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928 Patton Ave
C+ Composite 63.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

928 Patton Ave · Cabool, MO 65689
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,992 sqft · Other public records · 261 Days on market
Built 1965 0.56 ac lot $58/sqft · 26% below area Est $175k · 34% under ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 4-Bedroom Home on Large Corner Lot - Prime Location Near Schools!Looking for room to grow in a great location? This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generous . 56-acre corner lot (two city lots!) and is within walking distance to the elementary, middle, and high schools--perfect for families. The home offers a solid foundation and layout, with some cosmetic updates needed, giving you the opportunity to make it truly your own. Outside, enjoy a privacy-fenced backyard, a 20x30 shop with concrete floor and electric, plus a 9x12 storage shed for all your tools and toys. Need even more space? There's a 20x20 concrete slab ready for your dream patio, swimming pool, or even another shed. This is a rare find in a fantastic location--a spacious lot, functional outbuildings, and a solid home waiting for your personal touch. Don't miss your chance to invest in a property with incredible potential!

Key facts

  • 9x12 storage shed
  • 20x20 concrete slab
  • Large corner lot

Tags

LARGE CORNER LOTPRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD20X30 SHOP9X12 STORAGE SHED20X20 CONCRETE SLAB

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (8.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.0% in Cabool — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#218 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cabool R-IV (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #275 of 324 in MO (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • Texas County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $101,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.91%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,077
List price
$115,000
Delta
-34.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

9.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$65,068
Equity at exit
$99,101
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
6.75×
Total profit
$185,305
Equity at exit
$209,101

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65689

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $954/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $925
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Spacious 4-Bedroom Home on Large Corner Lot - Prime Location Near Schools!Looking for room to grow in a great location? This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generous . 56-acre corner lot (two city lots!) and is within walking distance to the elementary, middle, and high schools--perfect for families. The home offers a solid foundation and layout, with some cosmetic updates needed, giving you the opportunity to make it truly your own. Outside, enjoy a privacy-fenced backyard, a 20x30 shop with concrete floor and electric, plus a 9x12 storage shed for all your tools and toys. Need even more space? There's a 20x20 concrete slab ready for your dream patio, swimming pool, or even another shed. This is a rare find in a fantastic location--a spacious lot, functional outbuildings, and a solid home waiting for your personal touch. Don't miss your chance to invest in a property with incredible potential!

  2. 2026-04-06
    status Active 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Spacious 4-Bedroom Home on Large Corner Lot - Prime Location Near Schools!Looking for room to grow in a great location? This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generous . 56-acre corner lot (two city lots!) and is within walking distance to the elementary, middle, and high schools--perfect for families. The home offers a solid foundation and layout, with some cosmetic updates needed, giving you the opportunity to make it truly your own. Outside, enjoy a privacy-fenced backyard, a 20x30 shop with concrete floor and electric, plus a 9x12 storage shed for all your tools and toys. Need even more space? There's a 20x20 concrete slab ready for your dream patio, swimming pool, or even another shed. This is a rare find in a fantastic location--a spacious lot, functional outbuildings, and a solid home waiting for your personal touch. Don't miss your chance to invest in a property with incredible potential!

  3. 2026-03-23
    status Pending 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Spacious 4-Bedroom Home on Large Corner Lot - Prime Location Near Schools!Looking for room to grow in a great location? This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generous . 56-acre corner lot (two city lots!) and is within walking distance to the elementary, middle, and high schools--perfect for families. The home offers a solid foundation and layout, with some cosmetic updates needed, giving you the opportunity to make it truly your own. Outside, enjoy a privacy-fenced backyard, a 20x30 shop with concrete floor and electric, plus a 9x12 storage shed for all your tools and toys. Need even more space? There's a 20x20 concrete slab ready for your dream patio, swimming pool, or even another shed. This is a rare find in a fantastic location--a spacious lot, functional outbuildings, and a solid home waiting for your personal touch. Don't miss your chance to invest in a property with incredible potential!

  4. 2026-01-21
    status Active 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Spacious 4-Bedroom Home on Large Corner Lot - Prime Location Near Schools!Looking for room to grow in a great location? This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generous . 56-acre corner lot (two city lots!) and is within walking distance to the elementary, middle, and high schools--perfect for families. The home offers a solid foundation and layout, with some cosmetic updates needed, giving you the opportunity to make it truly your own. Outside, enjoy a privacy-fenced backyard, a 20x30 shop with concrete floor and electric, plus a 9x12 storage shed for all your tools and toys. Need even more space? There's a 20x20 concrete slab ready for your dream patio, swimming pool, or even another shed. This is a rare find in a fantastic location--a spacious lot, functional outbuildings, and a solid home waiting for your personal touch. Don't miss your chance to invest in a property with incredible potential!

  5. 2026-01-16
    status Pending 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Spacious 4-Bedroom Home on Large Corner Lot - Prime Location Near Schools!Looking for room to grow in a great location? This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generous . 56-acre corner lot (two city lots!) and is within walking distance to the elementary, middle, and high schools--perfect for families. The home offers a solid foundation and layout, with some cosmetic updates needed, giving you the opportunity to make it truly your own. Outside, enjoy a privacy-fenced backyard, a 20x30 shop with concrete floor and electric, plus a 9x12 storage shed for all your tools and toys. Need even more space? There's a 20x20 concrete slab ready for your dream patio, swimming pool, or even another shed. This is a rare find in a fantastic location--a spacious lot, functional outbuildings, and a solid home waiting for your personal touch. Don't miss your chance to invest in a property with incredible potential!

  6. 2025-11-24
    price $115,000 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Spacious 4-Bedroom Home on Large Corner Lot - Prime Location Near Schools!Looking for room to grow in a great location? This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generous . 56-acre corner lot (two city lots!) and is within walking distance to the elementary, middle, and high schools--perfect for families. The home offers a solid foundation and layout, with some cosmetic updates needed, giving you the opportunity to make it truly your own. Outside, enjoy a privacy-fenced backyard, a 20x30 shop with concrete floor and electric, plus a 9x12 storage shed for all your tools and toys. Need even more space? There's a 20x20 concrete slab ready for your dream patio, swimming pool, or even another shed. This is a rare find in a fantastic location--a spacious lot, functional outbuildings, and a solid home waiting for your personal touch. Don't miss your chance to invest in a property with incredible potential!

  7. 2025-09-25
    price $135,000 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Spacious 4-Bedroom Home on Large Corner Lot - Prime Location Near Schools!Looking for room to grow in a great location? This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generous . 56-acre corner lot (two city lots!) and is within walking distance to the elementary, middle, and high schools--perfect for families. The home offers a solid foundation and layout, with some cosmetic updates needed, giving you the opportunity to make it truly your own. Outside, enjoy a privacy-fenced backyard, a 20x30 shop with concrete floor and electric, plus a 9x12 storage shed for all your tools and toys. Need even more space? There's a 20x20 concrete slab ready for your dream patio, swimming pool, or even another shed. This is a rare find in a fantastic location--a spacious lot, functional outbuildings, and a solid home waiting for your personal touch. Don't miss your chance to invest in a property with incredible potential!

  8. 2025-08-22
    price $159,000 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Spacious 4-Bedroom Home on Large Corner Lot - Prime Location Near Schools!Looking for room to grow in a great location? This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generous . 56-acre corner lot (two city lots!) and is within walking distance to the elementary, middle, and high schools--perfect for families. The home offers a solid foundation and layout, with some cosmetic updates needed, giving you the opportunity to make it truly your own. Outside, enjoy a privacy-fenced backyard, a 20x30 shop with concrete floor and electric, plus a 9x12 storage shed for all your tools and toys. Need even more space? There's a 20x20 concrete slab ready for your dream patio, swimming pool, or even another shed. This is a rare find in a fantastic location--a spacious lot, functional outbuildings, and a solid home waiting for your personal touch. Don't miss your chance to invest in a property with incredible potential!

  9. 2025-08-04
    listed $175,000 Active 908-char remark
    Show marketing remark (908 chars)

    Spacious 4-Bedroom Home on Large Corner Lot - Prime Location Near Schools!Looking for room to grow in a great location? This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generous . 56-acre corner lot (two city lots!) and is within walking distance to the elementary, middle, and high schools--perfect for families. The home offers a solid foundation and layout, with some cosmetic updates needed, giving you the opportunity to make it truly your own. Outside, enjoy a privacy-fenced backyard, a 20x30 shop with concrete floor and electric, plus a 9x12 storage shed for all your tools and toys. Need even more space? There's a 20x20 concrete slab ready for your dream patio, swimming pool, or even another shed. This is a rare find in a fantastic location--a spacious lot, functional outbuildings, and a solid home waiting for your personal touch. Don't miss your chance to invest in a property with incredible potential!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$954 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,116 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$161/yr (+$13/mo · 16.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,692
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$954
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,015
− Management
−$1,015
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$655
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$157
After-tax cash flow
$1,418/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cabool R-IV
NCES district ID
2906430
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$32,537
Composite
24.88/100
National rank
#7584
State rank
#275 of 324 in MO

Livability — Cabool

Score
67/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#10822

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cabool, MO
City population
4,273
Population (ZIP)
4,273

Population outlook (Texas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,648 people
By 2030
23,981 · -2.7%
By 2040
22,840 · -7.3%
By 2050
21,832 · -11.4%
By 2075
19,481 · -21.0%
By 2100
16,634 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Texas

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.7) · D 13.8% · R 85.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.1pp · 2024: -71.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.7 2020: R+68.6 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+35.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.46%
Current HPI
232.9575
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted SOMO
  • 2026-03-23 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-01-21 Relisted SOMO
  • 2026-01-16 Pending SOMO
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $115,000 SOMO
  • 2025-09-25 Price Changed $135,000 SOMO
  • 2025-08-22 Price Changed $159,000 SOMO
  • 2025-08-04 Listed $175,000 SOMO

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $954 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…