503 Orchard Ave · Muskegon, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 4-bedroom home offers approximately 1,500 square feet of functional living space with a versatile layout that makes the most of every room. The floor plan provides flexibility for a variety of living needs, with multiple bedrooms that can also serve as home office, hobby, or guest space. Situated on a manageable lot, the property offers ease of maintenance while still providing outdoor space to enjoy. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, flexibility, and value.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 182 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Traditional style; Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1900
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; 0.25 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas connected
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Dryer; Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.6% in Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MI, #2,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
- Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of (urban): math 4% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #534 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.09%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $183,608
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 694 E Isabella Ave | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 | 1,554 (-0%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $125 | 81 |
| 1030 Sophia St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,464 (-6%) | 3mo | $109,900 | $75 | 65 |
| 1119 Pine St | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 | 1,480 (-5%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $128 | 64 |
| 280 Iona Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,510 (-3%) | 0mo | $199,900 | $132 | 63 |
| 1080 Kenneth St | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 | 1,322 (-15%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $117 | 56 |
| 712 Evanston Ave | 0.55mi | 4/1.0 | 1,382 (-11%) | 3mo | $62,200 | $45 | 53 |
| 944 E Isabella Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-10%) | 0mo | $162,900 | $116 | 49 |
| 643 Evanston Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,396 (-10%) | 5mo | $164,900 | $118 | 47 |
| 1010 Allen Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,722 (+11%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $128 | 46 |
| 239 E Isabella Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,735 (+12%) | 1mo | $197,000 | $114 | 45 |
| 601 Jackson Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,333 (-14%) | 5mo | $283,900 | $213 | 41 |
| 115 E Isabella Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 | 1,771 (+14%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $73 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $15,209
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $83,062
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49442
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 289
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,569 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,754/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 Orchard Ave Unit 1 Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1121 | $1,575 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 313 Orchard Ave Unit 2 Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1279 | $1,475 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 310 Allen Ave Unit 2 Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1100 | $1,490 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 384 Iona Ave Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1194 | $1,275 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1188 Spring St Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1443 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 860 Marquette Ave Unit 44 Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1321 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1000 Marquette Ave Muskegon, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 870 | $1,270 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 80 E Grand Ave Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 449 Washington Ave Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,695 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 177 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 173 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 172 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-02-19price $110,000 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
This 4-bedroom home offers approximately 1,500 square feet of functional living space with a versatile layout that makes the most of every room. The floor plan provides flexibility for a variety of living needs, with multiple bedrooms that can also serve as home office, hobby, or guest space. Situated on a manageable lot, the property offers ease of maintenance while still providing outdoor space to enjoy. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, flexibility, and value.
-
2026-02-18price $110,000 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
This 4-bedroom home offers approximately 1,500 square feet of functional living space with a versatile layout that makes the most of every room. The floor plan provides flexibility for a variety of living needs, with multiple bedrooms that can also serve as home office, hobby, or guest space. Situated on a manageable lot, the property offers ease of maintenance while still providing outdoor space to enjoy. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, flexibility, and value.
-
2026-02-18price $110,000
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
This 4-bedroom home offers approximately 1,500 square feet of functional living space with a versatile layout that makes the most of every room. The floor plan provides flexibility for a variety of living needs, with multiple bedrooms that can also serve as home office, hobby, or guest space. Situated on a manageable lot, the property offers ease of maintenance while still providing outdoor space to enjoy. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, flexibility, and value.
-
2025-12-18$140,000 Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
This 4-bedroom home offers approximately 1,500 square feet of functional living space with a versatile layout that makes the most of every room. The floor plan provides flexibility for a variety of living needs, with multiple bedrooms that can also serve as home office, hobby, or guest space. Situated on a manageable lot, the property offers ease of maintenance while still providing outdoor space to enjoy. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, flexibility, and value.
-
2025-12-18$140,000 Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
This 4-bedroom home offers approximately 1,500 square feet of functional living space with a versatile layout that makes the most of every room. The floor plan provides flexibility for a variety of living needs, with multiple bedrooms that can also serve as home office, hobby, or guest space. Situated on a manageable lot, the property offers ease of maintenance while still providing outdoor space to enjoy. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, flexibility, and value.
-
2025-12-18$140,000 Active
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
This 4-bedroom home offers approximately 1,500 square feet of functional living space with a versatile layout that makes the most of every room. The floor plan provides flexibility for a variety of living needs, with multiple bedrooms that can also serve as home office, hobby, or guest space. Situated on a manageable lot, the property offers ease of maintenance while still providing outdoor space to enjoy. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, flexibility, and value.
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2025-12-01historical
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2025-12-01historical
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2025-10-09price $129,000
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2025-10-08price $129,000
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2025-09-12price $135,000
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2025-09-11price $135,000
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2025-09-04price $140,000
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2025-09-03price $140,000
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2025-08-27price $148,000
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2025-08-27price $148,000
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2025-08-21price $155,000
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2025-08-20price $155,000
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2025-08-04$160,000 Active
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2025-08-03$160,000 Active
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2023-11-21soldstatus $138,000
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2023-11-10soldstatus $138,000 Sold
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2023-11-10soldstatus $138,000 Closed
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2023-11-10soldstatus $138,000 Sold
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2023-09-26status Pending
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2023-09-26status Pending
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2023-09-26status Pending
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2023-09-23$129,000 Active
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2023-09-23$129,000 Active
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2023-09-23$129,000 Active
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2020-05-08soldstatus $48,000
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2020-05-08soldstatus $48,000 Sold
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2020-03-27status Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,754 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,754 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,826
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,754
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,506
- − Management
- −$1,506
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,148
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$756
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,891/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of
- NCES district ID
- 2624840
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,622
- Composite
- 5.8/100
- National rank
- #10017
- State rank
- #534 of 540 in MI
Livability — Muskegon
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #2096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muskegon, MI
- County
- Muskegon County · 107,917 people
- City population
- 44,766
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,766
- Household income
- $48,563
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1598.0
Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,032 people
- By 2030
- 173,365 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 168,877 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 160,306 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 134,426 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 98,836 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.87%
- Current HPI
- 287.0558
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.21%
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+100.4% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $110,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-18 Listed $140,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-18 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-18 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $129,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $148,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $148,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-04 Listed $160,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-03 Listed $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-10 Sold (MLS) $138,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-11-10 Sold (MLS) $138,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-10 Sold (MLS) $138,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-09-26 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-09-26 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-26 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-09-23 Listed $129,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-09-23 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-23 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-05-08 Sold (MLS) $48,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2020-05-08 Sold (MLS) $48,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-03-27 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2020-02-26 Listed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-02-26 Listed $54,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2020-02-26 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,754 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…