Triplex
262 W Cottage Pl · York, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable home in the heart of York's Redevelopment District. Priced for a quick sale. Being sold "as-is". 1-car garage, fenced yard, covered patio.
Key facts
- Strong rental demand
- Multi unit layout
- Separately metered
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: All units currently on yearly leases; No rent control
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 space total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Interior townhouse / rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Shingle and rubber roof; Building not winterized; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit and two 2-bedroom units (total 3 occupied units)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Radiator heating; Natural gas fuel and hot water
- Interior features: Full basement; Multiple access exits (2+)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $643 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $214/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
- Recommended offer: $255k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.0% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
- York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,021/mo this rent would consume 85% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1360% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $259k implies a 1077% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.64%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,846
- List price
- $259,000
- Delta
- 32.25%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 736 S Pershing Ave | 0.12mi | 4/— (+1) | 1,879 (-3%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $98 | 80 |
| 153 W Jackson St | 0.15mi | 4/— (+1) | 2,100 (+8%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $95 | 71 |
| 281 W Cottage Pl | 0.04mi | 4/— (+1) | 1,789 (-8%) | 13mo | $205,000 | $115 | 70 |
| 719 Jessop Pl | 0.12mi | 4/— (+1) | 2,051 (+6%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $98 | 69 |
| 621 Jessop Pl | 0.13mi | 4/— (+1) | 1,844 (-5%) | 15mo | $195,000 | $106 | 69 |
| 513 S Pershing Ave | 0.17mi | 4/— (+1) | 2,061 (+6%) | 14mo | $185,000 | $90 | 65 |
| 747 S Queen St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,962 (+1%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $92 | 51 |
| 447 W King St | 0.64mi | 3/— | 2,142 (+11%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $93 | 44 |
| 222 E Cottage Pl | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,962 (+1%) | 22mo | $172,000 | $88 | 41 |
| 39 S Hartley St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,180 (+13%) | 15mo | $175,000 | $80 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $9,573
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $107,690
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17401
- Home prices YoY
- -16.5%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 20.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,021 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax from tax record
- −$278 /mo · $3,333/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$634
- Net cashflow
- $643
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,060 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,030 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,030 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $961 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,021 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 W Jackson St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,395 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 537 W Jackson St York, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 514 S Duke St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,625 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 626 S Queen St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1526 | $1,225 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 28 N George St Unit H York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 175 W Gay Ave York, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1219 | $1,650 | $1.35 | 13d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 925 W College Ave York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1660 | $1,425 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 231 Roosevelt Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1584 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 588 Company St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1416 | $1,475 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 289 Union St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 645 W Philadelphia St Unit 2ND FLOOR York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2124 | $1,100 | $0.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 132 N West St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $1,600 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 339 E Market St Unit 1 York, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 702 W Philadelphia St Unit 2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2154 | $1,375 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 901 W King St Unit 2 York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2328 | $975 | $0.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 245 Franklin Way York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 428 Smith St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1522 | $1,350 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 540 Dallas St Apt 2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1924 | $1,225 | $0.64 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 511 E Philadelphia St Unit 2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2194 | $895 | $0.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 30 N Franklin St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,395 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 631 Wallace St Unit 631 York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1545 | $1,325 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1060 Crest Way York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,850 | $1.48 | 13d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 1060 Crest Way York, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $1,850 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-02status $259,000 Pending 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $259,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $279,000 855-char remark
-
2026-05-12$284,000 Active 855-char remark
-
2013-03-29soldstatus $22,000 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
Affordable home in the heart of York's Redevelopment District. Priced for a quick sale. Being sold "as-is". 1-car garage, fenced yard, covered patio.
-
2013-02-06$22,900 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
Affordable home in the heart of York's Redevelopment District. Priced for a quick sale. Being sold "as-is". 1-car garage, fenced yard, covered patio.
-
2013-02-06historical 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
Affordable home in the heart of York's Redevelopment District. Priced for a quick sale. Being sold "as-is". 1-car garage, fenced yard, covered patio.
-
1990-02-27soldstatus $32,000
-
1987-07-29soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,333 · $278/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,712 · $309/mo
- Expected delta
- +$380/yr (+$32/mo · 11.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$3,333
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,900
- − Management
- −$2,900
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable income
- $3,781
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$908
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,805/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226820
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,470
- Composite
- 7.61/100
- National rank
- #9943
- State rank
- #534 of 539 in PA
Livability — York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #427
- US rank
- #3987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- York, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 184,764
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,570
- Household income
- $42,826
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1360.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 31% Black 24% Two or more races 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 22% Dominican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 25% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.82%
- Current HPI
- 323.5537
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.37%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+286.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $259,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $269,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $274,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $279,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $284,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-03-29 Sold (MLS) $22,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-02-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-02-06 Listed $22,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1990-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 1987-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2026): $3,333 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…