | 8mo | $148,000 | $109 | 72 |
| 17 Wagner Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+4%) | 6mo | $262,000 | $173 | 69 |
| 6 Denton Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,367 (-6%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $110 | 66 |
| 2 Bermuda Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,580 (+8%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $206 | 53 |
| 59 Bedford Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,575 (+8%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $187 | 48 |
| 26 Bedford Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,569 (+8%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $191 | 46 |
| 24 Elm St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,625 (+12%) | 6mo | $230,179 | $142 | 45 |
| 22 Crestview Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,338 (-8%) | 5mo | $283,000 | $212 | 44 |
| 34 Cambridge Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,546 (+6%) | 2mo | $319,500 | $207 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-24,358
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-14,862
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13492
- Home prices YoY
- -12.3%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,744 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$285 /mo · $3,418/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $74
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-24$179,900 Active
-
2025-07-14historical
-
2025-05-13price $224,900
-
2025-03-19price $234,900
-
2025-03-12$249,900 Active
-
2023-05-10status Pending Sale
-
2023-05-09historical
-
2023-04-25$89,900 Active
-
2004-09-02soldstatus $61,000
-
2003-06-27soldstatus $44,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,418 · $285/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,418 · $285/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$3,418
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,674
- − Management
- −$1,674
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$2,052
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$493
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitesboro Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631320
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,732
- Composite
- 55.77/100
- National rank
- #1217
- State rank
- #174 of 590 in NY
Livability — Whitesboro
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #326
- US rank
- #5409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Whitesboro, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,233
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.24%
- Current HPI
- 314.4606
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+308.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $179,900 CNYIS
- 2025-07-14 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $224,900 CNYIS
- 2025-03-19 Price Changed $234,900 CNYIS
- 2025-03-12 Listed $249,900 CNYIS
- 2023-05-10 Pending — CNYIS
- 2023-05-09 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2023-04-25 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
- 2004-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2003-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,418 · -17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…