4070 34th Ave · Meridian, MS 39305

$92,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,315 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market

Built 1964 Est $72k · 27% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great Place 3 bedroom 1 and 1 half bath home. Needs some TLC. inside paint.

Key facts

• Garage
• Built 1964
• Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
• Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
• Exterior features: Fenced yard; Composition roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric Range; Refrigerator
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Hot water heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Seven total rooms
• Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $92k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#141 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
• Meridian Public Schools (town): math 13% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #109 of 130 in MS (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $92,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.40% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.77%
• Cash-on-cash: 19.57%
• DSCR: 1.87
• GRM: 6.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $72,325
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3221 46th St	0.24mi	3/1.5	1,477 (+12%)	3mo	$99,900	$68	66
3809 35th St	0.63mi	3/2.0	1,384 (+5%)	21mo	$39,500	$29	42
3623 24th Ave	0.69mi	3/1.0	1,456 (+11%)	11mo	$79,900	$55	39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 11.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.46×
• Total profit: $11,841
• Equity at exit: $13,717

10-year hold

• IRR: 20.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.74×
• Total profit: $44,741
• Equity at exit: $7,954

Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39305

• Home prices YoY: -31.7%
• Active inventory: 83
• Price-to-rent: 6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,286 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$482
• Tax from tax record: −$75 /mo · $903/yr
• Insurance: −$38
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$270
• Net cashflow: $420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $754

Max offer price $92,000

Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,000
• Closing costs: $2,760
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3315 N Hills St Meridian, MS	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	975	$1,320	$1.35	44d	8	0.36mi
4924 24th Pl Meridian, MS	2.0	1.5	980	$825	$0.84	44d	1	0.81mi
4609 Broadmoor Dr Meridian, MS	2.0	1.0	1050	$995	$0.95	44d	1	0.89mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $92,000 Active 9 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $92,000 Active 8 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $92,000 Active 7 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $92,000 Active 6 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $92,000 Active 5 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $92,000 Active 3 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   remarks 76-char remark
8. 2026-06-12
   listed $92,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $903 · $75/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $903 · $75/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,434
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,153
• − Property taxes: −$903
• − Insurance: −$460
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,235
• − Management: −$1,235
• − Depreciation: −$2,676
• Taxable income: $3,772
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$905
• After-tax cash flow: $4,135/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Meridian Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2802910
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 17% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $30,236
• Composite: 11.87/100
• National rank: #9673
• State rank: #109 of 130 in MS

Livability — Meridian

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #141
• US rank: #14839

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Meridian, MS
• County: Lauderdale County · 42,445 people
• City population: 42,445
• Metro: Meridian, MS
• Population (ZIP): 21,638
• Household income: $67,712
• Rent vs Own: 31.9% rent · 68.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 791.0

Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 75,158 people
• By 2030: 72,770 · -3.2%
• By 2040: 67,309 · -10.4%
• By 2050: 61,797 · -17.8%
• By 2075: 49,790 · -33.8%
• By 2100: 39,797 · -47.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 36% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -57.15%
• Current HPI: 123.1214
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Meridian, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-10 Listed $92,000 EMR
• 2005-12-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $903 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.