2122 Lakeview Dr · Waycross, GA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +6.4/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this beautifully refreshed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch that blends modern updates with classic Southern charm. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior, brand-new LVT flooring throughout most of the home, and thoughtful touches like crown molding that give each room a custom, high-end feel. The spacious kitchen features a new dishwasher and plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and making memories. With four true bedrooms, you've got space for everyone-whether it's family, guests, a home office, or that dreamy hobby room you've been planning. Outside, the exterior has been tastefully updated to bring a clean, modern look while keeping the timeless appeal of this traditional ranch. The yard offers plenty of room to relax, garden, or entertain under the Georgia sunshine. This one is move-in ready, easy to love, and waiting on its next chapter. Come take a look-you'll feel right at home the minute you walk in. **Some photos are digitally staged.
Key facts
- Refreshed interior
- Updated exterior
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.1% in Waycross — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#519 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Ware County (town): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #95 of 174 in GA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in Ware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ware County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.84%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $175,240
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2108 Screven Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,485 (+10%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $98 | 71 |
| 1301 Morningside Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,429 (+6%) | 13mo | $181,300 | $127 | 66 |
| 2112 Screven Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,161 (-14%) | 9mo | $153,000 | $132 | 65 |
| 2706 Alice St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,257 (-7%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $119 | 64 |
| 1704 Oconee Rd | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,297 (-4%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $154 | 60 |
| 1107 Euclid Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,304 (-3%) | 1mo | $169,500 | $130 | 58 |
| 1303 Jasmine Cir | 0.31mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,257 (-7%) | 12mo | $205,800 | $164 | 58 |
| 610 Linwood Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+2%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $156 | 52 |
| 352 Pineview Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,297 (-4%) | 17mo | $95,000 | $73 | 48 |
| 2120 Tebeau St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,488 (+10%) | 1mo | $121,900 | $82 | 47 |
| 1611 Tupelo Dr | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,193 (-12%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $134 | 44 |
| 402 Spurgeon St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,480 (+10%) | 15mo | $140,500 | $95 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-7,044
- Equity at exit
- $26,764
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $22,324
- Equity at exit
- $15,520
Cash invested: $50,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31501
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$941
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,821/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,875
- Closing costs
- $5,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 Satilla Blvd Waycross, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-11soldstatus $179,500 Sold 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
Welcome home to this beautifully refreshed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch that blends modern updates with classic Southern charm. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior, brand-new LVT flooring throughout most of the home, and thoughtful touches like crown molding that give each room a custom, high-end feel. The spacious kitchen features a new dishwasher and plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and making memories. With four true bedrooms, you've got space for everyone-whether it's family, guests, a home office, or that dreamy hobby room you've been planning. Outside, the exterior has been tastefully updated to bring a clean, modern look while keeping the timeless appeal of this traditional ranch. The yard offers plenty of room to relax, garden, or entertain under the Georgia sunshine. This one is move-in ready, easy to love, and waiting on its next chapter. Come take a look-you'll feel right at home the minute you walk in. **Some photos are digitally staged.
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2026-03-28status Under Contract 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
Welcome home to this beautifully refreshed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch that blends modern updates with classic Southern charm. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior, brand-new LVT flooring throughout most of the home, and thoughtful touches like crown molding that give each room a custom, high-end feel. The spacious kitchen features a new dishwasher and plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and making memories. With four true bedrooms, you've got space for everyone-whether it's family, guests, a home office, or that dreamy hobby room you've been planning. Outside, the exterior has been tastefully updated to bring a clean, modern look while keeping the timeless appeal of this traditional ranch. The yard offers plenty of room to relax, garden, or entertain under the Georgia sunshine. This one is move-in ready, easy to love, and waiting on its next chapter. Come take a look-you'll feel right at home the minute you walk in. **Some photos are digitally staged.
-
2026-02-09price $179,500
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
Welcome home to this beautifully refreshed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch that blends modern updates with classic Southern charm. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior, brand-new LVT flooring throughout most of the home, and thoughtful touches like crown molding that give each room a custom, high-end feel. The spacious kitchen features a new dishwasher and plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and making memories. With four true bedrooms, you've got space for everyone-whether it's family, guests, a home office, or that dreamy hobby room you've been planning. Outside, the exterior has been tastefully updated to bring a clean, modern look while keeping the timeless appeal of this traditional ranch. The yard offers plenty of room to relax, garden, or entertain under the Georgia sunshine. This one is move-in ready, easy to love, and waiting on its next chapter. Come take a look-you'll feel right at home the minute you walk in. **Some photos are digitally staged.
-
2026-02-09price $179,500 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
Welcome home to this beautifully refreshed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch that blends modern updates with classic Southern charm. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior, brand-new LVT flooring throughout most of the home, and thoughtful touches like crown molding that give each room a custom, high-end feel. The spacious kitchen features a new dishwasher and plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and making memories. With four true bedrooms, you've got space for everyone-whether it's family, guests, a home office, or that dreamy hobby room you've been planning. Outside, the exterior has been tastefully updated to bring a clean, modern look while keeping the timeless appeal of this traditional ranch. The yard offers plenty of room to relax, garden, or entertain under the Georgia sunshine. This one is move-in ready, easy to love, and waiting on its next chapter. Come take a look-you'll feel right at home the minute you walk in. **Some photos are digitally staged.
-
2026-02-03price $187,500 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
Welcome home to this beautifully refreshed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch that blends modern updates with classic Southern charm. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior, brand-new LVT flooring throughout most of the home, and thoughtful touches like crown molding that give each room a custom, high-end feel. The spacious kitchen features a new dishwasher and plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and making memories. With four true bedrooms, you've got space for everyone-whether it's family, guests, a home office, or that dreamy hobby room you've been planning. Outside, the exterior has been tastefully updated to bring a clean, modern look while keeping the timeless appeal of this traditional ranch. The yard offers plenty of room to relax, garden, or entertain under the Georgia sunshine. This one is move-in ready, easy to love, and waiting on its next chapter. Come take a look-you'll feel right at home the minute you walk in. **Some photos are digitally staged.
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2026-01-19price $184,900
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2026-01-05$189,900 Active
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2026-01-01$189,900 New 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
Welcome home to this beautifully refreshed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch that blends modern updates with classic Southern charm. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior, brand-new LVT flooring throughout most of the home, and thoughtful touches like crown molding that give each room a custom, high-end feel. The spacious kitchen features a new dishwasher and plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and making memories. With four true bedrooms, you've got space for everyone-whether it's family, guests, a home office, or that dreamy hobby room you've been planning. Outside, the exterior has been tastefully updated to bring a clean, modern look while keeping the timeless appeal of this traditional ranch. The yard offers plenty of room to relax, garden, or entertain under the Georgia sunshine. This one is move-in ready, easy to love, and waiting on its next chapter. Come take a look-you'll feel right at home the minute you walk in. **Some photos are digitally staged.
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2025-12-29historical
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2025-11-25price $189,000
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2025-11-24$149,000 New
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2024-11-24historical
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2024-11-05price $149,000
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2024-10-23$157,000 Active
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2021-06-17soldstatus $89,900
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2021-04-02$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,821 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,821 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,055
- − Property taxes
- −$1,821
- − Insurance
- −$1,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$5,222
- Taxable income
- $1,367
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$328
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,820/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ware County
- NCES district ID
- 1305430
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,231
- Composite
- 25.6/100
- National rank
- #7415
- State rank
- #95 of 174 in GA
Livability — Waycross
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #519
- US rank
- #23458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waycross, GA
- City population
- 36,207
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,034
Population outlook (Ware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,313 people
- By 2030
- 32,071 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 29,587 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 27,197 · -18.4%
- By 2075
- 22,323 · -33.0%
- By 2100
- 18,197 · -45.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 45% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ware
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.3% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: -34.5pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+33.9 2008: R+34.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.90%
- Current HPI
- 243.5058
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+99.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Sold (MLS) $179,500 GAMLS
- 2026-04-01 Pending — GIAR
- 2026-03-28 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $179,500 GIAR
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $179,500 GAMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $187,500 GAMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $184,900 GIAR
- 2026-01-05 Listed $189,900 GIAR
- 2026-01-01 Listed $189,900 GAMLS
- 2025-12-29 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $189,000 GAMLS
- 2025-11-24 Listed $149,000 GAMLS
- 2024-11-24 Listing Removed — GIAR
- 2024-11-05 Price Changed $149,000 GIAR
- 2024-10-23 Listed $157,000 GIAR
- 2021-06-17 Sold (MLS) $89,900 SEGAMLS
- 2021-04-02 Listed $89,900 SEGAMLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,821 · +15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…