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5515 Fox Hill Ln
C- Composite 52.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

5515 Fox Hill Ln · Dallas, TX 75232
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,668 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1960 $126/sqft · 31% below area Est $303k · 31% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”

Key facts

  • Central hvac
  • Covered patio
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

COZY FIREPLACECENTRAL HVACCOVERED PATIOBRICK CONSTRUCTIONOUTDOOR POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($967/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,850 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.64%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$302,755
List price
$210,000
Delta
-30.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5515 Fox Hill Ln 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,668 (0%) 1mo $210,000 $126 99
925 Timber Dell Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,706 (+2%) 4mo $349,900 $205 89
816 Green Cove Ln 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,705 (+2%) 5mo $349,900 $205 72
1715 Shady Glen Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,667 (-0%) 4mo $239,000 $143 68
944 Timber Dell Ln 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,902 (+14%) 5mo $370,000 $195 67
1515 Oak Meadows Dr 0.61mi 3/2.5 1,654 (-1%) 2mo $310,000 $187 67
5505 Spruce View Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,793 (+8%) 2mo $190,000 $106 64
1512 Matagorda Dr 0.49mi 3/2.5 1,788 (+7%) 4mo $379,000 $212 59
1239 Misty Glen Ln 0.53mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,766 (+6%) 5mo $249,685 $141 54
6526 Rock Canyon Trl 0.72mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,649 (-1%) 2mo $325,000 $197 54
4523 Hamblen Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,464 (-12%) 2mo $295,000 $202 38
1305 Wedgemere Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,869 (+12%) 7mo $326,000 $174 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-28,717
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-17,664
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75232

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,243 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$502 /mo · $6,029/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$471
Net cashflow
$81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,141
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1523 Russell Glen Ln Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 2088 $2,350 $1.13 7d 1 0.38mi
4921 Jade Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1720 $1,800 $1.05 7d 1 0.38mi
1135 Holly Glen Cir Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1707 $3,400 $1.99 7d 1 0.61mi
4918 Rockport Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1673 $1,800 $1.08 7d 1 0.78mi
4318 Lashley Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1562 $2,100 $1.34 5d 1 0.81mi
1256 Golden Trophy Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1566 $2,750 $1.76 1d 1 0.97mi
532 W Five Mile Pkwy Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 2115 $3,500 $1.65 7d 1 1.00mi
621 Tarryall Dr Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1756 $2,200 $1.25 7d 1 1.01mi
5000 S Hampton Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 962 $1,500 $1.56 1d 6 1.05mi
6115 Red Bird Ct Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 2200 $2,250 $1.02 7d 1 1.06mi
625 W Pentagon Parkway Cir Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1371 $2,150 $1.57 7d 1 1.16mi
925 Bluewood Dr Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1670 $2,000 $1.20 43d 1 1.19mi
511 Highcrest Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,700 $1.12 43d 1 1.20mi
4028 Treeline Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 3.0 1872 $3,000 $1.60 7d 1 1.20mi
1777 Westerham Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 3.0 1300 $1,795 $1.38 43d 1 1.25mi
405 Highcrest Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1171 $1,675 $1.43 43d 1 1.29mi
7027 Coleshire Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1178 $2,100 $1.78 3d 1 1.30mi
3828 Morning Springs Trl Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1399 $2,200 $1.57 21d 1 1.35mi
3806 Morning Springs Trl Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1512 $2,300 $1.52 18d 1 1.38mi
3702 Legendary Ln Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 990 $1,099 $1.11 3d 6 1.42mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”

  2. 2026-05-05
    historical Active Option Contract 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”

  3. 2026-04-27
    price $235,000 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”

  4. 2026-04-27
    status Active 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”

  5. 2026-04-11
    listed $245,000 Active 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”

  6. 2023-07-27
    soldstatus
  7. 2019-02-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,029 · $502/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,029 · $502/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,912
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$6,029
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,153
− Management
−$2,153
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$2,345
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$563
After-tax cash flow
$1,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
City population
1,168,437
Population (ZIP)
32,967

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 45% Two or more races 20% White 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 39%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 35%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.24%
Current HPI
389.7618
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-05 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $235,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $245,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-07-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-02-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,029 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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