5515 Fox Hill Ln · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”
Key facts
- Central hvac
- Covered patio
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($967/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.64%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $302,755
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -30.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5515 Fox Hill Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,668 (0%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $126 | 99 |
| 925 Timber Dell Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (+2%) | 4mo | $349,900 | $205 | 89 |
| 816 Green Cove Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,705 (+2%) | 5mo | $349,900 | $205 | 72 |
| 1715 Shady Glen Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,667 (-0%) | 4mo | $239,000 | $143 | 68 |
| 944 Timber Dell Ln | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,902 (+14%) | 5mo | $370,000 | $195 | 67 |
| 1515 Oak Meadows Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,654 (-1%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $187 | 67 |
| 5505 Spruce View Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,793 (+8%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $106 | 64 |
| 1512 Matagorda Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 1,788 (+7%) | 4mo | $379,000 | $212 | 59 |
| 1239 Misty Glen Ln | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,766 (+6%) | 5mo | $249,685 | $141 | 54 |
| 6526 Rock Canyon Trl | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,649 (-1%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $197 | 54 |
| 4523 Hamblen Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,464 (-12%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $202 | 38 |
| 1305 Wedgemere Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,869 (+12%) | 7mo | $326,000 | $174 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-28,717
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-17,664
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75232
- Home prices YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,243 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$502 /mo · $6,029/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$471
- Net cashflow
- $81
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1523 Russell Glen Ln Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2088 | $2,350 | $1.13 | 7d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4921 Jade Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 7d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1135 Holly Glen Cir Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $3,400 | $1.99 | 7d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4918 Rockport Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1673 | $1,800 | $1.08 | 7d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4318 Lashley Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $2,100 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1256 Golden Trophy Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,750 | $1.76 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 532 W Five Mile Pkwy Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2115 | $3,500 | $1.65 | 7d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 621 Tarryall Dr Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $2,200 | $1.25 | 7d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5000 S Hampton Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 1d | 6 | 1.05mi |
| 6115 Red Bird Ct Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,250 | $1.02 | 7d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 625 W Pentagon Parkway Cir Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $2,150 | $1.57 | 7d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 925 Bluewood Dr Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 511 Highcrest Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4028 Treeline Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1872 | $3,000 | $1.60 | 7d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1777 Westerham Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $1,795 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 405 Highcrest Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1171 | $1,675 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7027 Coleshire Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $2,100 | $1.78 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3828 Morning Springs Trl Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3806 Morning Springs Trl Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $2,300 | $1.52 | 18d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3702 Legendary Ln Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,099 | $1.11 | 3d | 6 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 974-char remark
Show marketing remark (974 chars)
This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”
-
2026-05-05historical Active Option Contract 974-char remark
Show marketing remark (974 chars)
This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”
-
2026-04-27price $235,000 974-char remark
Show marketing remark (974 chars)
This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”
-
2026-04-27status Active 974-char remark
Show marketing remark (974 chars)
This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”
-
2026-04-11$245,000 Active 974-char remark
Show marketing remark (974 chars)
This well-maintained mid-century home blends classic charm with practical comfort. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the layout is designed for easy living with an inviting flow throughout the home. The living area includes a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings, and the home is equipped with central HVAC for year-round comfort. Sitting on a generous spacious lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor potential. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors, ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying the shade. The home’s brick construction adds timeless appeal and durability. Whether you're looking for a comfortable family home or a solid investment in a quiet, established neighborhood, this property delivers a strong combination of character, function, and value. (VERIFY ALL ROOM SIZES) “Please be advised that the property may contain fleas and shows indications of potential termite presence.”
-
2023-07-27soldstatus
-
2019-02-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,029 · $502/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,029 · $502/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,912
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$6,029
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,153
- − Management
- −$2,153
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$2,345
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$563
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 28.41/100
- National rank
- #6763
- State rank
- #559 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, TX
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,967
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 45% Two or more races 20% White 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 39%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 35%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.24%
- Current HPI
- 389.7618
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-05 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $235,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-04-11 Listed $245,000 NTREIS
- 2023-07-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-02-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $6,029 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…