2478 Franklin Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming 1,690-square-foot single-family home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in a convenient location close to downtown. Situated on a spacious corner lot, this property provides added privacy with no close neighboring homes on either side. Updates that have already been completed, include a furnace, roof, and windows that are all less than 10 years old, giving buyers peace of mind. Located directly across from the police station and Mercy Health, you'll enjoy easy access to local services and amenities. Full of potential and ready for your personal touch, this home is a great opportunity to create the space you've always envisioned while building equity along the way. N
Key facts
- Corner lot
- 4,100 sq ft lot
- Built 1897
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-and-a-half levels; Two stories total; Not attached to other properties; No common walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 10 x 14)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms located on the upper level (approx. 12 x 14; 11 x 12; 10 x 12)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Basement present; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 7.5% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Glenwood Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,584 statewide, top 98%, 300 students, 0% FRL); Jesup W. Scott High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 736 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,137/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($21k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.26%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $99,710
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2446 Fulton St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (-7%) | 2mo | $108,500 | $69 | 70 |
| 2459 Franklin Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,436 (-15%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $70 | 69 |
| 298 W Park St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,626 (-4%) | 4mo | $33,000 | $20 | 62 |
| 326 Palmer St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,536 (-9%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $29 | 60 |
| 141 Dexter St | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,596 (-6%) | 7mo | $114,900 | $72 | 59 |
| 427 W Delaware Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,879 (+11%) | 4mo | $6,888 | $4 | 58 |
| 324 Moss St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (-15%) | 3mo | $49,000 | $34 | 52 |
| 2919 Chestnut St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,726 (+2%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $55 | 51 |
| 304 Dexter St | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,760 (+4%) | 7mo | $112,000 | $64 | 51 |
| 292 W Park St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,544 (-9%) | 6mo | $56,000 | $36 | 50 |
| 207 E Bancroft St | 0.49mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,436 (-15%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $59 | 44 |
| 127 W Bancroft St | 0.52mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,436 (-15%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $91 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $21,582
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 40.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $58,176
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43620
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,137 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $478
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $509 | -5% $494 | +0% $478 | +5% $463 | +10% $447 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $388 | -5% $433 | +0% $478 | +5% $523 | +10% $568 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $506 | -0.5pp $492 | base $478 | +0.5pp $464 | +1.0pp $449 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152 Austin St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 119 Winthrop St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1734 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2131 Franklin Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $900 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 425 Boston Pl Unit A Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $895 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 31 W Oakland St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,249 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1337 Moore St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1194 | $995 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1494 | $1,100 | $0.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 59 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 614 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1581 | $1,075 | $0.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2447 Maplewood Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1538 | $897 | $0.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 516 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,098 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 322 14th St Apt 203 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1031 N Michigan St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,195 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $895 | $0.78 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $825 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 424 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1228 | $1,075 | $0.88 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 626 Walnut St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $995 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 960 W Delaware Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,050 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 724 Mulberry St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1530 | $995 | $0.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 710 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,000 | $0.81 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 513 Adams St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,424 | $1.21 | 15d | 11 | 1.32mi |
| 830 Homer Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $895 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 15d | 2 | 1.40mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,750 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,890 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1449 N Huron St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,045 | $0.73 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1536 N Erie St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $55,000 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-05$55,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,646
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,306
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,092
- − Management
- −$1,092
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,200
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,248
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,490/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas · 437,818 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,039
- Household income
- $21,405
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2.1
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.87%
- Current HPI
- 129.7922
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $55,000 NORIS
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,306 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…