132 Mohr Club Dr · Darien, GA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$324,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled along the shores of the Cathead River, this gated community offers coastal style NEW CONSTRUCTION homes featuring Hardie Plank siding, 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, an oversized 1 car garage and large balconies with many offering water views. Kitchens come complete with white shaker cabinets, granite countertops & stainless steel appliances including a range, microwave & dishwasher. Amenities include a deep water community dock with access to the intracoastal, pool & clubhouse with full kitchen & fitness room. The community is conveniently located with quick access to I-95 and all that the historic City of Darien offers including shopping, seafood restaurants, festivals & many recreational activities.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Community pool
- Walk-in closets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $324k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $140 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $295k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $295k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.9% in Darien — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#397 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mcintosh County (town): math 23% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #118 of 174 in GA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Todd Grant Elementary School (math 24% / reading 23%, grade F, #790 of 1,228 statewide, top 65%, 667 students, 79% FRL); Mcintosh County Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #265 of 470 statewide, top 57%, 271 students, 79% FRL); Mcintosh Academy (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #109 of 424 statewide, top 26%, 395 students, 79% FRL).
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- McIntosh County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $270k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.85%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $307,411
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 Mohr Club Dr | 0.01mi | 4/3.5 | 1,823 (+0%) | 2mo | $308,500 | $169 | 97 |
| 106 Cathead Ln | 0.07mi | 4/3.5 | 1,823 (+0%) | 12mo | $317,000 | $174 | 87 |
| 139 Mohr Club Dr | 0.04mi | 4/3.5 | 1,819 (0%) | 17mo | $315,000 | $173 | 84 |
| 130 Mohr Club Dr | 0.01mi | 4/3.5 | 1,823 (+0%) | 22mo | $272,990 | $150 | 81 |
| 128 Mohr Club Dr | 0.02mi | 4/3.5 | 1,823 (+0%) | 22mo | $269,990 | $148 | 81 |
| 125 Cattan Ln | 0.04mi | 4/3.5 | 1,819 (0%) | 22mo | $299,900 | $165 | 80 |
| 128 Mohr Club Dr | 0.04mi | 4/3.5 | 1,823 (+0%) | 22mo | $269,990 | $148 | 80 |
| 130 Mohr Club Dr | 0.04mi | 4/3.5 | 1,823 (+0%) | 22mo | $272,990 | $150 | 80 |
| 101 Cathead Ln | 0.08mi | 4/3.0 | 2,016 (+11%) | 1mo | $449,000 | $223 | 75 |
| 500 Clarke St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,723 (-5%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $116 | 40 |
| 309 Haven Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,588 (-13%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $211 | 31 |
| 402 Houston St | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 2,041 (+12%) | 14mo | $435,000 | $213 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $185,365
- Equity at exit
- $291,885
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.94×
- Total profit
- $538,908
- Equity at exit
- $629,461
Cash invested: $90,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31305
- Home prices YoY
- 20.2%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,699
- Tax from tax record
- −$357 /mo · $4,282/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$620
- Net cashflow
- $140
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $323 | -5% $231 | +0% $140 | +5% $48 | +10% $-44 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-93 | -5% $23 | +0% $140 | +5% $256 | +10% $373 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $303 | -0.5pp $222 | base $140 | +0.5pp $56 | +1.0pp $-30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,000
- Closing costs
- $9,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 905 Wayne St Darien, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,950 | $1.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $324,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $324,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$324,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,282 · $357/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,282 · $357/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,149
- − Property taxes
- −$4,282
- − Insurance
- −$1,620
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,832
- − Management
- −$2,832
- − Depreciation
- −$9,425
- Taxable loss
- −$3,740
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$898
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,573/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcintosh County
- NCES district ID
- 1303600
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,742
- Composite
- 22.08/100
- National rank
- #8188
- State rank
- #118 of 174 in GA
Livability — Darien
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #19613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Darien, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,119
Population outlook (McIntosh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,922 people
- By 2030
- 12,156 · -5.9%
- By 2040
- 10,332 · -20.0%
- By 2050
- 8,526 · -34.0%
- By 2075
- 5,506 · -57.4%
- By 2100
- 3,635 · -71.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 31% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 6% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · McIntosh
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.6) · D 35.5% · R 64.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -28.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.6 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.35%
- Current HPI
- 311.3591
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+18.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $324,000 FSBO.com
- 2024-07-25 Sold (MLS) $269,990 Hive MLS
- 2024-07-25 Sold (MLS) $269,990 GIAR
- 2024-06-03 Pending — GIAR
- 2024-05-08 Price Changed $269,990 GIAR
- 2024-04-18 Listed $269,990 Hive MLS
- 2024-04-18 Listed $273,490 GIAR
Property tax history
+28.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,282 · +987.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…