2726 68th St · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$167,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTORS ONLY. Beautifully updated 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offering space, flexibility, and an unbeatable central location. Priced at just $167,000, this property features a spacious floor plan, modern updates, and a large lot with plenty of room. One of the standout features is the oversized separate garage/shop building, offering endless possibilities. This home also has a storm cellar. Perfect for a workshop, hobby space, extra storage, or future conversion into additional living space, a game room, efficiency, or added income potential. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and entertainment. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an investment o
Key facts
- Central location
- Large lot
- Storm cellar
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No community features
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces); Detached carport (2 spaces); Driveway and additional on-street parking; Alley access; Workshop in garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected / available; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Membrane roof; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Storage; Public-maintained city street access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Linoleum; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s); Electric heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Aluminum window frames with blinds; Stone fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $167k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (4.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $167k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.73%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-19,498
- Equity at exit
- $24,900
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-11,843
- Equity at exit
- $14,439
Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79413
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,601 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$876
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,089/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $145
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $240 | -5% $193 | +0% $145 | +5% $98 | +10% $51 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $19 | -5% $82 | +0% $145 | +5% $208 | +10% $272 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $229 | -0.5pp $188 | base $145 | +0.5pp $102 | +1.0pp $58 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,750
- Closing costs
- $5,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2726 68th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $1,800 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2730 68th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2050 | $1,999 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2707 63rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2827 66th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2725 63rd St Unit FS Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $1,599 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2817 63rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2821 61st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2115 66th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2160 | $1,795 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 7304 Avenue W Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $999 | $0.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7406 Waco Ave Unit C Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1831 | $750 | $0.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6911 Gary Ave Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,125 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2128 74th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1132 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 6711 Hartford Ave Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1165 | $975 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3107 75th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1923 67th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,525 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3236 63rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $1,524 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2612 81st St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,100 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1940 77th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,500 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2121 56th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2047 | $1,999 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2823 54th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1725 | $1,825 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1921 S Loop 289 Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1927 71st St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1807 | $1,600 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1923 76th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $1,699 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3307 74th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2024 | $1,540 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1915 76th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1911 | $1,550 | $0.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1816 75th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7006 Avenue S Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8216 Elkridge Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,550 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8219 Elkridge Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $1,475 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3311 79th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1391 | $1,249 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2303 84th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 6130 Avenue P Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8108 Sherman Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2101 51st St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1805 79th Pl Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,375 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2403 87th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $1,300 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3423 56th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2224 | $1,895 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8217 Avenue U Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $1,570 | $1.80 | 14d | 28 | 1.25mi |
| 1625 79th Pl Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1541 | $1,650 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2218 88th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,450 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $167,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $167,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $167,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $167,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $167,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $167,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $167,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $167,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $167,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $167,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $167,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $167,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $167,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $167,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $167,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $167,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-17$167,000 Active
-
2026-04-10$1,800
-
2007-02-16soldstatus $67,500
-
1998-06-26soldstatus
-
1993-10-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,089 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,056 · $255/mo
- Expected delta
- +$967/yr (+$81/mo · 46.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,210
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,355
- − Property taxes
- −$2,089
- − Insurance
- −$835
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,537
- − Management
- −$1,537
- − Depreciation
- −$4,858
- Taxable loss
- −$1,000
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$240
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lubbock ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828500
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,820
- Composite
- 31.44/100
- National rank
- #5984
- State rank
- #481 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,343
- Household income
- $69,400
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1211.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 18% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.52%
- Current HPI
- 239.8854
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.94%
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+147.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $167,000 LARMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed for Rent $1,800 APPFOLIO
- 2007-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
- 1998-06-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,089 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…